But it has strong
probabilities of success where working change in an existing firm, no matter how good is more likely to fail than succeed, probably by a large margin.
Sam Glover: I think what I'm hearing is you really go to great lengths, not just to address the legal problems, but to try and forecast
probabilities of success for your clients and kind of draw them a roadmap for where their litigation might go.
To be fair, it is not always possible to create a cost effective plan that has a good chance of working; it that case, when diagnostic or treatment options are constrained by budget limitations, we honestly strive to explain
the probabilities of success so realistic expectations can be set.
David does a number of things differently in his article, but there is one portion (Table 2) where he discusses
probabilities of success for different strategies which allows for an easier way to compare his results with our methodology.
With a 4 % withdrawal rate, he finds that declining equity glidepaths in retirement support higher
probabilities of success than fixed equity glidepaths, which in turn supports higher
probabilities of success than rising equity glidepaths.
In order to properly assess conclusions for a retirement plan analysis, it's crucial to look at
both probabilities of success and failure, and their magnitudes.»
But I'm pretty certain that if you diversify properly and keep your expectations reasonable,
the probabilities of success will be on your side.
When the business purchased is private, and the purchase is paid for with shares that trade at healthy multiples,
the probabilities of success rise.
Of course, these savings rates and
probabilities of success are just estimates, not guarantees.
Adopt these seven habits of highly successful traders to increase
the probabilities of your success in the markets.
You see, every aspect of your trading needs to be in tip - top condition so that you have put
the probabilities of success in your favor as much as possible.
Sticking to higher time frame charts will help you put
the probabilities of success in your favor as you trade.
During that period, I've had a chance to watch how this vesting formula has affected the group psychology and increased
the probabilities of success in over thirty companies.
I included some suggestions on best practices to maximize
the probabilities of success.
«I may tell them, for example, that if they adopt a certain trademark, there's a 15 percent chance that a larger company will come after them, but that they also have a 60 percent
probability of success,» she says.
Your probability of success is much better when you plan.»
The increased
probability of success usually far outweighs any initial franchise fee and nominal royalties that are paid monthly.»
I think this is a really good way to conceptualize how SEO needs to be integrated into all aspects of your business to have the greatest
probability of success.
To maximize
your probability of success, incorporate the downstream manufacturing point of view in the design process.»
While cognitive biases ceaselessly affect every facet of one's life, they have an especially detrimental effect on entrepreneurs»
probability of success.
«Think about the very low
probability of success.
It is done much more for public appearance than having real substance and
probability of success.
A typical response is to focus by cutting the number of balls in the air, presumably reducing the probability of failure and increasing
the probability of success.
But like all investment ideas, you are only increasing
your probability of success by getting to know investment cycles, rather than discovering a sure way to invest.
Trading antagonistic options around a futures contract increases
the probability of success.
Examples: 100 % stock allocation, 15 - year period, 3 % withdrawal rate: 100 %
probability of success.
100 % bonds, 30 years, 4 % withdrawal: 20 %
probability of success.
If
your probability of success is uncomfortably low — say, much below 80 % — then you'll want to re-run the analysis to see how moves like saving more, investing differently and delaying retirement a year or two might improve your chances.
how about a set of coupled ODEs that track growth and decay of «hotness» through time, with the successes being a kind of forcing function, and the ODE measuring
a probability of success.
It will change the decisions you make and greatly reduce your upfront investment, while increasing
your probability of success in the shortest amount of time.»
There are various studies that have tracked
the probability of success of technology startups over the past decades, such as MIT's Edward Roberts.
«Size matters — the smaller the acquisition, the higher
the probability of success,» he says.
But if ten independent variables need to break favorably for a successful result, and each has a 90 %
probability of success, the likelihood of having a winner is only 35 %.
But instead I had to warn them that there were several essential elements of their corporate structure they had to get right now to maximize
their probability of success.
These are a lot of rules to follow, but there is a high
probability of success if you stick to these guidelines.
So, depending on the drug's stage of development, we must apply a probability factor to account for
its probability of success.
By multiplying the drug's estimated free cash flow by the stage - appropriate
probability of success, you get a forecast of free cash flows that accounts for development risk.
Because you have already factored in risk by applying the clinical trial
probability of success, you do not need to include development risk in the discount rate.
By concentrating on the largest, most liquid segment of the universe, the portfolio has an inherent bias towards holding those coins the market believes have the highest
probability of success.
R.N. Elliott stressed the importance of using Fibonacci ratios in combination with his Elliott Wave Theory in order to maximize
the probability of success.
They run 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations for each of many initial withdrawal rate scenarios, with
probability of success defined as the percentage of runs not exhausting the portfolio before the end of a specified retirement period.
A just cause must have
probability of success and if the intent is to «deter» Assad and other rogues from using chemical weapons, lobbing a few cruise missiles won't accomplish such a goal.
Although the machines involved are extraordinarily dangerous, the moral principle governing their use is perfectly ordinary: It is the familiar one that human beings should engage in an activity that poses dangers to others only if, in the totality of the circumstances, doing so is reasonable» i.e., if the good to be achieved, taking account of
the probability of success, is proportionate to the possible ill effects.
It must have a reasonable
probability of success.
A perfect part - time business would have to be very easy to start, require little time and money and no technical expertise, be easy to maintain with just a few hours a week and have a proven track record with a high
probability of success.
A just war is a last resort, undertaken when it is reasonably determined that there are not alternative ways to resolve the conflict, and when there is a reasonable
probability of success in achieving the aims of the war.
One of the principles of just - war thinking is
probability of success.
The reason for the greater
probability of the success of the religious approach is that the problem is fundamentally a religious problem.
«By casting vision to both the fact people and the passion people you greatly increase your chances of harnessing the support of both parties and increasing
the probability of success.»
The criteria of
probability of success and proportionality, as well as other just war principles like last resort and even just cause, require judgment calls.