Sentences with phrase «radiation imbalance»

Assuming that there is, in fact, a positive radiation imbalance, heat will gradually stop going in as the ocean warms to balance the increase in radiation by an increase in emission.
Add in the current radiation imbalance of ~ 1 W / m2, you have at least 1.5 deg C surface warming to come (assuming a canonical 0.75 C / W / m2 sensitivity)».
The limitations of OLS on data with a near unit root is well taken, but to claim that the temperature just changes stochastically, within bounds that are very far off what one would expect just from natural variability, is not convincing: Many parameters of the earth system are simultaneously showing signs of warming, plus there's still a positive radiation imbalance at the top of the atmosphere: The earth hasn't even warmed up yet to the full extent that the change in forcing implies.
«Our results demonstrate how synergistic use of satellite TOA radiation observations and recently improved ocean heat content measurements, with appropriate error estimates, provide critical data for quantifying short - term and longer - term changes in the Earth's net TOA radiation imbalance.
An apparent inconsistency has been diagnosed between interannual variations in the net radiation imbalance inferred from satellite measurements and upper - ocean heating rate from in situ measurements, and this inconsistency has been interpreted as «missing energy» in the system2.
(Carbon dioxide concentration is a rate effect; it affects radiation imbalance.
mehus@19 dana1981@20 John Hartz@21 I inferred from Kevin Trenberth lecture on Utube that «missing heat» was discrepancy between radiation imbalance (KT stated 0.9 wm ** -2) & delta ocean heat expected from it.
Douglas and Knox show some correlations between Top - of - atmosphere radiation imbalance and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO).
Looking at the surface temperature and the ocean heat content changes together though allows us to pin down the total unrealised forcing (the net radiation imbalance) and demonstrate that the models are consistent with both the surface and ocean changes.
Thus continued precise monitoring of Earth's radiation imbalance is probably the best way to assess and adjust the appropriate CO2 target.
We know that 93 % or so of the radiation imbalance from global warming is going into the oceans anyhow, so it should be obvious from that the ocean is largely a cooling source.
Current climate change is largely an aggregate effect; it depends mostly on the time integral of radiation imbalance, due to the large thermal inertia of the system.
Thus continued precise monitoring of Earth's radiation imbalance is probably the best way to assess and adjust the appropriate CO2 target.
Educating the lay public about some simple arithmetical details of the radiation imbalance is not going to solve the problem created by the radiation imbalance, since the scale of the problem now exceeds even the most modest approaches to its solution.
a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z