• Labour officials discovered nearly 20 % of those joining the party as # 3 registered supporters had no record of
previously voting Labour.
I would hazard a guess that this is partly motivated by the desire to dissuade those who
previously voted Labour from voting BNP.
Most current UKIP supporters (and SNP supporters) have
previously voted Labour, Lib Dem or Conservative (over two thirds according to AW's churn analysis) and, since a little under half of them are not firmly committed to UKIP (Ashcroft's poll) I contend that it is not unreasonable to theorise that some may do so again in May.
The need for Labour to attract current conservative voters to win an election, let alone UKIP ones who had
previously voted labour, seemed important a year ago, now keeping current Labour voters, from either holding their nose and voting Tory or Liberal Democrat, is more of a long way off goal, our core demographic of voters a year ago, were socially liberal, economically conservative, mainly pro EU, ones who would see the Liberal Democrats as a natural choice, many may have voted Libdem in 2005 and later, only to return to us due to the coalition.
Not exact matches
Because
Labour could, potentially, win if the
previously Labour but now non-voters can be persuaded to start turning out and
voting Labour again, but only if the non-
voting support base is fairly large, and without that sort of analysis over larger areas it's hard to judge — it's definitely partially true in my ward,
Labour had disappeared electorally years ago, but won the seat in 2012, despite most other parties getting similar
votes to normal (and our support mostly going to an Independent we were tacitly backing).
Arguably, their greater loyalty is to Corbyn and the radical - left policies he represents than to
Labour as an organisation (many have
previously voted Green).
Some forces
previously on
Labour's left have joined this campaign, calling for «tactical
voting», i.e. not making the priority to maximise the
Labour vote.
Nick Clegg saw his share of the
vote shrink by 13.4 % (now having just 2,353
votes more than
Labour when he
previously had 19,096 more).
This requirement for positive consent is a change: trade unionists were
previously automatically entitled to
vote in
Labour leadership elections.
This is, for example, why the Blairites are putting a coalition with the Liberals before maximising the
Labour vote — as articles on this site have
previously pointed out.
The prime minister's comments last night, urging his own MPs not to
vote with Corbyn and the «terrorist sympathisers» have angered many
Labour MPs who had
previously been sympathetic to the government's position.
Jeremy Corbyn has an even bigger mandate to lead
Labour than
previously, having received 61.8 % of the
vote in the party's leadership contest.
It was Tory - held between 1979 and 1987, but is technically now classed a
Labour / Plaid marginal, with the Conservatives having come fourth with 11 % of the
vote in 2005 - although the third - placed Independent, Peter Rogers, had
previously been a Conservative Assembly Member.
Mr Carswell
previously secured the Clacton seat in 2010 with a majority of 12,068
votes over
Labour's Ivan Henderson, having first being elected to Parliament in 2005 in the Harwich seat.
The Wandsworth factor and demographic change go in favour of making Tooting a Tory gain for Mark Clarke and the loss of
Labour votes to the BNP looks like going to aid Simon Jones» campaign to oust Jon Cruddas in Dagenham and Rainham; «Mr Expenses», Alan Keen, is more vulnerable than the figures suggest in Feltham and Heston (the current projection shows his wife, Ann, being defeated in neighbouring Brentford and Isleworth); Tory candidate Ed Northover wrote only this week about his efforts to win Leyton and Wanstead from
Labour, whilst ConservativeHome has
previously noted the energetic campaign being waged by Chris Philp in the redrawn Hampstead and Kilburn seat where he is now in genuine contention.
At the most recent general election in 2017,
Labour won 7 seats in Scotland — improving on its performance two years
previously — with 27.1 % of the
vote, and was the third - largest party behind the SNP and the Conservatives.
Meanwhile, Russell, who has
previously threatened to
vote against the Budget in its entirety, has dismissed an Independent on Sunday report that the rebels have secretly agreed to co-operate with
Labour MPs as «poppycock» and «
Labour mischief - making».
Despite this, the Daily Mirror remained loyal to
Labour and urged its readers to
vote for the party (now led by Michael Foot), condemning the Thatcher - led Tory government for its «waste of our nation», [38] condemning the rise in unemployment that Thatcher's Conservative government had seen in its first term in power largely due to monetarist economic policies to reduce inflation, though the government's
previously low popularity had dramatically improved since the success of the Falklands conflict a year earlier.
Gisela Stuart,
Labour's lonely
Vote Leave chair, has
previously described migration as a «force for good» and believes Ukip feeds «discontent, despair and division» in its attitudes towards foreigners.
Labour leadership elections have
previously been decided by a complex electoral college system, with equal weight given to the
votes of three groups - one third to MPs and MEPs, one third to ordinary party members and one third to trade unionists.
To what extent was
Labour able to get
previously unregistered tenants not just registered but out to
vote, and to what extent was their victory due to either Tory abstainers or direct switching to Lab over a sense of disgust with Tory policy towards leaving the EU?
Many people who are councillors in marginal areas, or have
previously been in that position, know enough of history, or are old enough recall the 1980's, maybe they blame council election defeats of 1982, and the general elections on the Falklands, maybe they take credit for Andrew Mckintosh winning the GLC for livingstone in 1981, maybe they feel we lost in 1979 as it wasn't left wing enough, But they
voted Corbyn and won't accept that we will lose by a mile in 2020 with him, even if we get half as any
votes in the council elections over the next 3 years, as before, Various things can be done, Blue
labour needs to work with Labour first, like compass before them, anti neo liberalism, felt Blair lost his way after his first 6 years, Yes progress has a large following and ability of resources, but since 2007 it's been red
labour needs to work with
Labour first, like compass before them, anti neo liberalism, felt Blair lost his way after his first 6 years, Yes progress has a large following and ability of resources, but since 2007 it's been red
Labour first, like compass before them, anti neo liberalism, felt Blair lost his way after his first 6 years, Yes progress has a large following and ability of resources, but since 2007 it's been redundant