Since then, the percentage of
public bets taking the over has leveled off at 60 %, but the total dropped another half - point to 48.
What immediately jumps out is the percentage of
public bets taking the over in tonight's matchup.
The over / under for this game opened at 47 and, with 68 % of
public bets taking the over, the total has climbed to 49.
Despite 57 % of
public bets taking the over, most of the market - setting sportsbooks have dropped the total down to 47.5.
Unfortunately, it's extremely rare that a majority of
public bets take the under which makes any sort of reverse line movement system exceedingly difficult.
Not exact matches
If you already know that one day you'll want to expand your business and
take it
public, your best
bet is to incorporate as a Corporation.
The
public loves to
bet favorites and over's, and simply
taking the less popular side has proven to be historically profitable.
It
took five weeks longer than I originally expected, but Tebow - Mania is officially in effect and, whenever
public money consistently
bets one way, we'll be looking to «sell their high» and find contrarian value on the other side.
If the general
public (based on Betting Percentage) is on one side of the game, but the point spread moves in the opposite direction, it is often an indicator that «big money» (and most likely «smart money») is taking a position in the direction of the line movement (and opposite to the Pu
public (based on
Betting Percentage) is on one side of the game, but the point spread moves in the opposite direction, it is often an indicator that «big money» (and most likely «smart money») is
taking a position in the direction of the line movement (and opposite to the
PublicPublic).
Similar to the Pats / Broncos showdown, the
betting public remains nearly split down the middle as to who to
take for this Sunday afternoon (1 PM ET) tilt.
Since the
public is more willing to
bet on underdogs during the playoffs, we believed there would be value by
taking a contrarian approach and backing the favorite — especially when they were receiving limited
public support.
In Week 13, the
public jumped back aboard the Tebow Train and, after yet another victory, has returned to the well as 75 % of spread
bets are
taking Denver for their Week 14 matchup with Chicago.
Oddsmakers are able to anticipate which games will
take one - sided
public betting, so they typically shade their opening lines to account for the predictable flood of
public money.
The screenshot below, which is
taken directly from
Bet Labs, highlights the value of
betting on visitors receiving less than 25 % of
public bets.
Please
take a look at our previous articles on «
Betting Against the
Public» in the NFL and College Football.
With the sportbooks
taking a pivotal half - point away from road dog Miami, the
betting public is giving the slight edge to Tom Brady and the Pats picking up at least an 11 - point win at Gillette Stadium.
Betting market:
Public bettors have quickly forgotten about Philadelphia's loss in Seattle and are right back on the Eagles» bandwagon, with the majority of spread tickets and spread bucks
taking Philly.
According to our
public betting trends, 75 % of spread tickets and 81 % of total dollars wagered have
taken the road favorite.
They understand the factors driving
public betting and shade their lines accordingly to force square bettors to
take bad numbers when playing the popular side of a game.
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to
take a valuable point away from home dog Indy, the
betting public is overwhelmingly in favor of Matt Ryan and Co. winning by at least 8 points on the road.
In this example, there's been an influx of
public money on Utah, but large
bets from well - respected clients have
taken Colorado.
The
betting public is hammering the Falcons, with 79 % of spread
bets taking the road favorites.
The table below, with data
taken from Pinnacle, examines the performance of road teams on Monday's as we become more selective with our
public betting percentages.
Thus far, the
betting public is slightly in favor of the Bills circling the wagons and
taking down the Jets by at least 2 points at home.
Not surprisingly, with phrases like «Dream Team» being mentioned by multiple sports media outlets, the
public is jumping all over the Eagles, with 73 % of spread and 71 % of moneyline
bets taking Philly.
Once again, the
public betting is very split, with 52 % of moneyline wagers
taking the underdog Bruins.
According to our
public betting trends, 77 % of tickets and 92 % of total dollars wagered have
taken the over.
Oddly enough, the total has actually dropped from 137 to 135 despite a lop - sided
betting percentage with 61 % of the
public taking the over and reports that it will not rain this evening.
Today is the NBA All - Star Game, and the team at SportsInsights notes that the game is currently seeing some lopsided
betting action: The
public is currently
taking the East over the West at a rate of...
If Arsenal do make a good start to the campaign though, as we all expect them to, then there is going to be an absolute dead cert, although whether you can find a bookie to
take your
bet is another matter, and that is for Wenger and Jose Mourinho to have a
public spat with each other.
Discover how to win at sports
betting by
taking advantage of our unique
public betting trends data.
He reported similarly one - sided levels of
public betting with 92 % of tickets and 76 % of total dollars wagered
taking the Jets.
With a majority of bettors
taking Indiana,
public money has moved the line to -7 across the sports
betting marketplace.
Just like McGregor now, Hillary Clinton's odds skyrocketed in the final weeks and days before November 8th thanks to an influx of
public betting, which created great value for bettors to go against the grain and
take a shot on Trump at an inflated number.
According to our
public betting trends, 78 % of tickets and 80 % of money have
taken the over, yet the total has dropped from 213.5 to 213 at Bookmaker.
However, with Cam Newton's Panthers
taking a step back last week in a 27 - point loss at home to the Titans, the
betting public is siding with the Lions to bounce back and cover the spread at home, especially after the sportsbooks adjusted their lines to
take a big half point away from road dog Carolina.
In addition to this one - sided
public betting on the spread, casual bettors are also
taking Kansas to win straight up.
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to
take a pivotal half - point away from road dog Kansas City, the
betting public is giving the slight edge to the 7 - 5 Jets winning by ten points or more in front of their home crowd.
While the
betting percentages were close, it's safe to say the slight majority of the
betting public took the Chiefs, especially since these numbers reflect weeks of wagering action.
One of the best ways to buy low is by
taking teams who are coming off a loss since the
betting public tends to overreact to recent events.
With the sportsbooks
taking a pivotal point away from the home dog «Hawks, the
betting public is pounding the Ravens, with nearly eight out of ten spread
bets confident Joe Flacco can lead Baltimore to a seven point win or more in the Pacific Northwest.
Although the sportsbooks have
taken away a pivotal point from road dog Oakland, the
betting public remains slightly in favor of the new - look Raiders finally meshing on the road and keeping it close at Qualcomm.
Great value here, with the
betting public nearly split down the middle as to who to
take.
Looking at games with drastic one - sided
public betting, it becomes abundantly clear that
public bettors prefer
taking favorites.
Akron has lost all ten of their games this season while being outscored 388 - 151, so it's not surprising to see the
betting public willing to
take Miami and give the points.
According to our
public betting data, 52 % of spread tickets are on the C's, but 68 % of dollars wagered have
taken the Dubs.
Sharp money hasn't
taken a side in this matchup, but one - sided
public betting appears to have created some contrarian value on the Boilermakers.
Even with the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to
take a pivotal half - point away from road dog New York, the
betting public remains heavily in favor of the G - Men covering on the road against the Jeckyll and Hyde Cowboys.
This loss dropped the Bills» overall record to 3 - 1, but dropped the
betting public to 0 - 4 when
taking a side for or against Buffalo in 2011.
As always we're going to fade the
public,
take the value created by square bettors and
bet the road dog in this NFC South matchup.