The line had dropped to Kansas City +10 after the early sharps got down on the Chiefs, but the barrage of
public betting on Pittsburgh has created a «bubble,» pushing the line back to +10.5.
For example, if a Home team has 30 % (or less) of
the public betting on them (Visitor then has 70 % or more of the public), over the past four seasons, this scenario resulted in +63 units!
The trends at sportsbooks see a slight betting edge to Green Bay with 51 percent of
the public betting on them, yet 73 percent picking Dallas to win outright on the money line.
Betting trends have
the public betting on Dallas by a 56 percent to 44 margin and 75 prefer the Pokes on the money line.
Sportsbooks have 54 percent of
the public betting on the -LSB-...]
82 % of
the public betting on the spread decided that they like Vick and the Eagles, which has pushed the Eagles to a 6.5 - point favorite from a 3 - point favorite when the line opened Monday morning according to our betting trends data.
Essentially the line moved 3.5 - points when it was announced that James would be playing, and
public betting on Cleveland shifted that line another half - point to -7.
For example, if a Home team has less than 20 % of
the public betting on them (Visitor has more than 80 % of the public), this scenario resulted in a 54.2 % winning percentage.
It's rare to see an underdog receiving the majority of public bets, but this level of
public betting on an underdog is almost inconceivable.
Despite this lopsided
public betting on the under, the total has increased from 195 to 195.5.
Although they have tracked similar one - sided
public betting on Texas A&M (receiving 88 % of spread bets), they have also tracked 94 % of total dollars wagered on the Aggies.
Also noteworthy is
the public betting on the moneyline for tonight's game.
Historically bettors tend to pound favorites and overs, so seeing this level of
public betting on the under comes as a major surprise.
Personally I think there's tremendous value on Clemson right now while they're below -3, and I would expect this line to rise despite
public betting on Louisville.
Public betting on the over / under has also been fairly even, yet the total has dropped from 46.5 to 45 at Pinnacle.
It's also worth noting that it's incredibly rare to see this level of one - sided
public betting on an underdog.
In addition to this one - sided
public betting on the spread, bettors have also been taking Golden State (opened -255) to win straight up.
When the spread is less than three - points, bettors often gravitate towards the moneyline, and we have seen similar one - sided
public betting on the Steelers to win straight up.
It's also worth noting that there's been similar
public betting on the total.
It's also worth pointing out that there has been similar one - sided
public betting on the total, with 77 % of tickets and 85 % of money taking the over.
It's interesting to note that square sportsbooks (like SIA and BetUs) have seen incredibly one - sided
public betting on Cleveland while sharper books (like 5Dimes and BetDSI) have been far more evenly split.
This level of one - sided
public betting on the underdog is more common during bowl season than it is during the regular season, but it's still highly uncommon.
In addition to this one - sided
public betting on the moneyline, we've also seen bettors taking Texas in parlays and on the runline.
Lastly, here's how
public betting on the Over / Under has looked.
In addition to this one - sided
public betting on the spread, casual bettors are also taking Kansas to win straight up.
It doesn't fit the exact 80/20 system, but the heavy
public betting on Seattle gave anyone betting San Diego 1.5 free points at most books.
In addition to this one - sided
public betting on the spread, casual bettors are also hammering Michigan on the moneyline.
There hasn't been any line movement at Bookmaker since opening on Thursday night, another good indication that the market is fine taking early
public bets on Germany.
This season no game has seen less than 22 % of
public bets on the over, and the first profitable data point comes when there are less than 35 % of bettors taking the over (21 - 19, +1.97 units).
The public bets on the favorite shld bring the line UP from 7, but the line dropped!
It's worth noting that the three most «square» books we monitor (BetUs, Sports Interaction, and Sportsbook.com) have all tracked more than 90 % of
public bets on Denver.
It's also intriguing to see that two of the most «square» books we monitor (Sports Interaction and Sportsbook.com) have tracked more than 75 % of
public bets on Atlanta, while public betting has been more evenly split at the sharper books (5Dimes and BetDSI).
Not exact matches
Celgene
bet early (and big)
on companies like Agios Pharmaceuticals and Bluebird Bio before they went
public, Timmerman wrote.
With that in mind, here are 10 best
bets for 2016, based in part
on research from Renaissance Capital, the IPO adviser, which examines
public offering deal pipelines.
The
Bets are also being told to be self - sufficient administratively: They can rely
on Alphabet for functions like legal counsel, human resources, and
public relations, but only if they pay Alphabet for the services.
And with Snapchat facing intense competition from Facebook — and its stock trading below the opening price of its initial
public offering in March — Spiegel is the man Wall Street is
betting on to lead the company to victory.
MADRID, April 19 (Reuters)- Spanish residential rental company Testa is
betting on a recovery in the country's property market as it gears up for an initial
public offering, its chief executive said
on Thursday.
Aspect will look to build
on investments such as ForeScout, a security company that went
public in October, as well as early
bets on companies such as networking startup Cato Networks, design marketplace Crew, security intelligence shop Exabeam and careers site The Muse.
Also read:
Bet on MMA with Bitcoin: UFC 202, McGregor vs Diaz Lawnmower: From Spare Change to Big Time Blockchain Investment One year ago, Lawnmower introduced its new mobile application to the
public, along with its unique
The snappily dressed former Facebook executive, who co-founded Social Capital in 2011, made early
bets on Bitcoin, started a hedge fund, and raised $ 600 million to help startups go
public through an unconventional vehicle known as a SPAC, or special purpose acquisition company.
If Santa Clausism became the dominant «religion» of the country, tried to influence the government, inst / itute laws and
public policies and demand that it be taught in
public education - start every school day with a reading from «Twas the Night Before Christmas» and have «Ho Ho Ho»
on your money - I'm just
betting that you would have something to say about it
on an internet forum and elsewhere!
Through our work we educate the
public and encourage people not to
bet on cruelty.
Haven't you guys picked up
on the fact that Vegas is
on to the «smart» money trying to
bet against the
public?
Betting Against the
Public was very profitable during the first half of the 2011 MLB Season, and this game is one we'll keep our eye
on when selecting the day's Best
Bets and Square Plays.
«But most of the time, home - field advantage doesn't mean a lot to the oddsmakers, and the
betting public usually places a greater value
on it than it should.»
Despite this extremely lop - sided
public betting, the line has actually remained stagnant at 3 - points, due to widespread speculation that sharp money would pour in
on Chicago if the line adjusted higher.
As you can see
betting on teams who are receiving less than 35 % of
public wagers has the highest units earned with 28.14, however the actual return
on investment would be noticeably higher when that number drops below 30 %.
This one - sided
public betting caused the spread to move from Cavs -8.5 to -10 before there was finally buyback
on the Celtics.
If you haven't already done so, please check out SportsInsights» report
on «
betting against the
Public» in NCAA Basketball.
To keep tabs
on all of this week's action, make sure to visit our new free NFL odds page to view odds,
public betting trends, injuries and more.