The pioneer
radiation balance model incorporating aerosols was Freeman and Liou (1979); for cloudiness data they cite Telegdas and London (1954).
Not exact matches
They got 10 pages in Science, which is a lot, but in it they cover
radiation balance, 1D and 3D
modelling, climate sensitivity, the main feedbacks (water vapour, lapse rate, clouds, ice - and vegetation albedo); solar and volcanic forcing; the uncertainties of aerosol forcings; and ocean heat uptake.
[Response: The way the
radiation is written in the Uvic
model — which is typical for energy
balance models of this sort — you can dial in whatever sensitivity parameter you want.
Some of the above errors in clouds compensate to provide the global mean
balance in
radiation required by
model tuning.»
It also may impact the planet's
radiation balance - largely by changing cloudiness - I have no idea whether this effect would warm or cool, that would require detailed
modeling.
If the
models don't reflect such differences in
radiation balance between the hemispheres, then there is something wrong with the
models... But globally, the oceans are warming (much) faster in the NH than in the SH...
They got 10 pages in Science, which is a lot, but in it they cover
radiation balance, 1D and 3D
modelling, climate sensitivity, the main feedbacks (water vapour, lapse rate, clouds, ice - and vegetation albedo); solar and volcanic forcing; the uncertainties of aerosol forcings; and ocean heat uptake.
Callendar in the 1930's (AGW a factor in early 20th warming), Plass (
radiation balance) and Revelle (oceans won't absorb all anthropogenic CO2) in the 1950's, Keeling measuring CO2 in the 1960's, Manabe and others in the 1970's
modelling GHG effects, etc - all contributed to the body of evidence.
When Alarmists say that ENSO's short term effects must
balance to zero over the long run they are doing a priori science using the assumptions of the «
radiation - only»
model.
These data are used to research atmospheric
radiation balance, cloud feedback processes, and to initialize and evaluate
model performance, which are critical to the understanding of global climate change.
The main place this attempt at
modelling breaks down, IMHO, is assessing the effect of a change in
radiation balance on a change in global temperature, without feedbacks.
3) In the examination of the
model for the GHE above, the initial
radiation balance, plus the adiabatic - lapse rate, is what has set the structure of the temperature profile; and then the addition of more GHG to the temperature field causes a radiative imbalance that changes the temperature profile until the imbalance goes away.
Bill Gray has a favorite diagram, taken from a 1985 climate
model, showing little nodules in the center with such labels as «thermal inertia» and «net energy
balance» and «latent heat flux» and «subsurface heat storage» and «absorbed heat
radiation» and so on, and they are emitting arrows that curve and loop in all directions, bumping into yet more jargon, like «soil moisture» and «surface roughness» and «vertical wind» and «meltwater» and «volcanoes.»
Axel Kleidon and Maik Renner of the Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry in Jena, Germany, used a simple energy
balance model to determine how sensitive the water cycle is to an increase in surface temperature due to a stronger greenhouse effect and to an increase in solar
radiation.
The change in cloud cover, neither the change in
radiation balance is captured by any climate
model (see Wielicki ea.
The glaciers and ice caps / sheets ECV is of importance to climate
models and albedo, water
balance, sea level, and
radiation budget climate studies.
As of November 2014, there were 14 Earth System
Models from 12 centers in eight countries that
modeled temperature, soil moisture, and solar
radiation at a daily resolution for at least one of the three RCPs (S1 Table)(Note: all Earth System
Models that we used include feedbacks of plant production on water
balance).
It is not so much the time scale of the response, just that it is not constrained or
balanced by anything since we don't have convection in this
radiation model.