Sentences with phrase «project changes in the trend»

In their study, Dim Coumou, from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, and Alexander Robinson, from Universidad Complutense de Madrid, used state - of - the - art climate models to project changes in the trend of heat extremes under two future warming scenarios — RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 — throughout the 21st century.

Not exact matches

Forward - looking statements may include, among others, statements concerning our projected adjusted income (loss) from operations outlook for 2018, on both a consolidated and segment basis; projected total revenue growth and global medical customer growth, each over year end 2017; projected growth beyond 2018; projected medical care and operating expense ratios and medical cost trends; our projected consolidated adjusted tax rate; future financial or operating performance, including our ability to deliver personalized and innovative solutions for our customers and clients; future growth, business strategy, strategic or operational initiatives; economic, regulatory or competitive environments, particularly with respect to the pace and extent of change in these areas; financing or capital deployment plans and amounts available for future deployment; our prospects for growth in the coming years; the proposed merger (the «Merger») with Express Scripts Holding Company («Express Scripts») and other statements regarding Cigna's future beliefs, expectations, plans, intentions, financial condition or performance.
Our team focuses on the degree of change in overall projected trends within these areas to look beyond current performance to understand directionally where opportunities and challenges may reside.
The particular harm is that underlying «trend factors» built in to projections on year - to - year spending changes become a self - fulfilling base from which the discussion on the budget begins... for example, a change from $ 9 billion to $ 12 billion in actual proposed spending on a program area doesn't become the focus, if the «projected out - year» for that program had its expected growth going to $ 13.5 billion — instead of anaylyzing why there is 33 percent growth in that program, the interest groups and journalists cover that as a «cut» of $ 1.5 billion.
These models were then used to assess observed changes in nest counts and to project future nesting trends in the Northwest Atlantic loggerhead sea turtle population, the largest in the world.
«These profound and clearly projected changes make physical and statistical sense, but they are invisible when looking at long - term trends in average climate projections,» Gershunov said.
What are the coming trends in this area, and how has it changed since you began those types of projects?
That said, the overall trend is clear: with fuel aridity increasing in the western U.S. due in part to human - caused climate change, the authors project that both burned area and burn severity will continue to increase under climate change.
Current trends and projected climate changes in Montana are consistent with global patterns (Figure 1 - 1).
This best - fit line follows the same trend into the future and can be used to project the change of the climate variable in the coming years.
The assessment begins with an analysis of Montana's recent climate trends and how climate is projected to change in the future (Chapter 2).
However, «childhood obesity has been rising dramatically, so the trends in the future are going to change by how long people have been obese,» says Olshansky, who did not participate in the current research, but projected similar obesity trends in a 2005 paper in the NEJM.
Responsibilities • Assist with email, print, online, and social marketing projects • Analyze trends of key performance indicators and report on changes to stakeholders • Assist with in - depth reporting of marketing performance metrics • Help to update and further develop new web - based products and services • Create, analyze, and update reports using a variety of analytic tools, MS Excel, and cloud databases • Identify and analyze recurring customer / user problems and report to stakeholders • Assist customers / users via telephone and email.
Qualifications: • Bachelor's degree, and five to seven years of experience in a related position • Standout samples of video and editing work • Demonstrated experience with a range of digital storytelling and tools, and strong engagement with digital trends • Strong people - management skills, and a knack for developing talent, both in - house and freelance • Experience with a variety of social media platforms for audience development • Experience developing partner relationships for distribution or content creation • Experience in audio / video production / editing a plus • Background in teaching or education policy a plus • Passionate visual journalist with an innovative spirit and a drive to understand and service our audience • Appreciation for EPE's mission in the education community is essential, but a background in education content is not • Experienced leader who can coach a team to excellence and articulate a vision for our visual operations to stakeholders • Strong news judgment, video storytelling, and editing expertise • Experience in social distribution channels and partnerships • Strategic content planning • Flexibility to work on multiple projects at once • Adaptability to change
The bigger risks worth monitoring are changes in state regulations, population growth trends in key states, increased environmental regulations, and execution of the company's business strategy (e.g. large projects and acquisitions).
In this example, we will use the same Fibonacci analysis based on the rally (swing, or trend) prior to our completed doji to calculate potential levels of support where the projected reversal may stop and change directions.
As projects grew in complexity and quality very fast, the trend for mobile games moved to simplicity, it was time to change focus to pc and console game development.
Made the synthetic forecast that an analyst would have made in 1988 based on simple trend for the change for the projected change in temperature over the 13 years ending in 2000 -LRB-.11 C) and the 18 years ending in 2005 -LRB-.14 C) vs. 1988.
«Thus, if climate change effects are anticipated, or detected in basin - wide storm statistics, sensible policy decisions should depend on the projected overall shift in the probability of damage rather than on a high - threshold criterion for trend emergence.»
However the report argues that the trend of Chinese public institutions leading in the financing of coal projects will change.
However, Helbig et al. [2017], using a set of nested paired eddy covariance flux towers in a boreal forest - wetland landscape, point to the increasing importance of warming temperatures on ecosystem respiration potentially overwhelming enhanced productivity occurring from land cover change under projected anthropogenic trends.
These differences between projected and observed trends in rainfall seem to raise serious questions about the ability of the models to predict changes in rainfall — though Iâ $ ™ d be interested in CSIRO views, especially on whether it is appropriate to use successive 11 - year averages as measures of outcome and, if it is not, how the relationship between projections and outcome should be monitored.
Traditionally, population projections have included two or more alternative scenarios, both to acknowledge the intrinsic uncertainty of the middle scenario and to offer an assessment of the sensitivity of projected trends to changes in underlying assumptions, in particular with regard to fertility.
To date, while various effects and feedbacks constrain the certainty placed on recent and projected climate change (EG, albedo change, the response of water vapour, various future emissions scenarios etc), it is virtually certain that CO2 increases from human industry have reversed and will continue to reverse the downward trend in global temperatures that should be expected in the current phase of the Milankovitch cycle.
These NAO «book - ends» provide an estimate of the 5 — 95 % range of uncertainty in projected trends due to internal variability of the NAO based on observations superimposed upon model estimates of human - induced climate change.
The widespread trend of increasing heavy downpours is expected to continue, with precipitation becoming less frequent but more intense.13, 14,15,16 The patterns of the projected changes of precipitation do not contain the spatial details that characterize observed precipitation, especially in mountainous terrain, because the projections are averages from multiple models and because the effective resolution of global climate models is roughly 100 - 200 miles.
As sea ice declines, it becomes thinner, with less ice build - up over multiple years, and therefore more vulnerable to further melting.15 Models that best match historical trends project northern waters that are virtually ice - free by late summer by the 2030s.25, 26,12 Within the general downward trend in sea ice, there will be time periods with both rapid ice loss and temporary recovery, 27 making it challenging to predict short - term changes in ice conditions.
The length of the growing season in interior Alaska has increased 45 % over the last century7 and that trend is projected to continue.8 This could improve conditions for agriculture where moisture is adequate, but will reduce water storage and increase the risks of more extensive wildfire and insect outbreaks across much of Alaska.9, 10 Changes in dates of snowmelt and freeze - up would influence seasonal migration of birds and other animals, increase the likelihood and rate of northerly range expansion of native and non-native species, alter the habitats of both ecologically important and endangered species, and affect ocean currents.11
Unfortunately, change in summer is predicted to trend the opposite direction, with a projected 70 % decrease in available summer climate space.
It revealed that starvation and predation were the most common and consistent chick killers over the years, but that hypothermia was the leading cause of death during years with heavy rainstorms, which became more prevalent throughout the study period — a trend that is consistent with climate models projecting the effects of climate change in the region.
If the simulations project future changes in line with the trends already observed, von Storch has more confidence in them.
The lower panel expresses velocity as change in present temperature gradients calculated by using the present temperature gradient at each location and the trend in temperature projected by the CMIP3 ensemble in the SRES A1B scenario.
When it comes to stopping and reversing the trend of rising energy use in the transportation sector, TEF project researchers see changes to the built environment, strategies to decrease personal travel, improvements in energy efficiency, and replacing truck freight with more energy - efficient rail and marine modes as holding the greatest potential.
Canning started her project of documenting this trend three years ago and we wrote about her changing life due to cargo biking in TreeHugger.
MODELING OF FUTURE ARCTIC SEA ICE CHANGE «Given the estimated trend and the volume estimate for October — November of 2007 at less than 9,000 km3 (Kwok et al. 2009), one can project that at this rate it would take only 9 more years or until 2016 ± 3 years to reach a nearly ice - free Arctic Ocean in summer.»
For temperature changes this is equivalent to the uncertainty in the long - term projected trends.
Reference temperature change follows a business - as - usual trend with projected increases of 0.015 °C yr − 1 (as in recent observations).
I have had the opportunity to look at long term climate trends when I worked in Arctic projects, we could see changing ice cover, a trend towards less multiyear ice, but nobody dared reduce the design basis ice loads or descriptions we used to design structures and transport vessels.
• Decreased external risks for projects by ensuring that all module officers are in sync with each other, leading to an increase in coordination between departments • Developed and implemented community - focused responses for development projects • Established quantitative staffing models to communicate staffing resource levels to higher management • Developed dedicated analytic tools to outline resources requests, strategy choices and tradeoff needs • Assisted in identifying trends and shifts within execution patterns • Ensured that any changes or adjustments are informed to the higher management • Performed research work to provide input for development of new resources and processes • Ascertained that the project lifecycle is appropriately controlled through proper management and supervision
• Over 20 years experience managing priorities and analyzing trends in a call center environment • Excellent communication and writing skills • Exceptional at developing relationships and networking • Adept at managing multiple projects in fast - paced environment • Skilled at adapting to changing situations
This includes future development projects, economic development plans and prospects for a community, trends in school planning and school quality and upcoming changes in zoning, highways and infrastructure.
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