Part of the reason that
the price of a commodity futures contract is not a prediction of the future price of the commodity is that many of the largest participants in the futures markets do not buy / sell futures contracts based on a forecast of what's going to happen to the price.
(A hedger is not interested in making a profit off the movements in
price of a commodity futures contract, but rather in shifting his risk of loss on the commodity itself due to adverse price change.)
(e) Engage in manipulative acts or practices regarding
the price of a commodity futures contract;
Not exact matches
Such risks, uncertainties and other factors include, without limitation: (1) the effect
of economic conditions in the industries and markets in which United Technologies and Rockwell Collins operate in the U.S. and globally and any changes therein, including financial market conditions, fluctuations in
commodity prices, interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates, levels
of end market demand in construction and in both the commercial and defense segments
of the aerospace industry, levels
of air travel, financial condition
of commercial airlines, the impact
of weather conditions and natural disasters and the financial condition
of our customers and suppliers; (2) challenges in the development, production, delivery, support, performance and realization
of the anticipated benefits
of advanced technologies and new products and services; (3) the scope, nature, impact or timing
of acquisition and divestiture or restructuring activity, including the pending acquisition
of Rockwell Collins, including among other things integration
of acquired businesses into United Technologies» existing businesses and realization
of synergies and opportunities for growth and innovation; (4)
future timing and levels
of indebtedness, including indebtedness expected to be incurred by United Technologies in connection with the pending Rockwell Collins acquisition, and capital spending and research and development spending, including in connection with the pending Rockwell Collins acquisition; (5)
future availability
of credit and factors that may affect such availability, including credit market conditions and our capital structure; (6) the timing and scope
of future repurchases
of United Technologies» common stock, which may be suspended at any time due to various factors, including market conditions and the level
of other investing activities and uses
of cash, including in connection with the proposed acquisition
of Rockwell; (7) delays and disruption in delivery
of materials and services from suppliers; (8) company and customer - directed cost reduction efforts and restructuring costs and savings and other consequences thereof; (9) new business and investment opportunities; (10) our ability to realize the intended benefits
of organizational changes; (11) the anticipated benefits
of diversification and balance
of operations across product lines, regions and industries; (12) the outcome
of legal proceedings, investigations and other contingencies; (13) pension plan assumptions and
future contributions; (14) the impact
of the negotiation
of collective bargaining agreements and labor disputes; (15) the effect
of changes in political conditions in the U.S. and other countries in which United Technologies and Rockwell Collins operate, including the effect
of changes in U.S. trade policies or the U.K.'s pending withdrawal from the EU, on general market conditions, global trade policies and currency exchange rates in the near term and beyond; (16) the effect
of changes in tax (including U.S. tax reform enacted on December 22, 2017, which is commonly referred to as the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
of 2017), environmental, regulatory (including among other things import / export) and other laws and regulations in the U.S. and other countries in which United Technologies and Rockwell Collins operate; (17) the ability
of United Technologies and Rockwell Collins to receive the required regulatory approvals (and the risk that such approvals may result in the imposition
of conditions that could adversely affect the combined company or the expected benefits
of the merger) and to satisfy the other conditions to the closing
of the pending acquisition on a timely basis or at all; (18) the occurrence
of events that may give rise to a right
of one or both
of United Technologies or Rockwell Collins to terminate the merger agreement, including in circumstances that might require Rockwell Collins to pay a termination fee
of $ 695 million to United Technologies or $ 50 million
of expense reimbursement; (19) negative effects
of the announcement or the completion
of the merger on the market
price of United Technologies» and / or Rockwell Collins» common stock and / or on their respective financial performance; (20) risks related to Rockwell Collins and United Technologies being restricted in their operation
of their businesses while the merger agreement is in effect; (21) risks relating to the value
of the United Technologies» shares to be issued in connection with the pending Rockwell acquisition, significant merger costs and / or unknown liabilities; (22) risks associated with third party
contracts containing consent and / or other provisions that may be triggered by the Rockwell merger agreement; (23) risks associated with merger - related litigation or appraisal proceedings; and (24) the ability
of United Technologies and Rockwell Collins, or the combined company, to retain and hire key personnel.
CNBC's Jackie DeAngelis reports on
commodities as several options and
futures contracts expire Friday, and the factors supporting the
price of oil.
The exchange - traded fund uses
futures contracts to try to match the
future price of the
commodity.
Last week, on October 2, 2012, we locked in an 11 % gain on a swing trade in US Natural Gas Fund ($ UNG), a
commodity ETF designed to roughly track the
price of natural gas
futures contracts.
Using daily closing
prices for the most liquid
contract for each
of 35 (6 energy, 10
commodity, 6 government bond, 6 currency exchange rate and 7 equity index)
futures contract series as available during January 1987 through December 2013, he finds that: Keep Reading
Here, I'll give you an overview
of natural gas
futures, including
contract specifications, natural gas
futures prices, and factors impacting the value
of this
commodity.
The second ETF on our watchlist for potential buy entry today is US Natural Gas Fund ETF ($ UNG), a
commodity ETF that tracks the
price of the natural gas
futures contracts.
Two parties sign a
contract to exchange a given amount
of some asset — a
commodity, say, or a currency — at some predetermined
price in the
future.
The steeper the contango, the worse the relative return on the rolling
futures contracts compared to the spot
price of the
commodity.
If the market for a particular
commodity suffers from strong, persistent contango, an ETF that buys
futures contracts on that
commodity will perform worse than the spot
price of the
commodity itself.
Investors who buy ETFs that use
commodity futures contracts are sometimes surprised to see that the ETF does not move in lockstep with the
price of the
commodity as seen in the news, oil being a good example.
Futures also serve as underlying holdings of several ETFs, especially commodity funds, which do not buy the physical commodity, but track the futures contract
Futures also serve as underlying holdings
of several ETFs, especially
commodity funds, which do not buy the physical
commodity, but track the
futures contract
futures contract price.
ICE
Futures U.S. offers futures and options contracts on the Reuters Jefferies / CRB Index (RJ / CRB), developed originally in 1957, which continues to be the benchmark indicator of overall commodity
Futures U.S. offers
futures and options contracts on the Reuters Jefferies / CRB Index (RJ / CRB), developed originally in 1957, which continues to be the benchmark indicator of overall commodity
futures and options
contracts on the Reuters Jefferies / CRB Index (RJ / CRB), developed originally in 1957, which continues to be the benchmark indicator
of overall
commodity price.
A
commodity futures contract is an agreement between a buyer or end user, and a seller or producer to make or take delivery of a Commodity or Financial Futures contract of an Exchange traded contract of a specific size, grade and quality at an agreed upon price for a specific date in th
commodity futures contract is an agreement between a buyer or end user, and a seller or producer to make or take delivery of a Commodity or Financial Futures contract of an Exchange traded contract of a specific size, grade and quality at an agreed upon price for a specific date in the
futures contract is an agreement between a buyer or end user, and a seller or producer to make or take delivery
of a
Commodity or Financial Futures contract of an Exchange traded contract of a specific size, grade and quality at an agreed upon price for a specific date in th
Commodity or Financial
Futures contract of an Exchange traded contract of a specific size, grade and quality at an agreed upon price for a specific date in the
Futures contract of an Exchange traded
contract of a specific size, grade and quality at an agreed upon
price for a specific date in the
future.
An option to buy a
commodity, security or
futures contract at a specified
price anytime between now and the expiration date
of the option
contract.
An option to sell a
commodity, security, or
futures contract at a specified
price at any time between now and the expiration
of the option
contract.
All
of these
commodities have standardized
futures contracts and speculators and traders are constantly seeking profit making opportunities, while hedgers attempt to lock in favourable
future trading
price levels in the present trying to avoid risk.
What all
commodity index funds do is buy a basket
of futures contracts, usually near - month
contracts, which should closely track the
price in the here and now (also known as the «spot
price») movement
of the various
commodities.
A hedger achieves protection against changing cash
prices by purchasing (selling)
futures contracts of the same or similar
commodity and later offsetting that position by selling (purchasing)
futures contracts of the same quantity and type as the initial transaction.
Futures are standardized
contracts wherein you purchase
commodities and other forms
of financial instruments in today's
price, to be traded in a specific time in the
future.
Spot
prices differ from
futures prices, in that a
futures contract specifies an amount
of money to be paid for a deliverable
commodity at a later date, whereas spot
prices can be thought
of as the amount
of money a buyer would pay a producer for the former to throw the
commodity into the back
of the latter's truck right now.
Because there are so many different types
of options and
futures contracts, an investor can hedge against nearly anything, including a stock,
commodity price, interest rate or currency.
As a form
of investment there are
contracts to buy
commodities at a specific time in the
future or at a specific
price.
The
futures indexes measure the
prices of these physical
commodities by measuring the
price of futures contracts on the underlying
commodities.
Using daily and monthly
futures index levels and
contract prices for the 24
commodities in the S&P GSCI as available during January 1979 through June 2012, along with contemporaneous returns for a broad sample
of U.S. stocks, they find that: Keep Reading
Futures contracts, or simply «futures,» were created to help producers and buyers of commodities manage their price risk ove
Futures contracts, or simply «
futures,» were created to help producers and buyers of commodities manage their price risk ove
futures,» were created to help producers and buyers
of commodities manage their
price risk over time.
The
commodity long - only (long - short) carry portfolio is each month long the equally weighted 30 %
of commodities with the highest annualized ratios
of nearest to next - nearest
futures contract price (and short the 30 %
of commodities with the lowest ratios).
A
futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell at a certain date for a predetermined
price, so its value generally moves along with spot
prices of the
commodity or index.
The purchased
commodity will usually be obtained at a good
price, while the
commodity sold will earn a good return on investment that covers the cost
of the
commodity futures contract.
This process
of buying longer - dated
futures contracts can sometimes be more expensive than simply buying and holding the underlying
commodity because
of changes in the spot
price of the
commodity and the amount
of time value in the
futures contract — a situation known as «contango.»
In a nutshell, a
futures contract is a binding agreement to buy or sell a particular quantity
of a
commodity at a specific
price on a specific date.
THOUGHTS ON THE CONTANGO ISSUE, as it relates to Horizon HNU and the fact that the
future contract prices move roughly in sympathy with the spot
prices of a
commodity, in this case, natural gas.
For example, if particular corn
futures contract happens to be trading at $ 3.50, while the current market
price of the
commodity today is $ 3.10, there is a 40 - cent cost basis.
All broad - based
commodity indices are based on
commodity futures contracts, not the spot
prices of commodities.
A
contract which gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a specified quantity
of a
commodity or a
futures contract at a specific
price within a specified period
of time.
A short hedge involves selling
futures contracts to protect against possible declining
prices of commodities.
The seller
of the option has the obligation to sell the
commodity or
futures contract or to buy it from the option buyer at the exercise
price if the option is exercised.
The actual
price or the bid or ask
price of either cash
commodities or
futures or options
contracts at a particular time.
A long hedge involves buying
futures contracts to protect against possible increasing
prices of commodities.
A standardized
contract set by a particular
futures exchange that includes the size (1000 barrels, 5000 bushels, 5000 ounces, etc.), the place where delivery can be made, the type and quality
of the
commodity to be delivered, and the
price of the transaction.
(d) Disseminate, or cause to be disseminated, false or misleading information, or a knowingly inaccurate report, that affects or tends to affect the
price of any
commodity that is the subject
of a
commodity futures contract;
While it's possible to invest directly in
commodities (say, by buying 10,000 pounds
of sugar), most
commodities are traded through «
futures contracts» — a promise to buy or sell a certain amount
of the
commodity at a specified
price on a certain date.
Upon expiration, buyers
of futures contracts are obligated to buy the underlying
commodity from the seller
of the
contract, independent
of the
price of the
commodity.
With a
futures contract, you agree to buy or sell a certain amount
of a
commodity in the
future, with an established
price that can fluctuate with market conditions.
Calculate the notional value
of a
futures contract by multiplying the size
of the
contract by the
price per unit
of the
commodity represented by the spot
price.
Specifically, interests in
commodity pools or managed
futures pools are valued on a daily basis by reference to the closing market
prices of each
futures contract or other asset held by a pool, as adjusted for pool expenses.
Futures contracts offer investors a way to get exposure to changing
prices of commodities without having to take physical possession.