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Price growth expectations — Expectations of rising house prices motivate households planning to become homeowners to purchase a house earlier than later.
The average home
price growth expectations of current renters were about a percentage point higher than those of owners at both horizons.
Investors usually
price growth expectations into shares long before a company actually becomes a bigger part of its industry, or its industry becomes a bigger part of the economy.
Not exact matches
(Bond yields move inversely with bond
prices, and rising yields tend to signal
expectations of higher
growth and inflation ahead and, therefore, higher interest rates.)
«U.S.
growth of 0.6 million barrels a day in 2017 beat all
expectations, even with a moderate
price response to the output deal as the shale industry bounced back — profiting from cost cuts, stepped up drilling activity and efficiency measures enforced during the downturn,» the group said.
Data from China's National Bureau of Statistics showed the consumer
price index rose 3.2 percent in February from a year ago, versus
expectations of a 3.0 percent rise, while annual industrial production (IP)
growth in January and February combined at 9.9 percent was the lowest since October 2012 - the starting point of China's nascent economic recovery.
Uncertainty shock = lower US GDP estimates; markets will
price in EU fragmentation; Fed likely to pass in Dec; ultimate
growth impact of Trump will depend on whether his protectionism or Keynesianism triumphs; either way Trump will boost inflation / stagflation
expectations as electorates say end wage deflation via immigration controls, trade protectionism, fiscal spending.
In short — late - stage investors (
growth funds, PE funds, hedge funds, mutual funds) set
price in their private rounds on the
expectation of making a return when a company goes public.
Broadly, we still prefer equities over credit due to strong earnings
growth, modestly cheaper valuations following last month's swoon and market's
pricing in
expectations of Fed rate increases.
This under appreciated industrials company is benefiting from internal profitability initiatives and external
growth drivers, while low profit
expectations embedded in the stock
price make for an attractive risk / reward scenario.
b)
Price to Economic Book Value measures the
growth expectations embedded in the
prices of the stocks in sector / industry.
This ratio means the market expects the after - tax profits (NOPAT) of XLF stocks to increase 40 % from current levels while KIE stocks are
priced for
expectations of 10 % NOPAT
growth from current levels.
Consumers»
expectations and forecast uncertainty for overall inflation and home
price growth, and expected
price changes for key commodities
Figure 1 shows this value - destroying behavior in action for GE (GE) by comparing between the amount of money spent buying back shares and the
price to economic book value (PEBV), a measure of the
growth expectations embedded in the stock
price.
Long - term interest rates are currently low due to low global inflation
expectations and moderate
growth potential in Canada due to lower oil
prices, a heavily indebted household sector and a weakened manufacturing base due to relatively high unit labour costs.
Right now the fund, which has tended to short larger stocks, is cautious about the switch from small and mid-cap stocks to large caps as «investors chase safer
growth options as
expectations of higher global GDP
growth is
priced in».
However, there were also high
expectations that Snap stock
prices would eventually fall, due to the aggressive competition in the industry and a slow
growth in its user base.
What I think is happening is a) inflation
expectations are extremely well - anchored b) the tight labor market is delivering some wage
growth but not a ton; worker bargaining power remains constrained c) though it has come down off of its recent peak, the dollar remains pretty strong, and perhaps most importantly d) wage
growth isn't bleeding into
price growth.
Our investment thesis highlighted a low PEBV ratio that implied pessimistic
expectations baked into the stock
price despite the firm's multi-year history of profit
growth.
These companies are also undervalued compared to peers, and our DCF model reveals low
expectations for future profit
growth baked into the current stock
prices.
Netflix said it would raise its
prices earlier this year, and that may temper some
expectations for domestic
growth.
With the economy expected to resume above - potential
growth in the near term, our
expectation is that inflation will converge on 2 per cent as the output gap closes and the temporary effects of low oil
prices and past exchange rate depreciation dissipate.
Examples of forward - looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements we make regarding the Company's plans, assumptions,
expectations, beliefs and objectives with respect to store openings and closings; product introductions; sales; sales
growth; sales trends; store traffic; retail
prices; gross margin; operating margin; expenses; interest and other expenses, net; effective income tax rate; net earnings and net earnings per share; share count; inventories; capital expenditures; cash flow; liquidity; currency translation;
growth opportunities; litigation outcomes and recovery related thereto; the collectability of amounts due under financing arrangements with diamond mining and exploration companies; and certain ongoing or planned product, marketing, retail, manufacturing, information systems development, upgrades and replacement, and other operational and strategic initiatives.
Right now, the best evidence implies that U.S. production
growth will exceed
expectations, perhaps by a large amount since the lagged effects of higher crude oil
price from November through January have yet to be felt.
Under this scenario, an eventual rise in wage
growth would likely be accompanied by a secular rise in realized inflation (inflation
expectations would trend with energy
prices), and the policy battle onward may resemble that of Paul Volcker instead of Ben Bernanke.
Going forward, as I mentioned earlier, a number of characteristics in the marketplace or in the economy would argue for gold — whether that's monetary policy or rising inflation
expectations on the back of higher oil
prices and job
growth.
For the first time in a year, the ACCI - Westpac survey of manufacturing firms reported that more firms expect to increase rather than decrease
prices in the coming quarter, and for the second consecutive quarter, the ABS Business
Expectations survey reports a pick - up in expected
price growth.
Business surveys report that current inflationary pressures have firmed over the past quarter, and that
expectations of future
price growth are also being adjusted upwards.
Here are the company's
expectations for
price growth in the region's biggest cities, over the next 12 months: *
As a sign of how quickly the economy's prospects are changing (mainly as a result of the spike in oil
prices) economists at Lehman Brothers lowered their
growth expectations twice in the last three weeks.
The
price of the stock is bid up so high that the underlying company's
growth can't match investors»
expectations.
The Fund invests in
growth stocks, which may be more sensitive to market movements because their
prices tend to reflect future investor
expectations rather than just current profits.
Central bankers may have finally added enough stimulus into the monetary system, just as lower oil
prices and less fiscal restraint are helping to raise
growth, and subsequently, inflation
expectations.
Even so, economic
growth in the third quarter outpaced the bank's
expectations, partly as a result of higher oil
prices and improved
growth in developing nations.
b)
Price to Economic Book Value measures the
growth expectations embedded in the
prices of the stocks in the fund.
Even after a 42 % drop in its stock
price, BOX still has significant
growth expectations embedded in its valuation.
Oil
prices more than doubled off February's lows to hold above $ 50 a barrel by mid-December, and the the fiscal package announced by President - elect Donald Trump and renewed
growth expectations helped extend gains in the energy and materials sector.
Expectations of sustained demand
growth in emerging markets justified higher oil
prices, which in turn supported the debt - financed buildout of additional energy resources.
Commodity
prices generally rose as investors felt renewed
expectations for export
growth.
The
price - to - economic book value (PEBV) ratio measures the difference between the market's
expectations for future profits and the no -
growth value of the stock.
Everyone already knows that Tesla (TSLA: $ 345 / share) loses a great deal of money and has massive
growth expectations baked into its stock
price (we've addressed these concerns here and here).
No one needs to be told that the stock
price reflects enormous
growth expectations, but it's worth quantifying how unrealistic those
expectations really are.
The S&P Corelogic Case - Shiller home
price index rose 0.7 percent when seasonally adjusted for February, versus economists»
expectations for a 0.8 percent
growth.
What they did do was spur on higher inflation
expectations, which appears to be translating into actual
price growth.
Investors bid the
price of hot stocks so high because of
growth expectations years into the future or a mystique around the founder and invariably get caught in the crash when the company fails to meet
expectations.
Our investment thesis highlighted: 1) a negative divergence between GAAP and economic profits; 2) slowing organic
growth; 3) high profit
growth expectations embedded in the stock
price; and 4) the unlikely sale of the company despite the presence of an activist investor.
The multi-year Dominos
growth story, which saw the share
price soar and the company expand into counter-intuitive markets such as Europe and Japan, appeared to come unstuck in 2017 as the share
price went into a tailspin after committing the cardinal sin of failing to meet
expectations and fallout from underpayment allegations.
Fuelling the meteoric share
price rise (up some 80 per cent since the start of the year) are big earnings
expectations, though it's worth noting the share
price run is easily outpacing the expected earnings
growth.
Growth in 2017 is now forecast at 0.8 %, down from a previous forecast of 2.3 % in May, with referendum - related
expectations of higher unemployment, falling house
prices and shrinking business investment.
Expectations of sustained demand
growth in emerging markets justified higher oil
prices, which in turn supported the debt - financed buildout of additional energy resources.