The textbook formulae for a simple
radiative balance model is:
(4) Halpern et al. do not understand our critique on the abuse of diagrams in the context of simplistic
radiative balance models.
Not exact matches
The other two shortlisted missions — which had been whittled down from an original list of over 20 possibilities — were CoReH2O, which sought to
model the water
balance in glaciers and snow - covered areas, and PREMIER, which aimed to study chemical processes in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere and the
radiative effects of clouds.
However, in view of the fact that cloud feedbacks are the dominant contribution to uncertainty in climate sensitivity, the fact that the energy
balance model used by Schmittner et al can not compute changes in cloud
radiative forcing is particularly serious.
In the main article you state «the fact that the energy
balance model used by Schmittner et al can not compute cloud
radiative forcing is particularly serious.»
Nevertheless, the results described here provide key evidence of the reliability of water vapor feedback predicted by current climate
models in response to a global perturbation in the
radiative energy
balance.»
It's something of an abstract concept, but with real world implications, and the universality of such physical
models, based on things like
radiative balance, atmospheric composition and density, distance from the local Sun, etc., is a very strong argument in favor of general acceptance of the results of climate
models and observations on Earth.
Guemas et al. (Nature Climate Change 2013) shows that the slower warming of the last ten years can not be explained by a change in the
radiative balance of our Earth, but rather by a change in the heat storage of the oceans, and that this can be at least partially reproduced by climate
models, if one accounts for the natural fluctuations associated with El Niño in the initialization of the
models.
A vast array of thought has been brought to bear on this problem, beginning with Arrhenius» simple energy
balance calculation, continuing through Manabe's one - dimensional
radiative - convective
models in the 1960's, and culminating in today's comprehensive atmosphere - ocean general circulation
models.
It matters because of there are other features that affect
radiative balance, we need to understand and
model them accurately.
Syllabus: Lecture 1: Introduction to Global Atmospheric
Modelling Lecture 2: Types of Atmospheric and Climate
Models Lecture 3: Energy
Balance Models Lecture 4: 1D
Radiative - Convective
Models Lecture 5: General Circulation
Models (GCMs) Lecture 6: Atmospheric Radiation Budget Lecture 7: Dynamics of the Atmosphere Lecture 8: Parametrizations of Subgrid - Scale Physical Processes Lecture 9: Chemistry of the Atmosphere Lecture 10: Basic Methods of Solving
Model Equations Lecture 11: Coupled Chemistry - Climate
Models (CCMs) Lecture 12: Applications of CCMs: Recent developments of atmospheric dynamics and chemistry Lecture 13: Applications of CCMs: Future Polar Ozone Lecture 14: Applications of CCMs: Impact of Transport Emissions Lecture 15: Towards an Earth System
Model
For instance,
radiative transfer
models (measuring heat
balance) are quite well verified, and accurately predict the rise in the temperature (and hence energy) of the atmosphere as the CO2 level increases.
His
model of the atmosphere was advanced for the time, but he did consider the
radiative balance at the surface, whereas we now consider that this is flawed and the
balance at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) is more appropriate.
We perform simulations of future Earth climate by running our baseline
model for various (increasing) values of the solar constant until
radiative balance is achieved.
3) In the examination of the
model for the GHE above, the initial radiation
balance, plus the adiabatic - lapse rate, is what has set the structure of the temperature profile; and then the addition of more GHG to the temperature field causes a
radiative imbalance that changes the temperature profile until the imbalance goes away.
Detection / attribution assessments, using General Circulation
Models (GCMs) or Energy
Balance Models (EBMs) with geographical distributions of surface temperature trends, suggest that the solar influence on climate is greater than would be anticipated from
radiative forcing estimates.
1) In the estimates made using the energy
balance diffusive
model, the IPCC assumed a
radiative forcing for doubled CO2 of 4 W / m ^ 2 rather than the actual 3.7 W / m ^ 2.
All you folks arguing that the
model is valid are doing so by performing accounting on the
radiative balance (235 out = 470 out — 235 in, etc.).
And thus, all attempts at carefully accounting for the
radiative balance by stating that the shell is twice the area of the planet are nonsensical, because it doesn't have to be twice the area... it could easily be much more without changing the basic premise of the
model.
Incorporating new findings on the
radiative forcing of black carbon (BC) aerosols, the magnitude of the climate sensitivity, and the strength of the climate / carbon cycle feedbacks into a simple upwelling diffusion / energy
balance model similar to the one that was used in the TAR, we find that the range of projected warming for the 1990 - 2100 period is reduced to 1.1 - 2.8 °C.
So, that is what we came up with — A few very simple
models, such as the one that involves 3 objects: one object A producing thermal energy and radiating energy at a fixed rate, two other objects B and C whose temperature is determined via
radiative balance with object A and empty space, with a geometry such that the temperature of object B is higher than that of object C. And, what we wanted to illustrate is that the object C «warms» B in the colloquial sense of the word... i.e., that the presence of object C causes B to be at a higher temperature than if C is absent.
«Our confidence in our conclusion... is based on the fact that the results of the
radiative - convective and heat -
balance model studies can be understood in purely physical terms and are verified by the more complex GCM's.
Present global climate
models (GCMs) supersede the old simple conceptual
models on the greenhouse effect, some of which include
radiative - convection and heat
balance models discussed over the period 1890 — 1980 (Arrhenius 1896; Hulburt 1931; Charney et al. 1979; Schneider and Dickinson 1974; North 1975; Wang WC and Stone P 1980).
We show that this occurs in spite of a decline in
radiative forcing that exceeds the decline in ocean heat uptake — a circumstance that would otherwise be expected to lead to a decline in global temperature when using the simple energy
balance model described in the post.
It took me a long time to realise that the
Radiative Forcing (RF) that is at the heart of the
model calculations is centred on a notional point toward the top of the troposphere... defined by the temperature at which the earth will reradiate the
balancing energy — which is -19 C and about 10 km up.
Peter Taylor; It took me a long time to realise that the
Radiative Forcing (RF) that is at the heart of the
model calculations is centred on a notional point toward the top of the troposphere... defined by the temperature at which the earth will reradiate the
balancing energy — which is -19 C and about 10 km up >> >