To learn more about how
profitable betting against the public can be, check out our article «Betting Against the Public in the NBA (Past Six Seasons).
Over the summer, we published an article examining just how
profitable betting against the pubic in the NFL has been since 2003.
The Crimson Tide have been
profitable bets against ranked opponents but division games have proven tricky.
Not exact matches
During the regular season we picked seven games a weekend
against the spread as our best
bets, and went a comfortably
profitable 54 -43-1 in that span.
«
Betting against the Pats isn't a
profitable endeavor, and Lord knows I've been wrong about some Super Bowl outcomes before,» Will Brinson wrote for CBS Sports.
The market doesn't seem to have much interest in
betting against such a
profitable and fast - growing company.
We always preach the value of
betting against the public, but this season that's been an especially
profitable strategy in conference games.
Betting Against the Public was very
profitable during the first half of the 2011 MLB Season, and this game is one we'll keep our eye on when selecting the day's Best
Bets and Square Plays.
Betting against the public in heavily bet college games has always been profitable and betting against a top - 3 team in particular has also been quite lucrative, hitting at nearly a 55 % ATS rate when getting 25 % o
Betting against the public in heavily
bet college games has always been
profitable and
betting against a top - 3 team in particular has also been quite lucrative, hitting at nearly a 55 % ATS rate when getting 25 % o
betting against a top - 3 team in particular has also been quite lucrative, hitting at nearly a 55 % ATS rate when getting 25 % or less.
As you can see, our NFL Best
Bets have been
profitable in each of these seasons and our
betting against the public philosophy has been a large part of this success.
This year's NHL
Betting Against the Public article details the profitable points for contrarian betting between 2005 and 2011, and teams receiving less than 40 % of moneyline bets had won 75.8 units, or a 1.6 % return on inve
Betting Against the Public article details the
profitable points for contrarian
betting between 2005 and 2011, and teams receiving less than 40 % of moneyline bets had won 75.8 units, or a 1.6 % return on inve
betting between 2005 and 2011, and teams receiving less than 40 % of moneyline
bets had won 75.8 units, or a 1.6 % return on investment.
Before each season, Sports Insights publishes a
Betting Against the Public article that breaks down the most profitable levels (in terms of betting trends levels, home / visitor, etc.) for each of the major
Betting Against the Public article that breaks down the most
profitable levels (in terms of
betting trends levels, home / visitor, etc.) for each of the major
betting trends levels, home / visitor, etc.) for each of the major sports.
Now that we're receiving real money percentages from a sharp offshore sportsbook, we can see that
betting against the public has been
profitable for both favorites and underdogs.
Although the Dodgers were the largest favorite in nearly two years, a more interesting piece of information emerged — Kershaw was actually the most
profitable pitcher to
bet against in the National League.
Perhaps even more interesting is that two weeks ago the team at Sports Insights sent out the Kansas City Chiefs (+11.5) as a Best
Bet against the previously undefeated Green Bay Packers, largely because they fit into this historically
profitable contrarian play.
This
betting against the pubic philosophy has proven to be one of the simplest, yet consistently
profitable betting strategies over the past decade.
Since we subscribe to a contrarian philosophy and tend to go
against common perception, our belief was that
betting against tired teams would be a
profitable betting strategy.
Earlier this week, we explained why
betting against the public has been such a
profitable strategy during March Madness.
We then utilized the «Moneyline %» filter to determine whether
betting against the public had been historically
profitable.
Simply
betting against every single borderline top 25 team had been revealed to be slightly
profitable, but I still had a number of theories to test.
Although
betting against the public continues to be a
profitable strategy, bettors become increasingly willing to take the underdog.
We always preach the value of
betting against the public, but fading the trendy underdog has been a particularly
profitable strategy in these heavily
bet postseason games.
Looking at every game played since the start of the 2005 season,
betting against the public hasn't been a
profitable strategy until we reach the 20 % threshold.
Betting against the public was not a
profitable strategy in Week 7.
The first was determining whether
betting against the public was
profitable while the other was testing previously discussed the Zig - Zag theory.
As you can see, it hasn't been a
profitable strategy to
bet against the public during the 2016 - 17 college basketball season, and there are many reasons for that.
We combine the
betting against the public strategies in this article with line movement and
profitable historical trends to determine which plays will make our Best
Bets and Square Plays.
Betting against the public typically ensures that you're on the same side as the house and has been a historically
profitable strategy across all six major US sports.
We have recently profiled several
profitable strategies including
betting against the public and taking underdogs in divisional games with high totals, but there are many factors that should be considered before placing a wager.
In the past, we have explained how it's
profitable to fade (
bet against) the trendy underdog, particularly in college athletics.
We have also written at length about how it is
profitable to
bet against ranked College Football teams, fade NFL teams in «must - win» situations, take NBA underdogs after a blowout loss and pound the over in bad weather NFL games.
We had uncovered a slight edge by
betting against the public, but it wasn't
profitable.
Our next step was to use a variety of filters to determine if there was any situation in which
betting against teams playing in the tail end of a back - to - back would be
profitable.
We quickly saw that
betting against the public has been
profitable at the 30 % level, posting a 3,674 - 5,212 record for +26.14 units won and a 0.3 % ROI.
While
betting against the public represents a consistently
profitable strategy, it's only one component of employing a contrarian strategy.
We quickly found that
betting against the public at the 40 % level was
profitable on the over (173 - 152, +12.92 units), but not on the under (409 - 397, -5.73 units).
Even though the return on investment (ROI) steadily climbs as we look at increasingly one - sided public action,
betting against the public isn't
profitable unless the team is receiving less than 25 % of spread
bets.
We have found
betting against the public is a very
profitable philosophy in the NFL, but there are a number of fascinating trends that could prove advantageous to sports bettors.
Over the past decade, it has become far easier for casual sports bettors to access information which means merely
betting against the public isn't as
profitable as it once was.
Clearly it hasn't been
profitable to wager on ground ball pitchers at Coors Field, so we wanted to see what would happen when fading (
betting against) these extreme ground ball pitchers.
Sports Insights employs a
Betting Against the Public Strategy that has proven to be very
profitable since 2004.
This performance was particularly remarkable since, broadly speaking,
betting against the public did not produce
profitable returns over the last year.
Going one step further, I found that historically it's been very
profitable to
bet against the public in neutral site games.
Read Research Proving that
Betting Against the Public is
Profitable
«
Betting against the Public» continues to show a
profitable bias over the past five seasons as follows:
This ideology powers our highly
profitable MLB Best
Bets (+9.5 units this season, +153.9 units since 2008) and our MLB
Betting Against the Public system (+8.95 units this season, +116.54 units since 2005).
Although this system has been historically
profitable and shows a definitive edge for
betting against the public, there are a number of filters we knew could be added to easily increase our return on investment.
We were already well aware that our contrarian philosophy had been historically
profitable, so our first objective was to find the ideal
betting percentages for
betting against the public.
These artificially inflated lines help to explain why
betting against the public has been proven to be a historically
profitable strategy.
-- Before the season we posted our 2014 MLB
Betting Against the Public report which detailed a highly
profitable contrarian system.