We may — like the IPCC — draw the conclusion that the radiant flux changes are dominated by cloud
radiative forcing changes without information on clouds.
Not exact matches
First, for
changing just CO2
forcing (or CH4, etc, or for a non-GHE
forcing, such as a
change in incident solar radiation, volcanic aerosols, etc.), there will be other GHE
radiative «
forcings» (feedbacks, though in the context of measuring their
radiative effect, they can be described as having
radiative forcings of x W / m2 per
change in surface T), such as water vapor feedback, LW cloud feedback, and also, because GHE depends on the vertical temperature distribution, the lapse rate feedback (this generally refers to the tropospheric lapse rate, though
changes in the position of the tropopause and
changes in the stratospheric temperature could also be considered lapse - rate feedbacks for
forcing at TOA;
forcing at the tropopause with stratospheric adjustment takes some of that into account; sensitivity to
forcing at the tropopause with stratospheric adjustment will generally be different from sensitivity to
forcing without stratospheric adjustment and both will generally be different from
forcing at TOA before stratospheric adjustment;
forcing at TOA after stratospehric adjustment is identical to
forcing at the tropopause after stratospheric adjustment).
do you believe that the tropopause region for which the anthropogenic
radiative forcing is calculated can warm the nearly 65 K warmer Earth's surface
without any compensating
changes?
We use the estimation of
radiative forcing for a doubling of CO2 to estimate that,
without feedbacks, this
change in
radiative forcing would result in a rise of global temperatures of 1.2 C.
With a nitrogen only atmosphere that was as dense as the Earth's it would be much warmer though
without any
radiative forcing changes.
Representative Concentration Pathway 6.0 (RCP6) is a pathway that describes trends in long - term, global emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs), short - lived species, and land - use / land - cover
change leading to a stabilisation of
radiative forcing at 6.0 Watts per square meter (Wm − 2) in the year 2100
without exceeding that value in prior years.
This is achieved through the study of three independent records, the net heat flux into the oceans over 5 decades, the sea - level
change rate based on tide gauge records over the 20th century, and the sea - surface temperature variations... We find that the total
radiative forcing associated with solar cycles variations is about 5 to 7 times larger than just those associated with the TSI variations, thus implying the necessary existence of an amplification mechanism, although
without pointing to which one.
Conversion from the
forcing to a
change in effective
radiative black body temperature is well defined and
without any additional uncertainty, when the effective
radiative temperature is defined as the temperature of a black body that radiates as much IR energy as the Earth.
In this manner, Hansen and Sato use climate models to help them estimate past
radiative forcings and surface temperature
changes using paleoclimate data
without influencing their climate sensitivity estimates.
Methane is an important part of the anthropogenic
radiative forcing Methane emissions have a direct GHG effect, and they effect atmospheric chemistry and stratospheric water vapour which have additional impacts natural feedbacks involving methane likely to be important in future — via wetland response to temperature / rain
change, atmospheric chemistry and, yes, arctic sources There are large stores of carbon in the Arctic, some stored as hydrates, some potentially convertible to CH4 by anaerobic resporation [from wikianswers:
Without oxygen.
In other words, if I increase substance X by 1 % in the atmosphere, what is the effective
change in
radiative forcing (or temperature), either with or
without water vapor feedbacks?
«Warming during the past half century can not be explained
without external
radiative forcing Global Extremely likely (> 95 %)[1] Anthropogenic
change has been detected in surface temperature with very high significance levels (less than 1 % error probability).
The direct CO2
radiative forcing is the
change in infrared
radiative fluxes for a doubling CO2 (typically from 287 to 574 ppm),
without any feedback processes
The most important consequence of this approach is that one would after all be able to relate accurately enough
radiative forcing and no feedback CO2 sensitivity
without the need to go through all the
changes in the atmosphere that follow from an increased surface temperature.
The direct CO2
radiative forcing is the
change in infrared
radiative fluxes for a doubling CO2 (typically from 287 to 574 ppm),
without any feedback processes (e.g. from
changing atmospheric water vapor amount or cloud characteristics.)