Sentences with phrase «probability of a good outcome»

Generally reserved for short ideas utilizing a put option instead of common, where the probability of a good outcome might be low but the magnitude of a positive outcome might be significant to their performance.

Once you accept that, you can build an investment strategy that has a probability of a better outcome, though you still have to accept that it is only a probability.

Not exact matches

The value is based on the probability - weighted present value of expected future investment returns considering each of the possible outcomes available to the Company as well as the rights of each share class.

The value is based on the probability - weighted present value of expected future investment returns considering each of the possible outcomes available to us as well as the rights of each share class.

«When a stock is relatively expensive, it is much harder to assess whether other people have simply done a better job than me at assessing the probabilities of successful outcomes.

As we noted in our article entitled «What are the Chances of a Balanced Budget in 2014 - 15 (www.3dpolicy.ca), the probability of eliminating the deficit in 2014 - 15 depends largely on how much better the deficit outcome will be for 2013 - 14.

Costs associated with a moderately morbid neonatal outcome, as well as the probabilities of infant morbidity occurring, heavily impacted our results.The cost - effectiveness of VBAC depends on the likelihood of successful trial of labor.

As such, it may very well be probable that «nones» simply randomly don't get represented as often, given the small sample size (you can ask on Cross-validated the probability of the exact outcome we see, especially adjusted for mimicry noted as the main reason).

If the latest polling from Lord Ashcroft is sustained Labour will do rather better in the marginal seats that their share of the vote nationally would suggest thus making an outcome where they get fewer votes but more seats a greater probability.

However, many people tend to match their response proportions to the outcome probabilities — they bet on the better slot machine in 67 percent of the cases, and on the worse one in 33 percent of the cases.)

Probability is the main topic covered (listing outcomes, formula for total number of outcomes) as well as algebra topics such as expanding brackets, sequences, factorising and generalising formulae.

Taking the probability of these events occurring, it applies that probability to your retirement to tell you the outcome of your finances, whether good or bad.

Should one ignore the very high probability of «equal = no - change» or «better than» outcomes?

As scientists interact with decision makers they have to recognize that an uncertain conclusion, even one with a small probability of catastrophic outcomes, does the decision maker very little good.

Recommendation: Quantitative probabilities (as in the likelihood scale) should be used to describe the probability of well - defined outcomes only when there is sufficient evidence.

Exxon is far from an outlier in using a benchmark of this order, but there is increasing interest in seeing the results of scenarios that would result in a higher probability of a better climate outcome.

If the observable outcome (temperature increase, independent variable) is the result of a) manmade forcings plus b) non manmade forcings; and if admittedly non manmade forcings are not well enough to well embody them in the models (scenario or what if sensitivity models not forecasting models), the answer (by definition) it's not possible to put a number on the probability / likelihood of manmade causes.

The scientific credibility of a probability distribution function therefore depends not on having near - perfect, error - free models, but on how well the methodology used to sample the uncertainties and convert the model results into probabilities summarizes the risk of alternative outcomes.

Your attorney can help determine the venue, or location in which to file your claim that has the best probability of a favorable outcome.

LPM techniques dramatically increase the probability of better business outcomes than matter management and eBilling alone.