The direct and indirect
radiative effects of aerosols suspended in the atmosphere above clouds (ACA) are a highly uncertain component of both regional and global climate.
The direct
radiative effects of aerosols can be divided in reflection and absorption.
In this paper we present results from various field experiments demonstrating the contribution that the multi-angle multi-spectral photopolarimetric remote sensing measurements of the NASA Glory mission will make to the determination of the direct and indirect
radiative effects of aerosols.
Some models include volcanic effects by simply perturbing the incoming shortwave radiation at the top of the atmosphere, while others simulate explicitly
the radiative effects of the aerosols in the stratosphere.
«
The Radiative Effect of Aerosols in the Earth's Atmosphere.»
But even if this is a result of the GISS model, this largely depends on the assumptions made in the model for e.g. amounts and
radiative effect of aerosols, which are far from settled.
Myhre, G., N. Bellouin, T.F. Berglen, T.K. Berntsen, O. Boucher, A. Grini, I.S.A. Isaksen, M. Johnsrud, M.I. Mishchenko, F. Stordal, and D. Tanre, 2007: Comparison of the radiative properties and direct
radiative effect of aerosols from a global aerosol model and remote sensing data over ocean.
Not exact matches
Spanish and Portuguese researchers have analysed the composition and
radiative effect of desert
aerosols during two episodes which simultaneously affected Badajoz (Spain) and Évora (Portugal) in August 2012.
During this event, the
aerosols stayed close to the surface due to the presence
of a anticyclone hovering over the study region at sea - level, «reducing the amount
of shortwave irradiance reaching the surface and causing greater
radiative cooling,» states Obregón, who likens the
effects of desert dust with those resulting from certain forest fires or episodes
of high pollution.
For this reason, a group
of researchers from Extremadura (Spain) and Portugal has analysed the
radiative effect of a type
of natural
aerosol (the dust from the desert areas),
of great interest to the Iberian Peninsula due to the proximity
of the Sahara desert.
Sally, who was nominated by Dr. Beat Schmid, Associate Director, Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division, was honored for her exceptional contribution in the field
of atmospheric science, particularly in her efforts to improve understanding
of the
radiative effect of clouds and
aerosols on the Earth's atmosphere and their representation in climate models.
That's far from the worst flaw in his calculation, since his two biggest blunders are the neglect
of the
radiative cooling due to sulfate
aerosols (known to be a critical factor in the period in question) and his neglect
of the many links in the chain
of physical
effects needed to translate a top
of atmosphere
radiative imbalance to a change in net surface energy flux imbalance.
The top priorities should be reducing uncertainties in climate sensitivity, getting a better understanding
of the
effect of climate change on atmospheric circulation (critical for understanding
of regional climate change, changes in extremes) and reducing uncertainties in
radiative forcing — particularly those associated with
aerosols.
Can any
of the experts lurking here refer me to any updates to the anthropogenic direct
effect aerosol radiative forcing digram — Figure 6.8 -(Figure 401) in the TAR?
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory general circulation model investigation
of the indirect
radiative effects of anthropogenic sulfate
aerosol Journal
of Geophysical Resarach, 2005
First, for changing just CO2 forcing (or CH4, etc, or for a non-GHE forcing, such as a change in incident solar radiation, volcanic
aerosols, etc.), there will be other GHE
radiative «forcings» (feedbacks, though in the context
of measuring their
radiative effect, they can be described as having
radiative forcings
of x W / m2 per change in surface T), such as water vapor feedback, LW cloud feedback, and also, because GHE depends on the vertical temperature distribution, the lapse rate feedback (this generally refers to the tropospheric lapse rate, though changes in the position
of the tropopause and changes in the stratospheric temperature could also be considered lapse - rate feedbacks for forcing at TOA; forcing at the tropopause with stratospheric adjustment takes some
of that into account; sensitivity to forcing at the tropopause with stratospheric adjustment will generally be different from sensitivity to forcing without stratospheric adjustment and both will generally be different from forcing at TOA before stratospheric adjustment; forcing at TOA after stratospehric adjustment is identical to forcing at the tropopause after stratospheric adjustment).
Satellite observations do play, however, a key role for evaluating models
of the indirect
aerosol radiative effect (Ghan et al., 2001b).
Indirect
aerosol effect -
Aerosols may lead to an indirect
radiative forcing
of the climate system through acting as cloud condensation nuclei or modifying the optical properties and lifetime
of clouds.
The direct and indirect
radiative effects of biogenic secondary organic
aerosol.
In addition, some models include the indirect
effects of tropospheric sulphate
aerosols on clouds (e.g., Tett et al., 2002), whereas others consider only the direct
radiative effect (e.g., Meehl et al., 2004).
To evaluate the global
effects of aerosols on the direct
radiative balance, tropospheric chemistry, and cloud properties
of the earth's atmosphere requires high - precision remote sensing that is sensitive to the
aerosol optical thickness, size istribution, refractive index, and number density.
Given our very short and spotty data on the relative abundance (or importance)
of the majority
of these
aerosols, and given our very poor understanding
of the direct, indirect, and side
effects of the majority
of these
aerosols, any numbers that anyone generates about their abundance, importance, or total
radiative forcing are going to be a SWAG.
The
effect on
radiative forcing
of assuming different values for indirect
aerosol forcing.
DMS is the primary source in the sulfate mass budget over the remote ocean west
of 80 ° W. • The first
aerosol indirect
effect has been observationally quantified over the SEP, with cloud thinning
of the more polluted coastal clouds mitigating the overall
radiative impact.
adding two variables that were requested in the ACCMIP Word document but not explained in the spreadsheet: the longwave and the shortwave cloud
radiative forcing with reference (fixed) composition, for diagnosis
of aerosol indirect
effect.
The
effect of anthropogenic black carbon (BC)
aerosol on snow is
of enduring interest due to its role in
aerosol radiative forcing and further consequences for Arctic and global climate change.
I may have to re-read the Wild paper and again look exactly for what I failed to find the first time: local temperature observations on the surface matching the expected
effects of the
aerosol radiative forcings the paper does talk a lot about.
The complexity
of radiative - dynamical response forced by volcanic impacts suggests that it is important to calculate
aerosol radiative effects interactively within the model rather than prescribe them (Andronova et al., 1999; Broccoli et al., 2003).
But including
aerosol indirect
effects on
radiative forcing has made it easier to generate a greater variety
of 20th century simulations without affecting other aspects
of the climate simulation as strongly.
However, if one converts the total
effects of all greenhouse gases,
aerosols, etc. into an equivalent increase in CO2 concentration (by reference to their effective
radiative forcing RF, that from a doubling
of CO2 being F2xCO2), then what you suggest would be pretty much in line with the generic definition
of TCR in Section 10.8.1
of AR5 WGI:
He thought that this connection might occur via the
effect of cosmic ray induced ionization on
aerosol and cloud condensation nuclei and thus on the
radiative properties
of clouds.
The
effects of aerosols and landuse changes reduce
radiative forcing so that the net forcing
of human activities is in the range
of 311 to 435 ppm CO2 - eq, with a central estimate
of about 375 ppm CO2 - eq.»
Regional
effects of aerosol forcing are large; regional mean values
of anthropogenic
aerosol radiative forcing can be factors
of 5 to 10 higher than the global mean values
of 0.5 to 1.5 W m − 2 (IPCC, 2001).
absorbing
aerosols, which lead to a positive
radiative forcing
of the troposphere with little net
radiative effect at the top
of the atmosphere;
Lohmann et al. (2000) predicted a
radiative impact for the combined
effect (i.e., first and second
effects)
of -1.3 and -0.9 Wm - 2 for externally and internally mixed carbonaceous
aerosols, respectively.
As noted earlier, the IPCC's latest report indicates that the current
radiative forcing
of non-carbon dioxide greenhouse gases and
aerosols effectively cancel each other, so that the net
effect of all
radiative forcing components is currently roughly equal to the
effect of carbon dioxide alone.
They found that changes in atmospheric ionization during the 11 - year solar cycle, and the resulting variations in
aerosol formation, produced a globally asymmetric
radiative forcing with a net cloud albedo
effect of − 0.05 W m − 2.
The whitehouse
effect — Shortwave
radiative forcing
of climate by anthropogenic
aerosols: An overview
Moreover, the semi-direct
effect is not exclusive to absorbing
aerosol, as potentially any
radiative heating
of the mid-troposphere can produce a similar response in a GCM (Hansen et al., 2005; see also Section 2.8).
Considering the surface
radiative forcing may enable quantification
of the
effects of aerosols on the surface
Of particular interest, this approach allows calculation of a meaningful radiative forcing from the indirect or semidirect aerosol effect
Of particular interest, this approach allows calculation
of a meaningful radiative forcing from the indirect or semidirect aerosol effect
of a meaningful
radiative forcing from the indirect or semidirect
aerosol effects.
effects of aerosols on cloud properties (including cloud fraction, cloud microphysical parameters, and precipitation efficiency), which may modify the hydrological cycle without significant
radiative impacts;
The standard explanation for the post 1970s warming is that the
radiative effect of greenhouse gases overcame shortwave reflection
effects due to
aerosols [Mann and Emanuel, 2006].
When partnered with cloud remote sensing observations the radiation measurements and retrievals allow the characterization
of cloud and
aerosol radiative effects at the surface, which is essential in order to quantify the amount
of radiative energy available at the surface to interact with heating the air, evaporating water, and interacting with clouds and greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere.
2) The
effects of clouds and
aerosols on
radiative heat transfer, which are many and varied and still being studied with many questions open.
The complexity
of radiative - dynamical response forced volcanic impacts suggests that it is important to calculate
aerosol radiative effects interactively within the model rather than prescribe them.
Yu, H., Y.J. Kaufman, M. Chin, G. Feingold, L.A. Remer, T.L. Anderson, Y. Balkanski, N. Bellouin, O. Boucher, S. Christopher, P. DeCola, R. Kahn, D. Koch, N. Loeb, M.S. Reddy, M. Schulz, T. Takemura, and M. Zhou, 2006: A review
of measurement - based assessment
of aerosol direct
radiative effect and forcing.
Neither was the
effect of anthropogenic sulphate
aerosols, except to note in the FAR that «it is conceivable that this
radiative forcing has been
of a comparable magnitude, but
of opposite sign, to the greenhouse forcing earlier in the century».
The level
of scientific understanding
of radiative forcing is ranked by the AR4 (Table 2.11) as high only for the long - lived greenhouse gases, but is ranked as low for solar irradiance,
aerosol effects, stratospheric water vapor from CH4, and jet contrails.
In terms
of sulphate
aerosols, both the direct
radiative effects and the indirect
effects on clouds were acknowledged, but the importance
of carbonaceous
aerosols from fossil fuel and biomass combustion was not recognised (Chapters 2, 7 and 10).