Sentences with phrase «probabilistic simple climate models»

linking probabilistic simple climate models, complex Earth system models, and econometric analyses of historical weathering and climate impacts to project future risks associated with climate change and improve estimates of the social cost of carbon.

As in that paper, potential temperature outcomes produced the probabilistic simple climate model but not represented within the NEX - GDDP dataset were represented by «model surrogates», produced using linear pattern scaling, with residuals added to represent high - frequency variability and non-linearities.

This method weights projections by comparing their global mean surface temperature projections to those of a probabilistic simple climate model, in this case (as in Rasmussen et al., 2016) the MAGICC6 model (Meinshausen et al., 2011).

As in that paper, potential temperature outcomes produced the probabilistic simple climate model but not represented within the downscaled CMIP5 dataset were represented by «model surrogates», produced using linear pattern scaling, with residuals added to represent high - frequency variability and non-linearities.

Not exact matches

These budgets give the lowest estimates of allowed emissions and are the simplest to convert into policy advice, but they suffer from the same problem of probabilistic interpretation as TEBs since they are dependent on simple climate models with uncertainty ranges calibrated to the CMIP5 ensemble.