Many
public bettors like the idea of picking a winner and will avoid taking the draw even if there's value on it.
This information indicates that even though a majority of
public bettors like New Orleans, large wagers from sharp bettors have been taking Washington.
Public bettors liked both the Dodgers and Padres to go under their season win total in the NL West, but both went over.
Not exact matches
Each matchup is different, and
bettors need to pay attention to factors
like public betting trends and sharp money indicators
like steam moves and / or reverse line movement.
Bettors will pick up on just about anything and I guess it's already
public knowledge that little old Bradley goes under the total
like it's their job.
The
Public beat the spread with teams
like Pittsburgh, New England, Atlanta, and the Jets — while Indianapolis and St. Louis surprised some
bettors by failing to cover.
Even though the
public doesn't
like the Cowboys» chances, sharp
bettors jumped on the opportunity to get Dallas +3.5, as we've tracked three bet signals on them and none on Philly.
Just
like McGregor now, Hillary Clinton's odds skyrocketed in the final weeks and days before November 8th thanks to an influx of
public betting, which created great value for
bettors to go against the grain and take a shot on Trump at an inflated number.
With such a drastically different line,
bettors have pounded gang green with 67 % of the
public liking Boston and the points.
We
like the value that
public bettors have created on this game and, as always, we recommend buying on bad news and selling on good.
This is the most heavily bet game of the week, but
public money hasn't affected the spread
like many
bettors would expect.
It isn't often that
public and sharper
bettors are both on an underdog
like this during the regular season, but trendy dogs do seem to pop up more often in the NCAA Tournament.
Bettors who combined «divisional dogs» with «fade the
public» made out
like bandits.
That means in addition to targeting heavily bet games with one - sided
public betting, contrarian
bettors need to make sure there have been no sharp money indicators (
like steam moves and / or reverse line movement) on their opponent.
Most oddsmakers know which games will take one - sided
public betting, so they will shade their opening lines to account for dull
bettors racing to the window
like drunkards (or myself) racing to the bar at last call.
By examining historical trends,
public betting trends and sharp money indicators (
like steam and reverse line movement), I was able to pinpoint which team was offering contrarian value to
bettors.
Much
like our betting against the
public philosophy, this often creates contrarian value for opportunistic
bettors.
Due to the number of games each NHL season and the plus - money payouts of moneyline underdogs, NHL
bettors with an edge (
like those betting against the
public) enjoy many opportunities to cash in on that edge.
Public bettors also must
like the fact that Auburn has looked very impressive since losing to Clemson, earning blowout wins over Ole Miss, Mississippi State, and Missouri in SEC conference play.
Although
bettors are favoring Cleveland at square sportsbooks (i.e. Sportsbook.com, SIA and BetUS), the
public is favoring Golden State at sharper sportsbooks
like BetDSI and 5Dimes.
Bettors have been steadily pounding Golden State since the line opened on Wednesday afternoon, which makes it look
like public money is solely responsible for this 2 - point line move.
Public bettors do
like the Over at each contributing book, but we haven't seen any increase in the total.
More than 70 % of
bettors like UGA to cover the big spread, and
public bettors are likely a little sour on Georgia Tech after getting blown out by Duke on Saturday.
Although I do
like Middlesbrough to stay in the Premier League this season and avoid relegation,
public bettors have created value on the draw here at +225.
Usually
public bettors would be very low in a situation
like this, which makes me think this may be a good opportunity to actually take Seattle laying the points.
This should be encouraging news for
bettors that
like Atlanta, as this is a great opportunity to Bet Against the
Public in a widely bet game.
At +1 goal and even money, I really
like the value on Watford, and you may even get a better number closer to gametime after
public bettors continue to hammer United.
Juventus at that price does seem
like good value, but with
public bettors flocking to them, I think that the value is actually on Barcelona right now.
It's worth noting that
public bettors overwhelmingly
like taking favorites, which explains why most of our contrarian strategies focusing on underdogs.
We know that it's usually sharp money responsible for moving a line, but for a massive match
like this, an influx of
public bettors at +250 can really change the odds.
Square
bettors will tend to gravitate towards big name schools
like Florida, so oddsmakers
like Sportsbook.com will shade their lines to account for the inevitable influx of
public money.
Primetime games receive the most
public action and casual
bettors like wagering on favorites.
They are okay if the
public loads up on one side as long as sharps don't join in because they are able to predict who
bettors will
like for each game, and set the lines accordingly.
Why the
public will love Oklahoma City: With their starpower, the Thunder,
like the Celtics, attract
public bettors on most nights.
In all my years of bookmaking, I can not remember a single year where
public bettors following the favorites cleaned up
like this.