Not exact matches
During the regular season, sportsbooks almost always adjust their lines based on the action of their sharpest bettors, and they won't move the number based on
public money
unless there's a marquee matchup with one - sided
public betting and limited sharp action on the other side.
Even though the return on investment (ROI) steadily climbs as we look at increasingly one - sided
public action,
betting against the
public isn't profitable
unless the team is receiving less than 25 % of spread
bets.
When you
bet against the
public in the NBA, you're never going to be taking teams like the Warriors, Spurs, or Cavs...
unless Ty Lue decides to rest every starter, which is about once a week.
Even though the return on investment (ROI) steadily climbs as we look as increasingly one - sided
public betting,
betting against the
public isn't profitable
unless the underdog is receiving less than 25 % of spread
bets.
In other words, sportsbooks almost always adjust their lines based on the action of their sharpest bettors, and they won't move the number based on
public money
unless there's a marquee matchup with one - sided
public betting and limited sharp action on the other side.
That means you're not going to find and value
unless you're targeting games with extreme levels of one - sided
public betting and limited sharp involvement.
This latter would seem to be very important, given that lawyers and courts are likely to use commercial databases as though these were transparently available to everyone; and
unless you guys are truly impressive persuaders, I'd
bet that the mountain won't come to Mohammed on this one, and commercial providers will go on using proprietary citations, and their mess will continue to leak into the
public system.