Sentences with phrase «pro-romney election prediction»

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So Flagg Taylor of RICOCHET fame writes in response to my dissing of his very pro-Romney election prediction: I love that I am now lumped in with Mr. Barone.

So Flagg Taylor of RICOCHET fame writes in response to my dissing of his very pro-Romney election prediction:

Regular readers of Politics in Spires might remember I've dabbled in election prediction before, and so I decided to turn my hand to trying to predict the outcome of the Eastleigh by - election.

When host Kwami Sefa Kayi sought to find out the basis of Mr. Pratt's assertions, the latter noted that he is «very good at election prediction.

Last month, in my first election prediction, I expected Labour to stage a partial come - back in Scotland and retain 31 of the 41 seats they won in 2010.

In Peter Kellner's latest election prediction, Labour's Scottish seat tally falls from 31 to 24 (Comments: 300)

Several polling companies included Ashcroft's polls in their election predictions, though several of the political parties disputed his findings.

If true, it paints a fascinating picture for the Conservatives early election predictions.

Out of hundreds or thousands of election predictions, there would necessarily be a few good ones, and you cherry - picked the best you know of.

Election predictions / forecasts can be verified in almost real time (if you think geologically...).

This reminds me of the recent election prediction fiasco a mere two months ago, when self - described «statisticians» formulated election prediction models based upon aggregating polling data from various sources and then by somehow mashing them altogether they were able to produce a result that said Hillary Clinton had a 98 % probability of winning the election.

Not exact matches

The stock market, of course, is no reliable oracle — its prediction for the presidential election turned out to be wrong.

From Google + not surviving to Facebook playing a bigger role in the elections, here are some predictions for next year.

Many voices have claimed that the statisticians lost the election because their predictions were so off the mark.

Facebook and Zuckerberg are currently embroiled in the fallout from a scandal caused by newsthat data firm Cambridge Analytica used data on 50 million individuals that was harvested from a «personality prediction» app on Facebook for political targeting purposes during the 2016 election campaign.

The 2016 Best of the Hot List includes ideas from David Dreman on why analysts» predictions are like powerball tickets, insights from Peter Lynch on what investors can learn from the Maya and a discussion of what elections mean for long - term investors.

After the US election, my prediction was that the dollar was going to suffer from Mr. Trump being in office.

To determine causality, they investigate stock market futures reactions to betting market predictions of divided versus undivided government during four election nights.

According to Cowley and Stuart's predictions, even if there were no rebellions between now and the next general election you would still see a rebellion rate of 31 %.

The Root MSE tells us that the models are on average 3 to 5 percentage points out on the change in share of the council seats won, which is a big average error for a prediction model when there are thousands of seats up for election.

But events after the party's victory in the 2016 election have proved my predictions and calculations wrong.

Remember the predictions before the general election that Eurosceptics would not remain loyal to the UK Independent Party all the way to polling day?

The PollyVote combined forecast, averaging across forecast types, appears to have a good track record for US presidential elections, and their analysis suggests that citizen forecasts and prediction markets typically outperform the polls in the US.

The unexpected prediction from the deputy prime minister comes amid a storm of activity from Conservative eurosceptics, as the long campaigning season ahead of May's European elections begins in earnest.

Some of you still remember the tension that had built up before the 2015 elections, so much so that doomsday predictions emerged from many quarters including from agencies in the United States that Nigeria would disintegrate in 2015.

Perhaps this is not the time to be making predictions, after the most genuinely unpredictable election in living memory, but I think the referendum will happen and that Cameron is likely to win it.

Quinn also pointed out that while these numbers are projections, reality has matched PQMedia's predictions through the election cycle to this date.

Not - so - bold prediction: online ads, online recruiting, online messaging, online mobilization and online fundraising can (and will) make a difference in elections for the Senate, Congress and state and local offices in 2012.

However, this is the first time the chairman has been so clear in his prediction that Wendy Long would likely land Row C for the general election.

I'm not convinced by Jeremy Corbyn's prediction of a general election in 2018.

Next is an article which went against the grain in terms of predictions for the Oldham by - election.

With the failure of traditional forecasting methods to accurately predict the outcomes of the UK General Election of May 2015, can social media based predictions do any better?

Join our panel of politicos, journalists, and bloggers as they share their analysis of the primary season and their predictions for the conventions and general election.

Using the same data a logit regression model improves the predictive power of local elections to tell us who will win the most votes at the next general election, making correct predictions 86.21 % of the time.

However, the unpredictable nature of this primary election has not stopped a seemingly endless array of pundits, wonks, and psychics from bombarding the airwaves with their half - witted predictions.

Election expert Sean Fear offers his predictions for the battles for control of Town Halls taking place in June 2009.

yUnder the circumstances of a very close election, during which the main three party leaders will be under far more scrutiny than ever before, your Scottish prediction seems spot on.

But just as predictions for the national election proved wide of the mark, so did those for the 9,500 local contests.

On turnout, as with a primary, special elections tend to bring out a more involved subset of voters, clouding any apples - to - apples prediction for the next general election.

But, as the nearly complete results table shows, that was another prediction largely confounded in these elections.

My prediction is that Ed Balls will hold on with 300 votes and Alan Duncan will do a wild victory jig that is captured on camera by the BBC, becoming one of those iconic election images.

The Liberal Democrats» constituency campaign is already in full election mode, and its staffers and activists are fully aware of the polls» dire predictions.

Additionally, if we use the results of the local elections in 2011, when the Conservatives received 35 % of the vote, Labour 37 % and the Liberal Democrats 15 %, the results of the predictions are very similar.

The Mavens of London research, which was originally reported by Politics.co.uk, combines traditional polling data with information about people's online searches for their local candidates to come up with predictions of the election result.

2) The rise of UKIP at the 2013 local elections dramatically alters the predicted UKIP vote share, lowers both the Conservative and Labour vote shares but also increases the margin of error around the predictions.

Of course using different local election results produces different predictions, but note that for all three parties the confidence intervals of both predictions overlap.

My official prediction using my Final Election Model is that the Conservatives will make a net gain of 45 seats resulting in a working majority of 105 seats.

Although local election and general election results tend to be quite similar to begin with (the two are 90 % correlated) a statistical prediction might offer a better indicator of what is likely to happen in the future then simply taking the results at face value.