GHGs direct some of the upward
radiative heat flux back down towards the surface, which means that when GHG concentrations are increased other heat fluxs (e.g. convection) must increase to compensate.
For that, it's assumed that the CO2 would be added very rapidly and nothing else would have time to adjust except
the radiative heat flux, which reacts always immediately.
Radiative heat flux comprises all radiative fluxes in and out of the atmospheric column («Radiative»).
Not exact matches
For this new idea to have merit, it had better have
heat fluxes at least on par with the
radiative forcing from CO2.
However, the colder ocean surface reduces upward
radiative, sensible and latent
heat fluxes, thus causing a large (∼ 50 W m − 2) increase in energy into the North Atlantic and a substantial but smaller
flux into the Southern Ocean (Fig. 8c).
A few comments: First, the exact relationship between a glacier and temperature is a bit more complex than implied above, and also depends on the glacier geometry and aspect (which direction it is facing), and on
radiative as well as sensible
heat fluxes.
(The difference between
radiative and sensible
heat fluxes may be thought of as the difference between the ambient temperature is, and how intense the sun is.
Changes in the planetary and tropical TOA
radiative fluxes are consistent with independent global ocean
heat - storage data, and are expected to be dominated by changes in cloud
radiative forcing.
What the ice actually does in a particular year depends upon the «forcings» (to misapply a term, perhaps) actually occurring — net ocean
heat fluxes, net
radiative fluxes, winds and currents (especially, but not exclusively, as they determine ice export to the North Atlantic.)
The
radiative forcing of CO2 is a
heat flux in W / m2.
If Victor wasn't so stupid & trollish I would suggest Rob Painting's «How Increasing Carbon Dioxide
Heats The Ocean» over on SkS and, by way of preparation, the added quote from IPCC AR5 WG1 3.4.1 «The net air — sea
heat flux is the sum of two turbulent (latent and sensible) and two
radiative (shortwave and longwave) components.»
But the troposphere can still warm with an increased
radiative cooling term because it is also balanced by
heating through latent
heat release, subsidence, solar absorption, increased IR
flux from the surface, etc..
In this way, the response of LW
fluxes (PR) and convection (CR) tend to spread the temperature response vertically from where forcings occur — not generally eliminating the effect of RF distribution over height, although in the case with convection driven by differential
radiative heating within a layer, CR can to a first approximation evenly distribute a temperature response over such a layer.
There are multiple non-
radiative energy
fluxes at the surface (latent and sensible
heat fluxes predominantly) which obviously affect the atmospheric temperature profiles, but when it comes to outer paces, that
flux is purely
radiative.
(Within a typical atmosphere, as on Earth,
heat transport by conduction and molecular mass diffusion are relatively insignificant for bulk transport (there is some role in smaller - scale processes involving particles in the air), except when the net
radiative flux and convective
flux are very very small (not a condition generally found on Earth).
These must have an important effect on latent and sensible
heat fluxes from the ocean to the atmosphere, and ultimately influence the TOA
radiative imbalance and the ocean
heat storage.
«Significant increasing trends in DSR [DownwardSurface Radiation] and net DSR
fluxes were found, equal to 4.1 and 3.7 Wm ⁻², respectively, over the 1984 - 2000 period (equivalent to 2.4 and 2.2 Wm ⁻² per decade), indicating an increasing surface solar
radiative heating.
The ratio ɛ = H / L between vertical extent H of the lower troposphere and the horizontal scale L of the region of precipitation (Fig. 1) enters because of the balance of the horizontal advective
heat transport and the vertical
fluxes of net
radiative influx R and precipitation P.
Radiative heating of the land surface in spring enhances sensible
heat flux from the ground («Sensible»).
The resultant
heating balances the negative net
radiative flux as long as it is above a threshold R C, below which no conventional monsoon exists.
During the monsoon season, latent
heat release dominates the atmospheric
heat content, whereas net
radiative fluxes are relatively constant throughout the year, reflecting the stabilizing long - wave
radiative feedback.
The working group activities are motivated by several identified deficiencies in estimates of high latitude surface
fluxes (e.g., sensible and latent
heat,
radiative fluxes, stress, and gas
fluxes).
The higher frequency content in the temperature series by necessary assumption arises from other
radiative forcings as well as natural
heat flux oscillations.
It changes because of greenhouse gases, cloud and ice cover changes, land clearing, volcanoes, dust and soot in the atmosphere — all of the physical changes that result in a change in the
radiative flux leaving the planet either as IR (
heat) emissions or as reflected sunlight.
If the corrected 2005 Levitus dataset ocean
heat flux data and the GISS change in
radiative forcings estimates were used, (Q — F) in the Gregory 02 equation (3) would be centred on 0.68 Wm - 2 instead of on 0.20 Wm - 2.
In air, the
radiative heat transfer flux for 0.9 emissivity steel only exceeds natural convection at c. 100 deg C. For aluminium it's about 300 deg C. Check any of the standard engineering texts, e.g. McAdam «Heat Transfer» to confirm (it's in the tables of combined heat transfer coefficien
heat transfer
flux for 0.9 emissivity steel only exceeds natural convection at c. 100 deg C. For aluminium it's about 300 deg C. Check any of the standard engineering texts, e.g. McAdam «
Heat Transfer» to confirm (it's in the tables of combined heat transfer coefficien
Heat Transfer» to confirm (it's in the tables of combined
heat transfer coefficien
heat transfer coefficients).
This
flux is roughly compensated by the sum of the sensible
heat, latent
heat, and * net * upwelling
radiative fluxes.
I mentioned this detail of the low frequency variability in the control simulation of a GCM just to make the point that the strength of the
radiative restoring on internal variability could be weaker than that for the forced response, making it harder to constrain the fraction of the trend due to internal variability from the sign of the
heat flux alone.
What really happens is that ocean
heat follows TOA radiant
flux and the recent warming was mostly the cloud
radiative effect.
The numerical values of the temperatures themselves do not matter here; it is the value of the
radiative flux densities at these temperatures that matter for
heat transfer.
The resulting reduction in
radiative energy at Earth's surface may have attenuated evaporation and its energy equivalent, the latent
heat flux (LH), leading to a slowdown of the water cycle.
«in an isotropic non GHG world, the net would be zero, as the mean conduction
flux would equalize, but in our earth it is still nearly zero» if the atmosphere were isothermal at the same temperature as the surface then exactly the downwelling radiation absorbed by the surface would be equal to the radiation of th surface absorbed by the air (or rather by its trace gases) and both numbers would be (1 - 2E3 (t (nu)-RRB--RRB- pi B (nu, T) where t (nu) is the optical thickness, B the Planck function, nu the optical frequency and T the temperature; as the flow from the air absorbed by the surface is equal to the flow from the surface absorbed by the air, the
radiative heat transfer is zero between surface and air.
This is achieved through the study of three independent records, the net
heat flux into the oceans over 5 decades, the sea - level change rate based on tide gauge records over the 20th century, and the sea - surface temperature variations... We find that the total
radiative forcing associated with solar cycles variations is about 5 to 7 times larger than just those associated with the TSI variations, thus implying the necessary existence of an amplification mechanism, although without pointing to which one.
F., M. Köhler, J. D. Farrara and C. R. Mechoso, 2002: The impact of stratocumulus cloud
radiative properties on surface
heat fluxes simulated with a general circulation model.
If you took a bowl of hot soup and surrounded it on all sides with ice, then the
radiative flux from the ice does not
heat the soup at all.
Just think about the even more simplified model where there is a isotope decay
heat source at the center of the earth that generates sufficient energy to have a net outward
radiative flux of 235 W / m ^ 2 at the Earth's surface.
So it is entirely plausible that the
radiative flux could stagnate while the convective
heat flux changes.
Although we focus on a hypothesized CR - cloud connection, we note that it is difficult to separate changes in the CR
flux from accompanying variations in solar irradiance and the solar wind, for which numerous causal links to climate have also been proposed, including: the influence of UV spectral irradiance on stratospheric
heating and dynamic stratosphere - troposphere links (Haigh 1996); UV irradiance and
radiative damage to phytoplankton influencing the release of volatile precursor compounds which form sulphate aerosols over ocean environments (Kniveton et al. 2003); an amplification of total solar irradiance (TSI) variations by the addition of energy in cloud - free regions enhancing tropospheric circulation features (Meehl et al. 2008; Roy & Haigh 2010); numerous solar - related influences (including solar wind inputs) to the properties of the global electric circuit (GEC) and associated microphysical cloud changes (Tinsley 2008).
Well - known examples of such cases are the direct
radiative forcing of black carbon (BC) and other absorbing aerosols and the changes in latent and sensible
heat fluxes due to land - use modifications.
These processes include arctic clouds and their
radiative impacts, sea - ice albedo changes, surface energy
fluxes, vertical momentum transfer, and ocean vertical
heat transport.
The skin itself cools by about 0.3 or 0.4 K due to
radiative fluxes at the skin surface, which is a change that is two orders of magnitude greater than the alleged
heat change in the skin layer induced by GHGs.
This is twice the 2001
heat flux, comparable to the annual shortwave
radiative flux into the Chukchi Sea, and enough to melt 1 / 3rd of the 2007 seasonal Arctic sea - ice loss.
The
radiative heat transfer physics I am using is standard from long before climate science borrowed the incorrect two - stream approximation from astrophysics and made the mistake, from meteorology, of assuming a pyrometer measures energy
flux instead of a temperature signal.
@Pierre - Normand It's special because there is no convective or latent
heat transport at all within it and so
radiative fluxes through the tropopause must exactly match the TOA
flux after the troposphere has adjusted to the instantaneous forcing.
It's special because there is no convective or latent
heat transport at all within it and so
radiative fluxes through the tropopause must exactly match the TOA
flux after the troposphere has adjusted to the instantaneous forcing.
[1] Total absorbed radiation (TAR), the sum of SNR [shortwave net radiation] and LDR [longwave downward radiation], represents the total
radiative energy available to maintain the Earth's surface temperature and to sustain the turbulent (sensible and latent)
heat fluxes in the atmosphere.
Net
flux is a constant, by definition of
radiative equilibrium there is zero
heating of every layer.
In other words, the reduced
radiative energy
flux must be compensated through increased temperatures or altered latent / sensible
heat fluxes.
A lot of confusion seems to lie in not realizing that all the energy entering and leaving at the TOA is
radiative, and as a result of this the effect of the non
radiative fluxes from the surface (from latent
heat of water and thermals) on the
radiative budget has to be zero, because COE dictates that the atmosphere can not create any energy of its own.
SoD, this is a long post so I'll finish with this thought: why is
radiative flux equated with
heat transfer as the backradiation appears to be?