«These patterns are consistent with
projections under a warming climate,» he said.
Not exact matches
«This quantitative attribution of human and natural
climate influences on the IPWP expansion increases our confidence in the understanding of the causes of past changes as well as for
projections of future changes
under further greenhouse
warming,» commented Seung - Ki Min, a professor with POSTECH's School of Environmental Science and Engineering.
Accurate answers to this question are subject to data constraints, as neither of the available
projection datasets
under future
climate change scenarios is designed for a 1.5 / 2 °C temperature
warming levels.
Even if the study were right... (which it is not) mainstream scientists use * three * methods to predict a global
warming trend... not just
climate computer models (which stand up extremely well for general
projections by the way)
under world - wide scrutiny... and have for all intents and purposes already correctly predicted the future -(Hansen 1988 in front of Congress and Pinatubo).
Climate projections indicate that the likelihood of more severe droughts, such as the one we're observing, increases
under global
warming.
Our analysis also leads to a relatively low and tightly - constrained estimate of Transient
Climate Response of 1.3 — 1.8 °C, and relatively low
projections of 21st - century
warming under the Representative Concentration Pathways.
The authors also published their own response with Carbon Brief, pointing out that they «present no evidence in our paper to suggest that future CO2 - induced
warming under any emissions scenario will be lower than the
projections given in AR5 [the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change's fifth assessment report]».
Jahn, A. (2018) Reduce probability of ice - free summers for 1.5 C compared to 2C
warming, Nature
Climate Change, http://nature.com/articles/doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0127-8 Sigmond, M. et al. (2018) Ice - free Arctic
projections under the Paris Agreement, Nature
Climate Change, http://nature.com/articles/doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0124-y
The results can give us
projections of future global
warming under a variety of scenarios, and also give us an estimate of the global
climate sensitivity.
An alternative approach uses simple
climate model
projections of global
warming under stabilisation to scale AOGCM patterns of
climate change assuming unmitigated emissions, and then uses the resulting scenarios to assess regional impacts (e.g., Bakkenes et al., 2006).