Sentences with phrase «projection of future climate»

Confidence in projections of future climate change has increased.

For any given metric, it is important to assess how good a test it is of model results for making projections of future climate change.

Although model - based projections of future climate are now more credible than ever before, the authors note they have no way to say exactly how reliable those projections are.

Such key ocean regions must be represented as accurately as possible for reliable projections of future climate change.

But, the problem is, is that we don't know what the value of the climate sensitivity is — this makes projections of future climate change — how should we say this?

For these reasons, a range of projections of future climate change has been conducted using coupled AOGCMs.

The Columbia scientists considered the performances of five Boeing and Airbus commercial aircraft, and 19 major airports, and then worked with projections of future climate change to see how this would affect air traffic.

«This work was a foundational reference case for the recently released RCP4.5 model scenario, one of four scenarios that will be used by modeling groups around the globe to make realistic projections of future climate change,» said Dr. Steven J. Smith, scientist at the Joint Global Change Research Institute, a partnership between PNNL and the University of Maryland, and lead research author.

Projections of future climate over the U.S. suggest that the recent trend towards increased heavy precipitation events will continue.

An article, currently in press in the journal Biological Conservation, uses projections of future climate conditions to assess how climate may change under future conditions.

It made use of a new technique to add finer - scale detail to computer simulations called Global Circulation Models, which are the basis for most projections of future climate change.

Projection of future climate trends on the 10 - 100 year time scale depends crucially upon improved understanding of ocean dynamics, particularly upon how ocean mixing will respond to climate change at the ocean surface.

All of this takes huge amounts of computer capacity; running a full - scale GCM for a 100 - year projection of future climate requires many months of time on the most advanced supercomputer.

Tierney and her colleagues also used their rainfall record to suggest ways current climate models can better replicate the Sahara's ancient climate and therefore improve projections of future climate.

To examine projections of future climates in the Northwest, researchers in the College of Forestry at Oregon State University and the U.S. Forest Service obtained outputs from more than 30 climate models, known as general circulation models.

«The intent is to increase dramatically the accuracy of computer model - based projections of future climate system response to the increased atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases.»

In the second part, the downscaling methods were used to make projections of future climate extremes, which were then examined for consistency and to determine the contribution of individual factors, such as choice of downscaling method and climate model, to the overall uncertainty.

He also covered projections of the future climate assuming various atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations in which we see further warming of the atmosphere and ocean, and further reductions in Arctic sea ice cover (for more information, read the summary of the main findings of the report: Briefing Headline Statements (IPCC)-RRB-.

Adjusting the quantity of large particles accounted for by computer models could result in better projections of future climate in desert regions — where the most particles are present, according to a statement by NCAR.

Projections of future climate do not typically include the effects of volcanic activity.

Topic 3 presents projections of future climate change and related impacts under different scenarios.

This range in climate sensitivity is attributable to differences in the strength of «radiative feedbacks» between models and is one of the reasons why projections of future climate change are less certain than policy makers would like.

Therefore, also changes in land cover should be represented in climate models for projections of future climate,» concludes Francesco S.R. Pausata.

Models that attempt to perform reliable projections of future climate changes should account explicitly for the feedbacks between climate and the processes that determine the atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases, reactive gases and aerosol particles.

These air pollutants also alter present and future climate patterns, so making realistic scenarios of these emissions is important for making realistic projections of future climate change.

Our framework links innovative approaches for (1) generating high - resolution, probabilistic projection of future climate and sea - level changes and (2) empirically identifying robust statistical relationships characterizing how humans have responded to past climate variability and past climate change, in order to (3) project how humans may respond to uncertain future changes.

This is an important façade for the IPCC to keep up, for without the overheated climate model projections of future climate change, the issue would be a lot less politically interesting (and government money could be used for other things... or simply not taken from taxpayers in the first place).

Jef Huisman, an aquatic microbiology professor and theoretical ecologist at the University of Amsterdam in the Netherlands, said that the Princeton research shows that recently proposed early - warning signals for the desertification of arid ecosystems can be too simple, and possibly result in projections of future climate change that do not account for the complexity of nature.

To plan for and adapt to the potential impacts of climate change, there is a need among communities in British Columbia for projections of future climate and climate extremes at a suitable, locally - relevant scale.

People who've been following the debate about global warming closely will be aware that the economic modelling used in projections of future climate change by the IPCC has been severely criticised by former Australian Statistician Ian Castles and former OECD chief economist David Henderson.

A better understanding of the heating distributions required to robustly simulate strong MJOs in climate models will improve insights into the dynamics of the climate system and projections of future climate.