Taking the most recent poll
published by each pollster in the last week, we calculate the proportion showing a Conservative lead over Labour of more than 6 points as the pseudo-probability of a Conservative majority, but we allow polls with exactly a 6 point lead to contribute a 0.5 to the average.
Given those challenges,
pollsters / analysts Steve Farkas and Ann Duffett have delivered an invaluable service in their new study «High Schools, Civics, and Citizenship: What Social Studies Teachers Think and Do,» released today (Full disclosure: The study was commissioned and
published by my shop at AEI).