If you work with a margin of safety, and buy companies that will
produce free cash flow, and can grow free cash flow, you will be safer than most investors, and probably more successful as well.
The shorting is a side bet on a greater question: will the company be able to
produce free cash flow adequate to justify the current stock price?
The first is that the current book value of the assets on the balance sheet understates their current value and the second is the potential for the company to expand its current operations and to roll - up wineries to boost case sales, leverage costs and
produce free cash flow.
That said, T - Mobile should continue on its path to
producing free cash flow and EBITDA growth that far exceeds the rest of the industry even as the competition eats into its growth in subscribers.
Companies with stable business models, strong balance sheets, and good earnings quality tend to
produce free cash flows in excess of their reinvestment needs.
My duplex (also $ 240,000) rents out for $ 2250 per month currently, and
produces free cash flow in the ballpark of $ 450 per month so far.
Not exact matches
The company said it now expects a higher
free cash flow burn at $ 1.5 billion in 2016 as
producing original content consumes more
cash up front.
On this non-GAAP basis, Twitter actually
produced about $ 0.06 of core
free cash flow.
Even Fox with its large businesses looks like it is deciding it should either get bigger or sell; it also would be selling the businesses
producing the minority of its
free cash flow.
The company's strong operating leverage
produced robust
free cash flow and a material improvement in return on invested capital.
Through the team's relentless execution of our plan in the first quarter, we grew revenue, expanded EBITDA margins,
produced over 30 % growth in earnings and
free cash flow per share and returned essentially all of our
free cash flow to shareholders.
But looking further out, as housing and other construction markets fully recover, we believe USG will be earning considerably more and
producing substantial
free cash flow as the company benefits from large tax assets that help to shelter earnings.
At some point, companies with huge capital outlays must
produce positive
free cash flow in order to justify any stock price at all.
The company
produced free operating
cash flow last year of $ 3 mm, but the market cap is $ 720,000.
Conservatively, the Company appears to
produce $ 25 - $ 35 million of run - rate EBITDA, require approximately $ 9 million in maintenance capital expenditures and have $ 4 - $ 8 million of taxes, interest and preferred dividends in total, leaving $ 12 - $ 18 million of positive
free cash flow annually with which to further invest in the business and / or amortize debt.
But to answer your question — very generally speaking — my ideal investment is a great operating business that
produces consistent
free cash flow and high returns on capital that for some reason trades at 10x earnings or so.
In its simplest form, one could buy the company for $ 14, close the unprofitable business line, and be left with a core business (bookstores) that
produces $ 4 of
free cash flow.
Just keep it simple, look for obvious situations that you can understand, and try to find businesses that will grow intrinsic value over time that
produce stable
free cash flow and high returns on capital that are available at cheap prices.
The main investment thesis here is you have a company that
produces high returns on capital with a long history of stable
free cash flow that trades at around 8 times FCF.
Analyze
cash flow relative to earnings; be wary of companies that
produce earnings, but not
cash flow from operations, or
free cash flow.
The manager believes that a focus on both factors — dividend payments and net share repurchases
produces a portfolio of companies that exhibit strong
free cash flow characteristics.
Some of these stocks are
producing huge amounts of
free cash flow and are paying (and growing in a few cases) their dividends.
They have been
producing significant positive
free cash flow for over a decade, with little to no debt.
AAPL is the glaring exception, but notice how the other three's stock prices have gone basically nowhere in the last 10 years while their businesses have steadily improved year after year,
producing more sales, more
free cash flow, high book values, buying back shares, and implementing and growing dividend payouts.
Even with little to no future growth, these companies should continue to
produce high levels of
free cash flow over time which will allow them to increase share buybacks and / or dividends, thus compounding value for shareholders over time.
There are 5161 stocks overall in this database ($ 10 million market cap), so around 12 % of the companies out there have
produced 10 straight years of positive
free cash flow.
And not surprising Apple
produces more
free cash flow per account than each company mentioned in the graph above.
Most of them are capital light businesses with high margins, high returns, and remember — they all belong to the exclusive club of companies that have
produced 10 consecutive years of
free cash flow:
I have a saved list of all the domestic non-financial stocks that have
produced positive
free cash flow for 10 consecutive years.
The crux of the idea is that it is a company with a strong brand name and large market share that
produces high ROIC and stable
free cash flow and has a majority owner committed to returning that
cash flow to shareholders, all for a single digit multiple.
We exploit this weakness by focusing on quality: businesses that generate high and consistent ROIC / ROE, are run by skilled capital allocators, and
produce enough
free cash flow to self - fund growth without excessive leverage or dilution.
The company reported full - year revenue growth of just 3 %, net debt plus pension deficit plus trade payables (net of receivables) totaling GBP 560 Million, and
produced just GBP 31.6 M of
free cash flow (vs. a prior GBP 42.0 M)-- and GNC still manages to sport a GBP 941 M market cap & an estimated P / E of 15.2!?
In addition to acquiring businesses that
produce large
free cash flow, Roper seeks to improve operating margins by incorporating its governance processes into the business practices of the acquired company.
The company operates a low - risk business that
produces substantial
free cash flows.
Total
Produce: What I don't like is the strong decline in
free cash flow and in particular the employee expenses that are not recognized in the income statement.
With a steady revenue stream — backed by more than 136.5 million subscribers to its wireless and other services — the firm
produces abundant
free cash flow (the
cash profits generated after making the capital expenditures necessary to maintain the business).
Freeing up
cash flow to get into a home when you're young can
produce big long - term benefits, especially if you buy into a neighborhood on the rise and build up equity fast.