I'll be filing something soon on an international betting pool of sorts
projecting sea ice conditions in September.
[Andy Revkin — The model runs used by the U.S. Geological Survey's Steven Amstrup to
project sea ice conditions midcentury onward all presumed carbon dioxide concentrations continue to rise.
Not exact matches
You can compare the current
ice conditions with predictions made earlier in the year through the Sea Ice Outlook effort, a project of the Arctic Research Consorti
ice conditions with predictions made earlier in the year through the
Sea Ice Outlook effort, a project of the Arctic Research Consorti
Ice Outlook effort, a
project of the Arctic Research Consortium.
Arbetter, 4.7, Statistical A statistical model using regional observations of
sea ice area and global NCEP air temperature,
sea level pressure, and freezing degree day estimates continues the trend of
projecting below - average summer
sea ice conditions for the Arctic.
During their work as part of the Norwegian - led research
project Norwegian Young
Sea Ice Cruise (N - ICE2015), an expedition launched to observe Arctic sea ice conditions, they were accustomed to watching for danger signs and moving quickly to salvage their gear and instruments when the ice broke
Sea Ice Cruise (N - ICE2015), an expedition launched to observe Arctic sea ice conditions, they were accustomed to watching for danger signs and moving quickly to salvage their gear and instruments when the ice broke
Ice Cruise (N -
ICE2015), an expedition launched to observe Arctic sea ice conditions, they were accustomed to watching for danger signs and moving quickly to salvage their gear and instruments when the ice broke
ICE2015), an expedition launched to observe Arctic
sea ice conditions, they were accustomed to watching for danger signs and moving quickly to salvage their gear and instruments when the ice broke
sea ice conditions, they were accustomed to watching for danger signs and moving quickly to salvage their gear and instruments when the ice broke
ice conditions, they were accustomed to watching for danger signs and moving quickly to salvage their gear and instruments when the
ice broke
ice broke up.
Arbetter, 4.0, n / a, Statistical (updated 13 August) Using
conditions from week 30 of 2012 (ie August 1, 2012), a revised minimum Arctic
sea ice extent of 4.03 million km2 is
projected for the week of September 7, 2012.
Our
projected Arctic
sea ice extent from the NCEP CFSv2 model with June 2013 revised - initial
condition using 30 - member ensemble forecast is (surprisingly increased to) 4.7 million square kilometers with a standard deviation of 0.4 million square kilometers.
As
sea ice declines, it becomes thinner, with less
ice build - up over multiple years, and therefore more vulnerable to further melting.15 Models that best match historical trends
project northern waters that are virtually
ice - free by late summer by the 2030s.25, 26,12 Within the general downward trend in
sea ice, there will be time periods with both rapid
ice loss and temporary recovery, 27 making it challenging to predict short - term changes in
ice conditions.
However, there remains uncertainty in the rate of
sea ice loss, with the models that most accurately
project historical
sea ice trends currently suggesting nearly
ice - free
conditions sometime between 2021 and 2043 (median 2035).12 Uncertainty across all models stems from a combination of large differences in projections among different climate models, natural climate variability, and uncertainty about future rates of fossil fuel emissions.
NRL - atm - ocn -
ice, 4.8 (4.4 - 5.3), Modeling (fully coupled)(Same as June) The
projected Arctic minimum
sea ice extent from the Navy's global coupled atmosphere - ocean -
ice modeling system based on May 2016 initial
ice conditions is 4.8 km2.