Some traders decide to trade with no patience and thus gamble all their money away, other traders become skilled trading «snipers» and perfect their trading strategy and trade the markets with a high -
probability trading edge that is realized through the consistent application of patience.
• Second, make sure you: A) Have a trading strategy that you know can be a high -
probability trading edge, like price action trading strategies, and B) Fully understand how to use this strategy and you've demo traded it long enough to feel you have «mastered it».
You also need a high -
probability trading edge like price action.
If we have a high -
probability trading edge like price action Forex strategies, we need to let our edge play out over a large series of trades to see it work for us properly.
As traders, it helps to always expect a random outcome from our trades, even though we may have mastered a high -
probability trading edge like price action.
Not exact matches
There is a high
probability the Dow will retreat and retest the upper
edge of the
trading band near 18,300 before a rebound rally moves up to test the trend line as a resistance level.
So, the first and perhaps easiest thing you can do to increase the
probability of your
trades is to stop decreasing their
probability by
trading when your
edge is not actually present!
But it probably will not be a very high -
probability one and it is more likely to be something they just sort of «made up» or rationalized on the spot rather than being an actual instance of their pre-defined
trading edge.
any man
trading with even a simple 50 - 50 pure
probability strategy will still make more money than a fellow with a sharp
edge strategy in his hand, and a sharp
edge emotions in his mind!!
When we combine this knowledge of the power of risk to reward with a high -
probability edge like price action, what we have is a professional money management and
trading strategy, which when combined with the proper education and discretion will make money over a series of at least 20
trades or more.
It really is hard to believe that
trading can be that straightforward, if we stop «expecting» to be right all the time and just
trade our
edges, understanding that there is a higher
probability that are
trade will be a winner rather than a loser when we only
trade our
edges.
Now, this is a small example, but it shows you why moving your stops around and getting out at breakeven all the time or even manually closing your
trades for small losses or gains BEFORE they hit your pre-determined stop loss or target can and will lower the overall
probability of your
trading edge and will thus cause you to have a very difficult time making money.
Consider this; if you save yourself 2 losses by moving to breakeven and then you decide to move the next two
trades to breakeven after getting up a small profit, but then these two
trades also got stopped at breakeven when they would have been winners, you have just lowered the
probability of your
trading edge... even if you would have taken the 2 losses.
Having patience to let your
trades play out in order to see the true
probability of your
trading edge is something most traders don't do because they voluntarily lower the
probability of their
trading edge by meddling with their
trades too much.
If you are doing these things you are likely trying to control the market and by doing so you are voluntarily decreasing the
probability of your
trading edge.
All of these mistakes are born out of a lack of patience, and until you understand that you do not need to meddle with your
trades after they are live, you are going to lower the
probability of your
trading edge.
You've got to remind yourself that each
trade setup is just another execution of your
edge, and if you have mastered your price action
trading strategies and follow your plan religiously, you will have a high -
probability edge to
trade with.
Learning some simple forex
trading strategies that provide you with a high -
probability market
edge will give you a foundation to build your
trading success on.
The truth about
trading strategies is that finding one that gives you a high -
probability edge in the market is not that difficult.