Simplifying procedures in the justice system saves money but it also removes safeguards and reduces competence, and therefore,
the probability of doing justice.
Please address how long it will take to reliably detect anthropogenic warming and
the probability of doing so, in light of the uncertainties in the satellite record.
H20 gas if it can absorb a wavelength, then it means it can emit same wavelength - or has
some probability of doing it - though if it absorbs x amount energy it will emit x amount energy at some wavelength.
Before you get sued, why not put something into place that minimizes your probability of getting sued, by maximizing
the probability of doing business right?
Howard Marks: «The expected value from any activity is the product of the gains available from doing it right multiplied by
the probability of doing it right, minus the potential cost of failing in the attempt multiplied by the probability of failing.»
All I'm saying is that
the probability of doing so is extremely, extremely low.
Students at PARCC's college - ready cutoff score in math have an 85 percent probability of earning a math «C» average or better, whereas students at the MCAS cutoff score for proficiency in math have only a 62 percent
probability of doing so.
Instead, they just describe
the probability of its doing any one thing.
«If you've rescheduled something too many times,
the probability of you doing it is low,» says Perchik.
So as long as the guiding principles of management teams do not change, then corporations with strong histories of increasing dividends have high
probabilities of doing so in the future.
Not exact matches
So, if you have
done the above two things right, you have a much better
probability of getting a positive reply.
While there's only a one - in - a-million chance
of some random person being able to
do this on your phone, Apple said Wednesday that the «statistical
probability is different for twins and siblings that look like you and among children under the age
of 13, because their distinct facial features may not have fully developed.»
The goal in my counsel, and that
of my co-workers in the firm, is to have clients understand what we have known all along: We are unable to predict the market's outcome, so don't fall into the trap where you think you can make predictions or you'll ultimately increase the
probability of losing money.
It is
done much more for public appearance than having real substance and
probability of success.
«If you don't have support from the top, the
probability that change will stick is low,» says Kim Cameron, a professor who specializes in positive leadership at the University
of Michigan.
If you're not being clear and truthful about what you're thinking, then in my opinion what you're
doing is being very inefficient, because everybody doesn't know what everybody else is really thinking, and you're probably reducing your
probabilities of getting out what is actually true and how to deal with it.
Considering the possibility that maybe we're a rare civilization who made it past the Great Filter through a freak occurrence makes him feel even more conviction about SpaceX's mission: «If we are very rare, we better get to the multi-planet situation fast, because if civilization is tenuous, then we must
do whatever we can to ensure that our already - weak
probability of surviving is improved dramatically.»
VIX is a bet on prescience and
probability: When we break it down to its most basic components, the VIX is in part a reflection
of what option traders believe the markets might
do during the next 30 days.
While IIHS and dozens
of other private industry groups around the world have methods and motivations that suit their own subjective purposes, the most objective and accurate independent testing
of vehicle safety is currently
done by the U.S. government, which found Model S and Model X to be the two cars with the lowest
probability of injury
of any cars that it has ever tested, making them the safest cars in history.»
[16:00] Pain + reflection = progress [16:30] Creating a meritocracy to draw the best out
of everybody [18:30] How to raise your
probability of being right [18:50] Why we are conditioned to need to be right [19:30] The neuroscience factor [19:50] The habitual and environmental factor [20:20] How to get to the other side [21:20] Great collective decision - making [21:50] The 5 things you need to be successful [21:55] Create audacious goals [22:15] Why you need problems [22:25] Diagnose the problems to determine the root causes [22:50] Determine the design for what you will
do about the root causes [23:00] Decide to work with people who are strong where you are weak [23:15] Push through to results [23:20] The loop
of success [24:15] Ray's new instinctual approach to failure [24:40] Tony's ritual after every event [25:30] The review that changed Ray's outlook on leadership [27:30] Creating new policies based on fairness and truth [28:00] What people are missing about Ray's culture [29:30] Creating meaningful work and meaningful relationships [30:15] The importance
of radical honesty [30:50] Thoughtful disagreement [32:10] Why it was the relationships that changed Ray's life [33:10] Ray's biggest weakness and how he overcame it [34:30] The jungle metaphor [36:00] The dot collector — deciding what to listen to [40:15] The wanting
of meritocratic decision - making [41:40] How to see bubbles and busts [42:40] Productivity [43:00] Where we are in the cycle [43:40] What the Fed will
do [44:05] We are late in the long - term debt cycle [44:30] Long - term debt is going to be squeezing us [45:00] We have 2 economies [45:30] This year is very similar to 1937 [46:10] The top tenth
of the top 1 %
of wealth = bottom 90 % combined [46:25] How this creates populism [47:00] The economy for the bottom 60 % isn't growing [48:20] If you look at averages, the country is in a bind [49:10] What are the overarching principles that bind us together?
I disagree completely, and not just because transferring bad debt from local governments to the central government, while undoubtedly reducing the
probability of a legal default,
does not in the slightest way address the cost
of resolving the bad debt.
Using one
of the various betting pools (addresses) on the platform with different rates
of winning
probability, all a user needs to
do is send Ether (ETH) to a wallet and make sure they at least include the minimum bet which
of 180,000 gas [0.0036 ETH].
«When a stock is relatively expensive, it is much harder to assess whether other people have simply
done a better job than me at assessing the
probabilities of successful outcomes.
«If brinksmanship by both sides
does lead to a broken relationship, then we think Viacom shares could see more downside as it would create a much higher
probability of future negotiations ending badly for the company.»
There have been hacks
of widespread exchanges, essentially the most well - known in all
probability being Mt. Gox, however this nonetheless doesn't expose any weak point within the decentralization mannequin.
So what these guys
do is, they look at what a failure
probability is
of say the 4 % rule.
Because you have already factored in risk by applying the clinical trial
probability of success, you
do not need to include development risk in the discount rate.
Aside from the absurdly low
probability of missing those specific periods while holding stocks in all the others, what's not recognized is that those strong periods don't occur randomly.
For the VCs that invest in a series D round, what
does your research show as to
probability of the VCs successfully exiting within 5 years or less, and conversely, is there any research showing the
probability of the invested companies remaining as a going concern 5 years after the D round closes?
However, the age
of this bull market
does suggest risks are rising, and that to expect it to last much longer without a cyclical downturn would be stretching historical
probability.
As bullish as I am about the future
of blockchains, I
do recognize that there is a small
probability that they don't scale for transactions, either because the tech is not figured out or users demand just doesn't increase to the scale we hope.
I
do not know the exact figure, but the
probability of everything being created by accident is really quite small.
The
probability of Jesus being a huge up start for the Romans, the Romans never mentioning him is on par with a 6,000 year old Earth, it just didn't happen.
Failure to understand that in thermodynamics
probabilities are not fixed ent.ities has led to a misinterpretation that is responsible for the wide - spread and totally false belief that the second law
of thermodynamics
does not permit order to spontaneously arise from disorder.
Although the machines involved are extraordinarily dangerous, the moral principle governing their use is perfectly ordinary: It is the familiar one that human beings should engage in an activity that poses dangers to others only if, in the totality
of the circumstances,
doing so is reasonable» i.e., if the good to be achieved, taking account
of the
probability of success, is proportionate to the possible ill effects.
I don't know how anyone can hope that something will happen without at least believing that it can happen, no matter how small the
probability of that may be.
In all
probability you habitually exert a certain amount
of self - discipline
of your own thoughts and feelings, and probably you
do not see why others can not readily
do the same.
Thus we support a reduction in the speed limit because it will «save 7,466 lives every year,» though we would not
do so if we recognized that such a law merely reduces the
probability that an individual will die in a car accident from.0005 to.0004, a benefit too trivial to be noticed and, for any individual faced with the choice, far below the value
of the additional driving time it entails.
The claims which Christian faith makes are an interpretation which it puts upon these happenings; and the historian has every right to investigate the records
of these happenings and to pronounce upon the
probability or otherwise that they
did in fact occur.
You need to concern yourself with the degree
of probability of something, and to
do that you must assess the evidence.
How
do you come up with a
probability of something that exists beyond time and space, has never been observed in any fashion what so ever, but created everything?
The
probability of those things happening is not important because they
did happen.
What would a day be in the Divine circadian cycle
of an omnimodal, omnipotent being, 24 hours, 24 billion years, 24 milliseconds??? Nowhere in the Bible coes it say that evolution
does not exist within the living realm, but Simon Peter does say that to the I Am»... one day is as a thousand years, and a thousand years is as one day...» (the Bible DOES recognize the effects of animal husbandry, which is a form of artificially - induced evolution on livestock species, and narrates accounts of Divine intervention to influence it, so you can not factually say that it is outside the realm of Divine probability by biblical accounts, as Divine probability contains, by textbook definition, the sum of the laws of nat
does not exist within the living realm, but Simon Peter
does say that to the I Am»... one day is as a thousand years, and a thousand years is as one day...» (the Bible DOES recognize the effects of animal husbandry, which is a form of artificially - induced evolution on livestock species, and narrates accounts of Divine intervention to influence it, so you can not factually say that it is outside the realm of Divine probability by biblical accounts, as Divine probability contains, by textbook definition, the sum of the laws of nat
does say that to the I Am»... one day is as a thousand years, and a thousand years is as one day...» (the Bible
DOES recognize the effects of animal husbandry, which is a form of artificially - induced evolution on livestock species, and narrates accounts of Divine intervention to influence it, so you can not factually say that it is outside the realm of Divine probability by biblical accounts, as Divine probability contains, by textbook definition, the sum of the laws of nat
DOES recognize the effects
of animal husbandry, which is a form
of artificially - induced evolution on livestock species, and narrates accounts
of Divine intervention to influence it, so you can not factually say that it is outside the realm
of Divine
probability by biblical accounts, as Divine
probability contains, by textbook definition, the sum
of the laws
of nature.
We
do mean to suggest the possibility and even the
probability that in the unmistakable implications
of messianism in Joseph, the germ
of the later development
of the concept was something already given in Israel's early traditions, precisely as the germinal faith in one God as Creator (Gen. 2), Judge (3 - 11) and Redeemer (12 ff.)
But I
do not see that he has shown that the sampling methods
of probability theory (supplemented by minimal metaphysical assumptions about, say, random samples) are not capable
of taking account
of this aspect
of the future.
These events described in Galatians had to occur before the adjudication
of this dispute by the Jerusalem Conference, and in all
probability did occur before Paul and Barnabas made their missionary journey.
He is just re-writing the rules
of the world's largest fantasy role playing game to avoid openly admitting that there is a possibility, if not a high
probability, that god
does not exist.
Just because something has a
probability of say «1 in a million»
does not mean it will take till the 999,999 «th failure for a positive result to happen!
William,
Of course the beauty of Pascal's Wager is it doesn't matter what the probabilities are since the penalty / reward are infinite while the cost is finit
Of course the beauty
of Pascal's Wager is it doesn't matter what the probabilities are since the penalty / reward are infinite while the cost is finit
of Pascal's Wager is it doesn't matter what the
probabilities are since the penalty / reward are infinite while the cost is finite.
I think that what we must
do is to start running as fast as possible toward that light, working to increase the
probability of our survival through the next decade by some measurable amount.