I think a better definition of climate change would be a recognizable
radiative balance state change that appears immune to short term cycles like ENSO and seasonal cycles.
Not exact matches
In the main article you
state «the fact that the energy
balance model used by Schmittner et al can not compute cloud
radiative forcing is particularly serious.»
How about this: if I could point to a
state change in the
radiative balance of the earth that started 6 years ago, would you say unless that
state change lasts 24 more years it's not climate change?
(57k) When I
state that the equilibrium climatic response must
balance imposed RF (and feedbacks that occur), I am referring to a global time average RF and global time average response (in terms of
radiative and convective fluxes), on a time scale sufficient to characterize the climatic
state (including cycles driven by externally - forced cycles (diurnal, annual) and internal variability.
Under steady -
state conditions, the total radiation absorbed by the Earth must match the total radiation emitted by the Earth; that's what
radiative balance or imbalance means in the climate literature.
It clearly
states that (a) emission of energy by radiation is accompanied with cooling of the surface (if no compensating changes prevent it), and (b) the tendency to a
radiative equilibrium means that the emitter with the higher surface temperature will loose energy due to a negative net radiation
balance until this net radiation
balance becomes zero.
He does not look at the top of atmosphere
balance to see how it remains unbalanced under his modified
state, so he hasn't looked at
radiative equilibrium, but some kind of transient response, as far as I can tell.
And thus, all attempts at carefully accounting for the
radiative balance by
stating that the shell is twice the area of the planet are nonsensical, because it doesn't have to be twice the area...
And thus, all attempts at carefully accounting for the
radiative balance by
stating that the shell is twice the area of the planet are nonsensical, because it doesn't have to be twice the area... it could easily be much more without changing the basic premise of the model.
Over this five year time span, the latest observations appear to show that the top of the atmosphere has been in an averaged
state of
radiative balance.