One interesting point I noted (and your paper confirms) is that if you reduce the forcing uncertainty from the IPCC level, but don't change the IPCC's best estimate of forcing, the most
probable value of ECS increases very slightly, but the high sensitivity tail (eg total probability for sensitivity above 3.5 C per doubling) almost disappears.
Hibbs wrote a post expressing reasonable skepticism about the marketing and
probable value of the comic itself.
The same is true for other wealth creation common stocks acquired during the quarter at substantial discounts from readily ascertainable net asset values — including the probable real estate values in Alexander & Baldwin and Catellus; the probable securities values in Brascan (including real estate), Phoenix Companies, MONY and Toyota Industries; and
the probable values of Assets Under Management (AUM) for BKF and Legg Mason.
Recent IPCC reports claim that the most
probable value of the temperature rise for doubling is ∆ T2 = 3 C. Substituting this value and a warming of ∆ T = 6 C into Eq.
However, IPCC claims that most
probable value is 3K with the range of 2.0 - 4.5 K.
At that time, we will tell
you the probable value that we believe your case has.