Sentences with phrase «previous warming decades»

The only way, the last decade could not have been the «warmist ever», is if a cooling trend had set in over the whole decade, that was equal or greater than the previous warming decades trends.

Not exact matches

The report found, among other things, that 43 of the lower 48 U.S. states have set at least one monthly heat record since 2010, sea levels are expected to rise between one and four feet by the end of this century, winter storms have increased in intensity and frequency, and the past decade was warmer than every previous decade in every part of the country.

The finding challenges previous arguments that a hot spot north of Cape Hatteras over the past few decades was due to a slowdown of circulation in the North Atlantic, which is itself due to global warming.

The deceleration in rising temperatures during this 15 - year period is sometimes referred to as a «pause» or «hiatus» in global warming, and has raised questions about why the rate of surface warming on Earth has been markedly slower than in previous decades.

Johnson hypothesizes that warmer ocean temperatures in 2012 and 2013, which were 1.3 °C higher than the previous decade's average, allowed the crabs to move north.

It refers to a period of slower surface warming in the wake of the 1997 - 98 super El Niño compared to the previous decades.

Likewise, we find that natural variability, this last decade warming on the low end compared previous decades, the lack of coverage in the Arctic and so on may have played a role in Lewis» underestimating transient climate sensitivity:

The Western Antarctic Peninsula has been rapidly cooling since 1999 -LRB--0.47 °C per decade), reversing the previous warming trend and leading to «a shift to surface mass gains of the peripheral glacier» (Oliva et al., 2017).

The rate of ocean warming has nearly doubled since 1992 compared with the previous three decades.

It is to be noted here that there is no necessary contradiction between forecast expectations of (a) some renewed (or continuation of) slight cooling of world climate for a few decades to come, e.g., from volcanic or solar activity variations; (b) an abrupt warming due to the effect of increasing carbon dioxide, lasting some centuries until fossil fuels are exhausted and a while thereafter; and this followed in turn by (c) a glaciation lasting (like the previous ones) for many thousands of years.»

The past decade, at the very least, has not seem the same rate of warming as the previous two decades (all natural variability such as ENSO accounted for).

If, in its negative mode, it can fully counteract anthropogenic warming then in its positive mode it made a large contribution to warming in the last decades of the previous century.

Three of the four global average temperatures indeed are decreasing in their trends (although the actual global mean temperatures are still warmer than the previous decades).

Meehl (2013) is an update to their previous work, and the authors show that accelerated warming decades are associated with the positive phase of the IPO.

That was a very extreme signal — far outside the previous variation — yet its also rather hard to fit into std GW theory, because it would be extreme even under warming to be expected in the next few decades (I think).

Solar activity has been the highest in the previous 4 centuries: http://www.climate4you.com/images/SolarIrradianceReconstructedSince1610%20LeanUntil2000%20From2001dataFromPMOD.gif The empirical data from peer reviewed science, Hatzianastassiou (2005), Goode (2007), Pinker (2005), Herman (2013), McLean (2014), shows that during the last 2 decades of the 20th century when most of the late 20th century warming occurred, the amount of solar radiation reaching the earth's surface increased by 2.7 W / m ² to 6.8 W / m ².

Still, each of the past three decades have been warmer than all of the previous decades since the mid-1850s, when regular record - keeping began, the draft says.

BTW, the authors continue considering both the LIA and the MWP as valid concepts, contrary to Mann et al. 2) Even though they have little confidence in temperature reconstructions previous to AD 1600 and very little for those previous to AD 900, the authors consider that Mann et al's claim of the last decades being warmer than any such period in the past millennium is nonetheless plausible.

Yes, and I suppose when they do they will understand you can't ignore a troposphere that isn't warming at the appropriate rate to the surface; you can't ignore a stratosphere that isn't cooling at the appropriate rate per decade; you can't ignore an ocean that isn't warming despite an assumed large energy imbalance; you can't ignore that if you declare a long lag time or a large long term climate sensitivity then previous forcings are subject to the same principles; and you can't ignore that the rate of warming was no different this last time then the time before it and the time before that.

tt, Your claim that each decade has been 0.1 C warmer than the previous is false.

Tamino provides a nice simple graphic showing that global temperature remains within the projected range based on previous decades of warming:

There was a spike in 1998, after which temperatures were lower — but still warmer than previous decades — that led some climate sceptics to claim that the world was cooling.

Previous projections had suggested a warming of 0.15 to 0.3 °C per decade for 1990 to 2005.

The sheaf of explanations for the apparent slight slowdown of surface warming since 1998, relative to the previous two decades, all help to reduce «noise» by assigning explicit mechanisms to previously - unexplained variation.

Each future decade will be about 0.15 — 0.2 deg C warmer than the previous decade unless atmospheric CO2 levels are bought under some control.

At every even decade starting with 1880 one could forecast that global warming had halted on the basis of that decade having cooled relative to the previous decade.

«They» predicted that every decade would be between 0.15 and 0.2 degC warmer than the previous decade.

Each decade is warmer than the previous.

Even though the ocean has warmed strongly, global «surface» warming in the 21st century has been slower than previous decades.

Each successive year will not necessarily be warmer than the year before, but on the current course of greenhouse gas increases, scientists expect each successive decade to be warmer than the previous decade.

1) Global warming rate of 0.15 deg C per decade from 1910 to 1940, which gives a global warming of 0.45 deg C during the previous 30 - years warming phase

Comparing the global temperature at the time of the most recent three La Ninas (1999 - 2000, 2008, and 2011 - 2012), it is apparent that global temperature has continued to rise between recent years of comparable tropical temperature, indeed, at a rate of warming similar to that of the previous three decades.

Since the very warm surface temperatures of 1998 which followed the strong 1997 - 98 El NinÌ o, the increase in average surface temperature has slowed relative to the previous decade of rapid temperature increases, with more of the excess heat being stored in the oceans.

Those ten years also continued an extended period of accelerating global warming, with more national temperature records reported broken than in any previous decade.

1998 Warmest decade 2000 -2009 The trend calculator shows from a previous post that we are still trending upward stronger than the author of coyote blog shows..

They wrote that Dyck, Soon and their collaborators ignored data from the previous decade that showed that as the climate warmed, the sea ice is melting earlier each spring, sending polar bears ashore for longer periods of time in progressively poorer condition.

This ties in to our previous posts noting that global warming is accelerating; but that over the past decade, most of that warming has gone into the oceans (including the oft - neglected deep oceans).

The world's oceans have warmed at twice the rate of previous decades and the extra heat has reached deeper waters, finds data stretching back to 1960.

Both wetland drying and the increased frequency of warm dry summers and associated thunderstorms have led to more large fires in the last ten years than in any decade since record - keeping began in the 1940s.9 In Alaskan tundra, which was too cold and wet to support extensive fires for approximately the last 5,000 years, 105 a single large fire in 2007 released as much carbon to the atmosphere as had been absorbed by the entire circumpolar Arctic tundra during the previous quarter - century.106 Even if climate warming were curtailed by reducing heat - trapping gas (also known as greenhouse gas) emissions (as in the B1 scenario), the annual area burned in Alaska is projected to double by mid-century and to triple by the end of the century, 107 thus fostering increased emissions of heat - trapping gases, higher temperatures, and increased fires.

-- IPCC has been clear in its wording — no «coffee pauses» were postulated, but a clear warming of 0.2 C per decade was projected by the models for «he next two decades» in AR4 (and a warming of 0.15 C to 0.3 C per decade in the previous TAR)-- In AR4 Ch.10, Figure 10.4 and Table 10.5, IPCC show us how the projected warming of the early decades ties into the longer - term forecast for the entire century, IOW the warming of the early decades is an integral part of the «entire postulated journey»..

I mean if, as Nurse is now suggesting, the scientific mainstream understanding of global warming is that it's happening but that it's open to debate how significant it is then doesn't this completely contradict pretty much everything he, the Royal Society, and its two previous presidents Lords Rees and May have been doing this last decade or more to stoke up the Anthropogenic Global Warming scare for all they'rewarming is that it's happening but that it's open to debate how significant it is then doesn't this completely contradict pretty much everything he, the Royal Society, and its two previous presidents Lords Rees and May have been doing this last decade or more to stoke up the Anthropogenic Global Warming scare for all they'reWarming scare for all they're worth?

Helen Cleugh, science director at CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship, says measurements do show that the rate at which global mean surface temperature has warmed in the past decade is less than the previous decade.

If it was true that Jones and Hansen had adjusted recent data upwards and past data downwards then BEST would have found less warming in recent decades and more warming in previous decades.

Ok, so then are you saying that if we follow my rule for picking decades of only allowing years that are multiples of ten when specifying ranges, the last decade warmed almost as fast as the previous one, but if we follow your rule of only allowing years that are congruent to 1 mod 10, per the fencepost error that makes the year 1990 part of the 1980's, then the warming paused during the last decade?

As noted in a previous post this week, right after the IPCC famously declared that the 1990s were likely the warmest decade of the past millennium, they stated: «Evidence does not support the existence of globally synchronous periods of cooling or warming associated with the «Little Ice Age» and «Medieval Warm Period»» (Third Assessment Report, Chap.

But it does show that the IPCC forecasts of 0.2 C warming per decade (made both in the AR4 and previous TAR reports) were incorrect.

From 1880 onwards the previous warmest 70 year span in the record back to 1540 were exceeded, and each decade since then has been warmer than the previous decade.

The same storms that brought more snow inland have also brought warmer ocean currents to the ice shelf, which has then thinned rapidly, even as the fresh loose snow has continued to pile onto the impacted ice of previous decades.

Basil Newmerzhycky: I won't bore you with the «2014 will be warmest year of all» hype, but it is almost certain, and with a greater likelihood of an accelerated warming trend well into the next decade at twice the rate of the previous one, similar to the 0.2 deg C.

Yes, for the Northern Hemisphere, the last decade of the twentieth century was warmer than the two or three previous.