Not exact matches
Historically bettors have gravitated towards the home team, so it was also interesting to find the home / road
public betting splits have been
almost identical.
Those are
almost exclusively marquee rivalry games with extreme levels of one - sided
public betting.
During the regular season, sportsbooks
almost always adjust their lines based on the action of their sharpest bettors, and they won't move the number based on
public money unless there's a marquee matchup with one - sided
public betting and limited sharp action on the other side.
«[
Betting has been] largely one - sided action on the Cavs as we have
almost 85 percent of the
public wagers on the visitors.
Underdogs coming off an upset win (closed as underdog) have received the majority of
public bets in
almost 40 % of tournament games, and underdogs coming off an expected win (closed as favorite) have received the majority in
public bets in just 25 % of their games.
The Broncos have won each of their games by an average of 34.4 points this season, convincing the
betting public they are capable of covering an
almost five touchdown spread.
This was an important development because my analysis on NBA second half
betting found that
public bettors will
almost always gravitate towards the team that's trailing at halftime — especially if they were favored on the full game spread.
It may seem like
public money is responsible for moving the line, but it's
almost unheard of for
public money to cause a five - point line movement — especially considering how few
bets we have tracked on this game.
Early
public betting has been
almost perfectly balanced, with Detroit receiving 56 % of spread tickets and 47 % of spread dollars.
Although those numbers will likely fluctuate before kick - off, no team has received this level of
public support in
almost five years (Green Bay received 88 % of spread
bets against Minnesota back on October 23, 2011).
It's rare to see an underdog receiving the majority of
public bets, but this level of
public betting on an underdog is
almost inconceivable.
In other words, sportsbooks
almost always adjust their lines based on the action of their sharpest bettors, and they won't move the number based on
public money unless there's a marquee matchup with one - sided
public betting and limited sharp action on the other side.
The
public betting trends have an
almost even split with 51 percent of
bets coming in on FAU, though 51 percent are
betting underdog FIU on the moneyline.
Does this mean you should immediately go
bet the Blue Devils because the
public clearly knows something that you don't or do you immediately
bet on Wake Forest because any time 81.4 percent of the
public is on one team, they are
almost always wrong?
Their now - infamous screaming match after a 4 - 1 victory of Palermo in February and, the subsequent benching of the player for the first leg of the Champions League Round of 16 against Porto,
almost certainly had a more long - term effect than was ever let on in
public, and I would
bet large sums of money that their relationship turning toxic was the most important catalyst in this divorce.