Sentences with phrase «probability of that outcome»

Let's discuss two (of many) rather common market occurrences that have a greater than 50 % probability of outcome in stock index markets.
This will help clearly represent the percentage probability of an outcome occurring.
The problem with this sort of compounding of probabilities of the outcome becomes very low for * both * hypotheses, for and against.
Also, Science is never about pure absolutes, it is mostly about probabilities of outcomes.
Oddsmakers can easily find the actual probability of each outcome, and then apply the juice to ensure bettors are getting a bad price on both sides.
Demonstrate an understanding of probability by determining the experimental probability of outcomes in a probability experiment.
By «objective stuff» Steve referred to the arbitrary choices made to define probabilities of an outcome.
This means less than 10 % of tickets are taking the draw despite the probability of that outcome being around 30 %.
To get the total present value of the credit default swap we multiply the probability of each outcome by its present value to give
Consider the probabilities of both outcomes, if luck was involved, and which other success factors you may overlook.
We discuss the probability of the outcomes, and discuss behavioral and physical characteristics of predators that occur in nature: What adaptations aid predators to overcome their prey?
As a trader, you need to focus on calculating how much you can win or loss and the probabilities of each outcome.
You don't even know what might happen, not to mention the probability of any outcome.
Anyhow, it is a valid risk, and one should weight it appropriately based on the probabilities of that outcome (which is extremely low as you pointed out).
If an investor believes the probability of each outcome is 50/50 he may choose to put 50 % of the portfolio in Asset A and 50 % in Asset B.
The value investor should assess the probability of the outcomes before rebalancing the portfolio.
And if you still believe you can forecast the future with a high degree of accuracy, remember Pascal's Wager: The consequences of your decisions should dominate the probability of outcomes.
I commissioned the creation of the Probability Machine to educate investors about the probability of outcomes that result from a series of random events.
Standard deviation provides a credible model for understanding the probability of outcomes far away from the mean (average).
In other words, the concept of standard deviation is to understand the probability of outcomes that are not the mean.
Since the probability of an outcome is always between 0 and 1, how do they derive a probability greater than one?
But in the past — wrongly — uncertainties tend to disappear and we overestimate the probability of the outcome.
Under the Bayesian interpretation, the probability of an outcome is a measure of our belief that, in the experiment in question, a particular outcome will result.
An experienced family law attorney can work discuss the relevant factors with you to help weigh the probabilities of the outcome, which still involves a lot of judicial discretion.
8) plot the sensitivity to find impact of critical factors Different settlement amounts are plotted on the y axis, and the probability of outcomes are plotted on the x axis.
The probability of the outcome wasn't the issue; what really mattered was the potential future regret if he didn't sell and the stock collapsed.»
Remember to assign dollar values to each outcome, then to discount the amount you could lose during litigation based on the probability of that outcome.
a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z