Sentences with phrase «projected warming based»

Not exact matches

A U.K. - based Antarctic research project called Project MIDAS monitoring the effects of climate change on an ice shelf called Larsen C announced that a vast rift in the rapidly warming pole has split entirely and created a brand new iceberg — the third largest in theproject called Project MIDAS monitoring the effects of climate change on an ice shelf called Larsen C announced that a vast rift in the rapidly warming pole has split entirely and created a brand new iceberg — the third largest in theProject MIDAS monitoring the effects of climate change on an ice shelf called Larsen C announced that a vast rift in the rapidly warming pole has split entirely and created a brand new iceberg — the third largest in the world.

«Under climate change, the Pacific Islands region is projected to become warmer, less oxygenated, more acidic, and have lower production of plankton that form the base of oceanic food webs,» said lead author Rebecca Asch, Nereus Program alumnus and Assistant Professor at East Carolina University.

Researchers projected warming scenarios that vary based on what societal actions are taken to reduce emissions.

Their findings, based on output from four global climate models of varying ocean and atmospheric resolution, indicate that ocean temperature in the U.S. Northeast Shelf is projected to warm twice as fast as previously projected and almost three times faster than the global average.

«When we included projected Antarctic wind shifts in a detailed global ocean model, we found water up to 4 °C warmer than current temperatures rose up to meet the base of the Antarctic ice shelves,» said lead author Dr Paul Spence from the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science (ARCCSS).

«For every ton of CO2 emitted [into] the atmosphere, the natural sinks are removing less carbon than before,» says biologist Josep «Pep» Canadell, executive director of the Global Carbon Project — an Australia — based research consortium devoted to analyzing the pollution behind global warming.

However, a new University of Minnesota study with more than 1,000 young trees has found that plants also adjust — or acclimate — to a warmer climate and may release only one - fifth as much additional carbon dioxide than scientists previously believed, The study, published today in the journal Nature, is based on a five - year project, known as «B4Warmed,» that simulated the effects of climate change on 10 boreal and temperate tree species growing in an open - air setting in 48 plots in two forests in northern Minnesota.

«One demanding test of the validity of the computer simulations of the climate of the earth is based on temperature records from the Arctic... When tested against the Arctic temperature record, therefore, the computer forecasts are seen to exaggerate the projected warming by a large amount.»

Using these much smaller, observationally based climate sensitivities, the projected warming from continued use of fossil fuels will be moderate and benign for the foreseeable future.

From an instantaneous doubling of atmospheric CO2 content from the pre-industrial base level, some models would project 2 °C (3.6 °F) of global warming in less than a decade while others would project that it would take more than a century to achieve that much warming.

Based on historical temperature measurements and projected warming to the year 2100, this could increase by 800 - 1200m,» explained co-author Walter Immerzeel of Utrecht University in the Netherlands.

Projects of particular interest are those that apply a systemic lens to the root causes of global warming; enroll the leadership of frontline communities most vulnerable to the impact of climate change; push for broad - based civic engagement and community action; and wherever possible leverage the value artists and culture bearers bring to processes for devising and deploying practical solutions to this global crisis.

Master printmaker Todd Anderson's practice involves long - term, team - based projects that investigate ecological changes to wilderness caused by global warming.

The projected warming is also based on high - end climate sensitivity.

The administration of Gov. Kathleen Sebelius of Kansas said its decision was based on projected risks to health and the environment from global warming.

The highlighted points of emphasis in the report have been the dominant focus of research in the field of science communication and science studies for the past 15 years and the basis for recent innovative projects such as the World Wide Views on Global Warming initiative.

we can see clearly that while K08 projected 0.06 ºC cooling, the temperature record from HadCRUT (which was the basis of the bet) shows 0.07 ºC warming (using GISTEMP, it is 0.11 ºC).

«Future projections based on theory and high - resolution dynamical models consistently suggest that greenhouse warming will cause the globally averaged intensity of tropical cyclones to shift towards stronger storms,» Knutson et al. (2010); Grinsted et al. (2013) projected «a twofold to sevenfold increase in the frequency of Katrina magnitude events for a 1 °C rise in global temperature.»

Thus they project temperature change primarily on the basis of CO2, succumbing to the omitted variable fallacy, ie., they falsely attribute warming to CO2 because natural variables which may have caused warming aren't even included in the models.

And given the influence a project like PlanMaryland is expected to have on growth in the state for decades, one would also think that we'd be reviewing and pulling from the plan any provision based on the bad premise of man - made global warming.

In 2010, the Oregon Global Warming Commission launched its Roadmap to 2020 project, designed to offer recommendations for how Oregon can meet its 2020 greenhouse gas reduction goal, get a head start on its 2050 goal, and support a clean energy - based Oregon economy.

Tamino provides a nice simple graphic showing that global temperature remains within the projected range based on previous decades of warming:

One of the most feared of all model - based projections of CO2 - induced global warming is that temperatures will rise to such a degree as to cause a disastrous melting / destabilization of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS), which melting is subsequently projected to raise global sea level by several meters.

Consistent with the aforementioned sea level rise acceleration, a number of articles have projected global sea level rise of around 1m or more by 2100, based on past estimates of sea level rise (in response to warming) and based on melting of land ice (with thermal expansion):

«[1] Projections of 21st century warming may be derived by using regression - based methods to scale a model's projected warming up or down according to whether it under - or over-predicts the response to anthropogenic forcings over the historical period.

Gillett et al. derive the TCR by using a regression - based method to scale the model's projected warming up or down according to whether it under - or over-predicts the response to anthropogenic forcings over the historical period.

They use a regression - based method to scale the model - projected warming up or down according to whether it under - or over-predicts the response to anthropogenic forcings over the historical period.

Gillett et al. then use their TCR estimate to project how much the planet will warm in the future based on several different emissions scenarios.

The specific challenges for energy efficient construction in regions with a warm climate will be presented based on these and other projects at the International Passive House Conference 2016 in Darmstadt this April.

The Physical Science Basis, Cambridge, 996 pp, 2007), climate models project a fast rate of southwestern warming accompanied by devastating droughts (Seager et al. in Science 316:1181 — 1184, 2007; Williams et al. in Nat Clim Chang, 2012).

The questions we are trying to answer are how much warmer was it at different latitudes and how can that information be used to project future temperatures based on what we know about CO2 levels?»

Wasdell said that the draft submitted by scientists contained a metric projecting cumulative total anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions, on the basis of which a «carbon budget» was estimated — the quantity of carbon that could be safely emitted without breaching the 2 degrees Celsius limit to avoid dangerous global warming.

During the course of IPY, the Global Warming and Marine Mammals (GWAMM) project, led by Fisheries and Oceans Canada, aimed to develop community - based monitoring of marine mammal populations in the greater Hudson Bay region.

The Yale Project on Climate Change and the George Mason University Center for Climate Change Communication recently released Climate Change in the American Mind: Americans» Global Warming Beliefs and Attitudes in January 2010, a study based on interviews conducted December 24, 2009 — January 3, 2010.

In other words, Hansen's model - based Scenario A grossly overestimated the GH warming that would result, thereby invalidating his climate model's ability to correctly project GH warming.

The bases for all three «scenarios» were clearly spelled out by Hansen at the time, and the one that comes closest on CO2 emissions is «Scenario A», with the highest projected rate of warming.

«Based on historical relationships, the impact on hurricane activity of the projected shear change could be as large — and in the opposite sense — as that of the warming oceans.»

(11/15/07) «Ban the Bulb: Worldwide Shift from Incandescents to Compact Fluorescents Could Close 270 Coal - Fired Power Plants» (5/9/07) «Massive Diversion of U.S. Grain to Fuel Cars is Raising World Food Prices» (3/21/07) «Distillery Demand for Grain to Fuel Cars Vastly Understated: World May Be Facing Highest Grain Prices in History» (1/4/07) «Santa Claus is Chinese OR Why China is Rising and the United States is Declining» (12/14/06) «Exploding U.S. Grain Demand for Automotive Fuel Threatens World Food Security and Political Stability» (11/3/06) «The Earth is Shrinking: Advancing Deserts and Rising Seas Squeezing Civilization» (11/15/06) «U.S. Population Reaches 300 Million, Heading for 400 Million: No Cause for Celebration» (10/4/06) «Supermarkets and Service Stations Now Competing for Grain» (7/13/06) «Let's Raise Gas Taxes and Lower Income Taxes» (5/12/06) «Wind Energy Demand Booming: Cost Dropping Below Conventional Sources Marks Key Milestone in U.S. Shift to Renewable Energy» (3/22/06) «Learning From China: Why the Western Economic Model Will not Work for the World» (3/9/05) «China Replacing the United States and World's Leading Consumer» (2/16/05)» Foreign Policy Damaging U.S. Economy» (10/27/04) «A Short Path to Oil Independence» (10/13/04) «World Food Security Deteriorating: Food Crunch In 2005 Now Likely» (05/05/04) «World Food Prices Rising: Decades of Environmental Neglect Shrinking Harvests in Key Countries» (04/28/04) «Saudis Have U.S. Over a Barrel: Shifting Terms of Trade Between Grain and Oil» (4/14/04) «Europe Leading World Into Age of Wind Energy» (4/8/04) «China's Shrinking Grain Harvest: How Its Growing Grain Imports Will Affect World Food Prices» (3/10/04) «U.S. Leading World Away From Cigarettes» (2/18/04) «Troubling New Flows of Environmental Refugees» (1/28/04) «Wakeup Call on the Food Front» (12/16/03) «Coal: U.S. Promotes While Canada and Europe Move Beyond» (12/3/03) «World Facing Fourth Consecutive Grain Harvest Shortfall» (9/17/03) «Record Temperatures Shrinking World Grain Harvest» (8/27/03) «China Losing War with Advancing Deserts» (8/4/03) «Wind Power Set to Become World's Leading Energy Source» (6/25/03) «World Creating Food Bubble Economy Based on Unsustainable Use of Water» (3/13/03) «Global Temperature Near Record for 2002: Takes Toll in Deadly Heat Waves, Withered Harvests, & Melting Ice» (12/11/02) «Rising Temperatures & Falling Water Tables Raising Food Prices» (8/21/02) «Water Deficits Growing in Many Countries» (8/6/02) «World Turning to Bicycle for Mobility and Exercise» (7/17/02) «New York: Garbage Capital of the World» (4/17/02) «Earth's Ice Melting Faster Than Projected» (3/12/02) «World's Rangelands Deteriorating Under Mounting Pressure» (2/5/02) «World Wind Generating Capacity Jumps 31 Percent in 2001» (1/8/02) «This Year May be Second Warmest on Record» (12/18/01) «World Grain Harvest Falling Short by 54 Million Tons: Water Shortages Contributing to Shortfall» (11/21/01) «Rising Sea Level Forcing Evacuation of Island Country» (11/15/01) «Worsening Water Shortages Threaten China's Food Security» (10/4/01) «Wind Power: The Missing Link in the Bush Energy Plan» (5/31/01) «Dust Bowl Threatening China's Future» (5/23/01) «Paving the Planet: Cars and Crops Competing for Land» (2/14/01) «Obesity Epidemic Threatens Health in Exercise - Deprived Societies» (12/19/00) «HIV Epidemic Restructuring Africa's Population» (10/31/00) «Fish Farming May Overtake Cattle Ranching As a Food Source» (10/3/00) «OPEC Has World Over a Barrel Again» (9/8/00) «Climate Change Has World Skating on Thin Ice» (8/29/00) «The Rise and Fall of the Global Climate Coalition» (7/25/00) «HIV Epidemic Undermining sub-Saharan Africa» (7/18/00) «Population Growth and Hydrological Poverty» (6/21/00) «U.S. Farmers Double Cropping Corn And Wind Energy» (6/7/00) «World Kicking the Cigarette Habit» (5/10/00) «Falling Water Tables in China» (5/2/00) Top of page

... We've also participated in a pilot project to measure public opinion about the global warming issue and to see if a factual, science - based public information campaign can have an impact.

Eric Michelman, the Seattle - based climate activist behind the campaign, said he started the project to get more climate scientists» voices into public conversations about global warming.

The administration of Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius said its decision was based on projected risks to health and the environment from global warming.

In any event I don't understand the paper's relevance to your claim that the warming is decelerating, since you're basing that claim on what's happened up to now, for which we have billions of data points, whereas the three or four numbers you quoted from the paper were produced by model runs projecting hundreds of years into the future.

The bases for his claims relied on 3 simplistic assumptions that a) bleaching is evidence that coral have reached their limit of maximum thermal tolerance, b) bleaching will increase due to global warming, and c) coral can not adapt quickly enough to temperatures projected by climate models.

I think thy have «exaggerated» the 2xCO2 climate sensitivity (see posts to Jeff Glassman), as well as the assumed future CO2 levels in most of the model - based «scenarios and storylines», and thus have greatly exaggerated the projected future warming from increased CO2.

The projected future warming projections (for the end of this century) have been reduced a bit, starting from essentially the same base (AR5: 1986 - 2005 = +0.26 °C versus AR4: 1980 - 1999 = +0.23 °C):

Party members are in fact divided about the issue of climate change, a new study based on three years of data from the Yale Project on Climate Change Communication finds, with 44 percent ready to admit that global warming is happening.

Africa's climate is warmer than it was 100 years ago and model - based projections of future greenhouse gas induced climate change for the continent project that this warming will continue, and in most scenarios, accelerate (Hulme et al. 2001; Christensen et al. 2007).

The report singles out coastal areas, including low - lying island nations, as hot spots of elevated risk that may not be completely manageable due to the steady climb in global sea levels projected to take place during the rest of this century, as the planet warms and land - based ice sheets melt.

One important source of guidance is Project Drawdown, a global coalition of researchers, scientists, economists and others, that, in recent years, has built a model to evaluate and rank the top active solutions to global warming, based on their actual impact on greenhouse gas emissions.

If a customer wanted to know the mean temperature at their location from 2030 - 2040 for some planning (or it could be sea level), would you base it on the mean of the 20th century, the mean of the last decade, or a projected forwards warming at the rate of the last few decades?