Sentences with phrase «probability outcomes get»

Not exact matches

As such, it may very well be probable that «nones» simply randomly don't get represented as often, given the small sample size (you can ask on Cross-validated the probability of the exact outcome we see, especially adjusted for mimicry noted as the main reason).

To get the total present value of the credit default swap we multiply the probability of each outcome by its present value to give

If the latest polling from Lord Ashcroft is sustained Labour will do rather better in the marginal seats that their share of the vote nationally would suggest thus making an outcome where they get fewer votes but more seats a greater probability.

Instead of getting a single answer, you use the equation to work out the probabilities of certain outcomes.

Because predicting probability outcomes can be so challenging, you should abandon hope of getting a perfect bracket and just focus on beating your pool - mates, says Lopez.

If you have an estimate of the probability of various outcomes (e.g., probability you can get a job paying $ X, probability you can get a raise to $ X at your current job), then you can run some numbers, but from your post it seems like you already understand how that might work.

So if I had to handicap the outcome it might look something like this: 60 % probability that the offer gets increased, either by management or by a third party, 20 % probability that the buyout goes through in its current form and 20 % probability that the buyout is voted down and falls apart.

With a fair coin, the outcomes in different tosses are statistically independent and the probability of getting heads on a single toss is exactly 1⁄2 (one in two).

I do like what Sean Carroll had to say, and getting the basics down is important, if not only to elevate credibility with others, but to help yourself see the outcome probabilities of paths you could choose.

If you do this over 6 periods only you get the following outcome probabilities.

The two outcomes we'll keep an eye on are quality (the probability of hiring someone in the top 10 per cent of performance) and time (the number of weeks taken on average to fill the role, ignoring cases where the role never gets filled).