Finally, our research indicates that favorites have been historically undervalued
in prime time games.
It's admittedly a small sample, but West Coast teams have gone 9 - 4 ATS when
playing prime time games in the Eastern Time Zone.
Last year, I'll remind folks, we had only ONE bona -
fide prime time game, a MNF affair against the Cowboys in Week 3 — which we lost, and rather lopsidedly at that, despite pretty much historically owning the» Boys the last number of years.
For years fans and analysts alike have speculated that teams bring extra effort and tenacity when playing
in prime time games.
All
the prime time games are at home.
Tom Brady (suspension) and Rob Gronkowski (hamstring) were among the notable Patriots missing from Sunday's
prime time game.
NE and Pitt could be
a prime time game.
Is Thursday Night Football considered
a prime time game?
While the Colts are coming off a heartbreaking overtime loss to the Panthers in
a prime time game, the Broncos beat the previously undefeated Packers by 19 - points on Sunday.
We should note that historically favorites have performed well in
prime time games, which could give pause to Eagles supporters.
Perhaps the most interesting trend that emerged from this research was the performance of West Coast teams in
prime time games.
Researchers have found that peak athletic performance occurs during the late afternoon / early evening, which helps explain why West Coast teams have been far more profitable in
prime time games.
That means they're more profitable on the second half line and in
prime time games.
In
prime time games, East Coast teams have gone just 10 - 15 ATS (40.0 %) when playing in the Pacific Time Zone.
You'd think a multi-billion dollar organization would have scores of people running around making sure
their prime time game was going to plan.
The table below displays how betting against the public has performed in
prime time games (defined as any game played at 7PM eastern or later)
I also have a system that I recently shared in the Think Tank that focuses on buying on the line move in
prime time games.
In this week's edition, we wanted to analyze
another prime time game — Monday night's showdown between the AFC North leading Cincinnati Bengals (11 - 3) and the AFC West leading Denver Broncos (10 - 4).
Bettors are often quick to overreact to small sample sizes — especially when a team puts up a memorable performance in
a prime time game.
Since 2005, favorites have gone 268 - 238 ATS (53.0 %) in
prime time games.
While underdogs have struggled in
prime time games, favorites have thrived posting a 273 - 249 ATS record (52.3 %) with +11.45 units won.
I like the draw in both Leicester City / Southampton (+240) and Manchester City / Tottenham (+250), and both are fading the public in
these prime time games.
In this week's
prime time game, these two ACC powerhouses will square off with Miami hoping to end a five - game losing streak against Florida State.
We knew a couple of games ahead of time, like the London game and we got a hot tip about
a prime time game with the Pittsburgh Steelers in November.
We talked about how BYU just seems to be a different team at home in
these prime time games.
Released in May 1997, it was one of the last games ever published for the Genesis, but to be honest, this game is hardly anything more than a repackaged version of
the Prime Time game from two years earlier.