Sentences with phrase «probability for each outcome»

If Monte Carlo analysis were done on the climate models, I am sure that what we would see is pretty much equal probability for any outcome — ie flat kurtosis.

Not exact matches

If you want a laugh equal to your fear check out present day dollars return for your portfolio with an upside probability equal to the negative outcome you are offsetting; it is crazy large.
In the cost - effectiveness analysis (GiveWell estimate of Living Goods cost effectiveness (November 2014)-RRB-, in all Sheets except for «U5MR (Jake's assumptions),» we use 5q0, or the probability of a child dying before his or her 5th birthday expressed in deaths per 1,000 live births assuming constant mortality rates throughout childhood, instead of the under - 5 mortality rate (under 5 deaths per person per year), because the original report on the RCT we received from Living Goods reported outcomes in terms of 5q0.
«Since the crash is not a certain deterministic outcome of the bubble, it remains rational for investors to remain in the market provided they are compensated by a higher rate of growth of the bubble for taking the risk of a crash, because there is a finite probability of «landing smoothly,» that is, of attaining the end of the bubble without crash.»
«We strive to try to understand the possibilities and probabilities of potential outcomes so as to be prepared for any outcome.
As we noted in our article entitled «What are the Chances of a Balanced Budget in 2014 - 15 (www.3dpolicy.ca), the probability of eliminating the deficit in 2014 - 15 depends largely on how much better the deficit outcome will be for 2013 - 14.
It hurts my brain to see how the outcomes of probability either way are argued as evidence for divine manipulation of reality.
The games already played have set a baseline for the end - of - season outcome probabilities.
Overall, and for multiparous women, planned birth at home generated the greatest mean net benefit with a 100 % probability of being the optimal setting across all thresholds of cost effectiveness when perinatal outcomes were considered.
Birth at home generated the greatest mean net monetary benefit with a 100 % probability of being the optimal setting across all thresholds of cost effectiveness (varied between # 0 and # 100000 for the maternal outcomes of interest).
Prediction markets, instead of predicted percentages for each option, only produce the probabilities an outcome will occur.
As such, it may very well be probable that «nones» simply randomly don't get represented as often, given the small sample size (you can ask on Cross-validated the probability of the exact outcome we see, especially adjusted for mimicry noted as the main reason).
Yet another theory (articulated in the paper I linked to) is that the outcome of an election, especially for President, matters quite a lot to people because it affects the lives of hundreds of millions of Americans, so the low probability is made up for by the high reward.
Because only probability amplitudes are required for this task, a more efficient semiclassical version can be used, for which only single - qubit operations conditioned on measurement outcomes are required.
The probability of winning a roll of the dice, for example, is equal to the proportion of winning outcomes relative to all possible ones.
This leads to incorrect probabilities of experimental outcomes in the multiverse — unless, Freivogel and his team argue, the mathematical cut - offs somehow have real and dire consequences for the places they intersect.
Ultimately, the outcome of this neural computing operation is a probability value — the computer calculates, for example, how likely it is that a face actually does correspond to that of the person being sought.
«Our results show that, in an era in which high - resolution molecular typing for class I and class II HLA [human leukocyte antigen] loci has significantly improved the clinical outcome of unrelated donor HSCT by decreasing the risk of immunological complications, lowering the ATLG dose to 15 mg / kg did not affect the time to engraftment and, more importantly, the incidence of acute or chronic GVHD [graft - vs - host disease], and was associated with an improved probability of event - free survival, mainly due to a reduced risk of nonrelapse mortality,» wrote Franco Locatelli, MD, of the department of oncoematologia pediatrica, IRCCS Ospedale «Bambino Gesù» in Rome, and colleagues.
So, the majority of reports and surveys evaluating the efficacy of senior dating sites mostly lead to the probability for biased outcomes.
It requires students to fill in a two way table for the possible outcomes of rolling two dice and summing them together, then answer probability questions based on this.
Pages of Download Grade 2 Practice Sheets: 1 - Cover 2 - For the Teacher 3 - 6 - Measurement Length 7 - 11 - Measurement Height 12 - 15 - Place Value 16 - 20 - Ordinal Numbers 21 - 25 - Smallest / Largest Number in a set of numbers 26 - 29 - Greater than 30 - 33 - Less than 34 - 36 - Greater than / Less than 37 - 39 - Add or subtract write the sign in the blank 40 - 45 - Adding using place value (example: 4 + 13 + 5) 46 - 51 - Adding with words - Example - what is 150 more than 200 52 - 55 - Skip Counting 56 - 59 - Skip Counting - Missing Numbers on a Number line 60 - 65 - Reading Graphs 65 - 71 - Solving Word Problems 72 - 76 - Time 77 - 83 - Coin Identification and Coin counting 84 - 88 - Counting Dollars and coins 89 - 92 - Geometry 93 - 96 - Fractions 97 - 115 - Answer Keys 116 - 118 - Terms of Use and Credits Pages of Download Grade 3 Practice Sheets: 1 - Cover 2 - For the Teacher 3 - 6 - Measurement Length 7 - 11 - Measurement Height 12 - 19 - Place Value 20 - 24 - Find the smallest / largest number from a set of numbers 25 - 28 - Number Words 29 - 32 - Skip Counting - complete the sequence 33 - 37 - Counting dollars and coins 38 - 48 - Reading thermometers - temperature 49 - 53 - Reading graphs 54 - 57 - Reading Calendars 58 - 62 - Numerators and Denominators 63 - 67 - Fraction Circles 68 - 72 - Fractions of a solid 73 - 78 - Word Problems 79 - 83 - Data Tables 84 - 88 - Multi-Step Word Problems 89 - 92 - Rounding to the nearest ten 93 - 96 - Rounding to the nearest hundred 97 - 100 - Rounding word problems 101 - 103 - Probability 104 - 107 - Geometry - identifying shapes 108 - 110 - Height of a triangle 111 - 113 - Angles identifying right, acute, and obtuse 114 - 117 - Symmetry and Angles 118 - 121 - Perimeter 122 - 125 - Area 126 - 129 - Elapsed Time 130 - 155 - Answer Keys 156 - 158 - Credits and Terms of Use Pages of Download Grade 4 practice sheets: 1 - Cover 2 - For the Teacher 3 - 6 - Measurement Length 7 - 11 - Patterns 12 - 15 - Parallel and Perpendicular Lines 16 - 26 - Reading Temperature 27 - 31 - Reading Graphs 32 - 36 - Coordinate Graphs 37 - 41 - Skip Counting - complete the sequence 42 - 46 - Place Value 47 - 50 - Number Words 51 - 55 - Powers of 10 56 - 60 - Adding using Place Value 61 - 70 - Fractions 71 - 75 - Fraction Word Problems 76 - 80 - Convert Fractions to Decimals 81 - 85 - Convert Decimals to Fractions 86 - 90 - Height of a figure 91 - 95 - Missing Number in an equation 96 - 100 - Balancing Equations 101 - 105 - Data Tables - ordering numbers 106 - 110 - Data Table Addition 111 - 115 - Data Table Time 116 - 120 - Data Table Subtraction 121 - 125 - Estimation Word Problems 126 - 130 - Ratio Word Problems 131 - 134 - Probability 135 - 140 - Spinner Probability 141 - 145 - Arrays 146 - 173 - Answer Keys 174 - 177 - Credits and Terms of Use Pages of Download Grade 5 Sheets: 1 - Cover 2 - For the Teacher 3 - 7 - Units of Measure 8 - 12 - Reading Graphs 13 - 17 - Number Words 18 - 22 - Place Value 23 - 27 - Decimal Place Value 28 - 32 - Rounding Numbers 33 - 37 - Complete the sequence, skip counting 38 - 42 - Solving Equations 43 - 47 - Variable Equations 48 - 52 - Simplify Expressions 53 - 57 - Finding the Mean 58 - 62 - Mean, Median, Mode 63 - 67 - Greatest Common Factor 68 - 72 - Fractions 73 - 77 - Comparing a set of Fractions 78 - 83 - Comparing Multiple Fractions 84 - 93 - Fraction Word Problems 94 - 98 - Estimating / Estimation Word Problems 99 - 103 - Possible Outcome Problems 104 - 108 - Distance Word Problems 109 - 113 - Division Word Problems 114 - 118 - Ratio Word Problems 119 - 124 - Coordinate Graphs 125 - 130 - Perimeter 131 - 135 - Area 136 - 145 Elapsed Time Clocks and Watches 146 - 171 - Answer Keys 172 - 175 - Credits and Terms of Use
The challenge before us is to understand why and how disadvantaged environments lead to impaired learning, poor health, and maladaptive behavior, and to use that knowledge to increase the probability of more positive outcomes for all children.
For information about these resources and an index for the whole collection please visit http://www.mrbartonmaths.com/CIMT.htm Keywords: Probability, Chance, Likelihood, Tree Diagram, Systematic Listing, Conditions, Mutually Exclusive, Independent, Impossible, Certain, Relative Frequency, Outcome, Trials, Experiment, Even, Likely, Unlikely, Estimation, Complementary, Addition Law, Multiplication Law, Theoretical, Experimental, Scale, Listing, Sample Space, Venn Diagram, ReplacemeFor information about these resources and an index for the whole collection please visit http://www.mrbartonmaths.com/CIMT.htm Keywords: Probability, Chance, Likelihood, Tree Diagram, Systematic Listing, Conditions, Mutually Exclusive, Independent, Impossible, Certain, Relative Frequency, Outcome, Trials, Experiment, Even, Likely, Unlikely, Estimation, Complementary, Addition Law, Multiplication Law, Theoretical, Experimental, Scale, Listing, Sample Space, Venn Diagram, Replacemefor the whole collection please visit http://www.mrbartonmaths.com/CIMT.htm Keywords: Probability, Chance, Likelihood, Tree Diagram, Systematic Listing, Conditions, Mutually Exclusive, Independent, Impossible, Certain, Relative Frequency, Outcome, Trials, Experiment, Even, Likely, Unlikely, Estimation, Complementary, Addition Law, Multiplication Law, Theoretical, Experimental, Scale, Listing, Sample Space, Venn Diagram, Replacement.
For information about these resources and an index for the whole collection please visit http://www.mrbartonmaths.com/CIMT.htm Keywords: Probability, Chance, Likelihood, Mutually Exclusive, Independent, Impossible, Certain, Relative Frequency, Outcome, Trials, Experiment, Even, Likely, Unlikely, Estimation, Complementary, Addition LFor information about these resources and an index for the whole collection please visit http://www.mrbartonmaths.com/CIMT.htm Keywords: Probability, Chance, Likelihood, Mutually Exclusive, Independent, Impossible, Certain, Relative Frequency, Outcome, Trials, Experiment, Even, Likely, Unlikely, Estimation, Complementary, Addition Lfor the whole collection please visit http://www.mrbartonmaths.com/CIMT.htm Keywords: Probability, Chance, Likelihood, Mutually Exclusive, Independent, Impossible, Certain, Relative Frequency, Outcome, Trials, Experiment, Even, Likely, Unlikely, Estimation, Complementary, Addition Law.
Calculate probability for single events based on theoretical models i.e. (number of favourable outcomes) / (number of possible outcomes).
This is a straightforward activity where students have to complete the table of outcomes / probability space / sample space for the event of rolling two dice and adding the scores together.
For information about these resources and an index for the whole collection please visit http://www.mrbartonmaths.com/CIMT.htm Keywords: Probability, Chance, Likelihood, Tree Diagram, Systematic Listing, Conditions, Mutually Exclusive, Independent, Impossible, Certain, Relative Frequency, Outcome, Trials, Experiment, Even, Likely, Unlikely, Estimation, Complementary, Addition Law, Multiplication LFor information about these resources and an index for the whole collection please visit http://www.mrbartonmaths.com/CIMT.htm Keywords: Probability, Chance, Likelihood, Tree Diagram, Systematic Listing, Conditions, Mutually Exclusive, Independent, Impossible, Certain, Relative Frequency, Outcome, Trials, Experiment, Even, Likely, Unlikely, Estimation, Complementary, Addition Law, Multiplication Lfor the whole collection please visit http://www.mrbartonmaths.com/CIMT.htm Keywords: Probability, Chance, Likelihood, Tree Diagram, Systematic Listing, Conditions, Mutually Exclusive, Independent, Impossible, Certain, Relative Frequency, Outcome, Trials, Experiment, Even, Likely, Unlikely, Estimation, Complementary, Addition Law, Multiplication Law.
It is a perfect resource for Probability equal outcomes.
For information about these resources and an index for the whole collection please visit http://www.mrbartonmaths.com/CIMT.htm Keywords: Probability, Chance, Likelihood, Tree Diagram, Systematic Listing, Conditions, Mutually Exclusive, Independent, Impossible, Certain, Relative Frequency, Outcome, Trials, Experiment, Even, Likely, Unlikely, Estimation, Complementary, Addition Law, Multiplication Law, Theoretical, Experimental, Scale, Listing, Sample SpaFor information about these resources and an index for the whole collection please visit http://www.mrbartonmaths.com/CIMT.htm Keywords: Probability, Chance, Likelihood, Tree Diagram, Systematic Listing, Conditions, Mutually Exclusive, Independent, Impossible, Certain, Relative Frequency, Outcome, Trials, Experiment, Even, Likely, Unlikely, Estimation, Complementary, Addition Law, Multiplication Law, Theoretical, Experimental, Scale, Listing, Sample Spafor the whole collection please visit http://www.mrbartonmaths.com/CIMT.htm Keywords: Probability, Chance, Likelihood, Tree Diagram, Systematic Listing, Conditions, Mutually Exclusive, Independent, Impossible, Certain, Relative Frequency, Outcome, Trials, Experiment, Even, Likely, Unlikely, Estimation, Complementary, Addition Law, Multiplication Law, Theoretical, Experimental, Scale, Listing, Sample Space.
Set of 9 attractive but simple pictorial flash cards for pupils to identify the probability of the stated outcome.
Probability is the main topic covered (listing outcomes, formula for total number of outcomes) as well as algebra topics such as expanding brackets, sequences, factorising and generalising formulae.
Follow up with investigation of how you arrive at theoretical probability by generating a table of outcomes for the coin - tossing task.
On a high level, many people define risk as «the worst possible outcome weighted for the probability of the occurrence of that outcome
As a result, we will be increasing the probability on our «Rise in global protectionism» scenario which delivers a more stagflationary [1] outcome for the world economy than the baseline forecast.
Generally reserved for short ideas utilizing a put option instead of common, where the probability of a good outcome might be low but the magnitude of a positive outcome might be significant to their performance.
The illustrated analytic uses Monte Carlo simulation to estimate the probability of a range of potential outcomes, which does not account for prospective investment manager decision making.
However many outcomes, you calculate a Gross Return and a likely probability (which must sum to 1.00, of course) for each, and then combine these to arrive at an Expected Return.
To put it another way, if you set up an expected outcome for each position based on price and probability, you should be able to look at positions in an apples - to - apples manner.
For example, we can easily deduce the probabilities of the possible outcomes of a game of dice.
Standard deviation provides a credible model for understanding the probability of outcomes far away from the mean (average).
We will perform treatments and procedures by employing the most current medical literature and state of the art technologies in order to maximize the probability of a positive outcome for our patients.
As is true for other tumors, early detection is likely to offer the highest probability of successful treatment outcomes.
At any time you can access the probability of a successful outcome for your present objective, and every time you uncover a new piece of evidence that probability goes up a few percentage points.
The longer we keep pulling the trigger in exchange for cash, the greater the probability that we're in for a really, really bad outcome, even if we can't predict exactly when it will happen, the size of the bullet, or the exact place it will hit us (first).
Also, acknowledging terrible outcomes of low probability requires acknowledging the other tail --- a world with rising emissions but little change for quite a while.
``... My comments quoted above refer very specifically to the potential for global models to give more precise probability distributions of outcomes at the regional and decadal scales which are dominated by intrinsic interannual and interdecadal variability.»
However, my comments quoted above refer very specifically to the potential for global models to give more precise probability distributions of outcomes at the regional and decadal scales which are dominated by intrinsic interannual and interdecadal variability.
For example, while estimates concerning central tendencies of distributions of simulation outcomes are usually fairly robust because they are conditioned on ample data, estimates concerning the tails of distributions (such as the probability of falling below a critical biomass) are usually conditional on few data and thus often rely on assumptions that have no strong knowledge base.
I readily confess a lingering frustration: uncertainties so infuse the issue of climate change that it is still impossible to rule out either mild or catastrophic outcomes, let alone provide confident probabilities for all the claims and counterclaims made about environmental problems.
Results from this study suggest a greater than 35 % probability that emissions concentrations will exceed those assumed in the most severe of the available climate change scenarios (RCP 8.5), illustrating particular importance for understanding extreme outcomes.
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