These factors point to a need for planners to account for such
rainfall events as housing and infrastructure development occurs in this region, and for the possibility that the intensity and frequency of such events might change in the future as the climate continues to warm.
Overall, the chances of seeing
a rainfall event as intense as Harvey have roughly tripled - somewhere between 1.5 and five times more likely - since the 1900s and the intensity of such an event has increased between 8 percent and 19 percent, according to the new study by researchers with World Weather Attribution, an international coalition of scientists that objectively and quantitatively assesses the possible role of climate change in individual extreme weather events.
Not exact matches
Growing scarcity In addition to a growing scarcity of natural resources such
as land, water and biodiversity «global agriculture will have to cope with the effects of climate change, notably higher temperatures, greater
rainfall variability and more frequent extreme weather
events such
as floods and droughts,» Diouf warned.
We have been informed that some
events may come together, for example an earthquake at the same time
as extreme heat, or extreme wind at the same time
as extreme
rainfall or runoff.
The method (known
as hybrid causative
events, or HCE) relies on an algorithm that knocks out all of the unnecessary information used by the slower, continuous simulation approach — such
as long, dry periods without
rainfall.
The article, «Extreme
rainfall activity in the Australian tropics reflects changes in the El Niño / Southern Oscillation over the last two millennia,» presents a precisely dated stalagmite record of cave flooding
events that are tied to tropical cyclones, which include storms such
as hurricanes and typhoons.
Dry places are likely to get drier;
rainfall is likely to arrive in fewer but more concentrated episodes; and extreme weather
events such
as tropical cyclones are likely to increase in intensity.
Rather than assign blame to humans for particular extremes, scientists could study a class of
events, such
as heavy
rainfall in a certain geography, and say whether past human actions have increased their risk.
Currently, Pacific sea surface temperatures have risen
as an El Niño
event develops, a climate phenomenon that alters
rainfall patterns around the globe.
What goes up, must come down and, more and more, that water vapor is coming down in extreme precipitation
events — defined in North America
as more than 100 millimeters of
rainfall (or the equivalent in snow or freezing rain) falling in 24 hours — according to new research also published February 17 in Nature that examines such
events in the Northern Hemisphere.
This abrupt
event shows how a relatively small occurrence — such
as a slight slide in
rainfall — may have a tremendous impact.
As our boatman was explaining as we approached it, he called it — he said this event, this rainfall event in 1966 had formed, «The ulcer - inducing spectacle,» known as Crystal Rapi
As our boatman was explaining
as we approached it, he called it — he said this event, this rainfall event in 1966 had formed, «The ulcer - inducing spectacle,» known as Crystal Rapi
as we approached it, he called it — he said this
event, this
rainfall event in 1966 had formed, «The ulcer - inducing spectacle,» known
as Crystal Rapi
as Crystal Rapid.
Central Appalachian forests have been experiencing the effects of a changing climate for decades, and effects such
as more heavy
rainfall events, more drought, and more hot days are likely to continue, according to a new vulnerability assessment for the region by the U.S. Forest Service and many partners.
An increased risk of intense, short - duration
rainfall events in mid-latitude regions has been predicted consistently for well over a decade
as part of the pattern of human influence on precipitation.
What impact may extreme weather such
as heavy
rainfall events or drought have on my region?
Causative factors include decayed infrastructure; facility malfunctions; or heavy
rainfall events which overwhelm systems using combined sewers and stormwater drains (known
as combined sewer overflows).
As always, few were ready for an extreme
rainfall event in the dry prairie.
In 2014, Climate Central helped create the World Weather Attribution (WWA) initiative, a groundbreaking international effort to analyze and communicate the possible influence of climate change on extreme weather
events such
as storms, extreme
rainfall, heat waves, cold spells, and droughts.
Such extreme
rainfall events are likely to get even more intense
as our climate warms.
Increasing atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide do not only cause global warming, but probably also trigger increased occurrences of extreme weather
events such
as long - lasting droughts, heat - waves, heavy
rainfall events or extreme storms.
And the less common and more extreme the hot extreme or heavy
rainfall event, the more this can be blamed on human activity, such
as the burning of fossil fuels.
So
as I said we need to stay at the top of our game and make sure that in the
event the amount of
rainfall hits us in the north area that NEMO will be ready to jump out tomorrow to do the assessment and see how best we can help the affected people in those areas.»
Major gaming websites were covering the
events as they unfolded all while promoting Operation
Rainfall's cause.
So it captured extreme inland
rainfall from tropical systems (
as in this system, Irene, Floyd, and Vermont's epic 1927 gullywasher)
as well
as nor - easters and any other rare
events.
The increase in
rainfall intensity (shift in distribution of rain from more light
events to fewer heavy
events)
as a consequence of global warming is a robust feature of GCMs.
So to, are the more intense
rainfall events likely to result from climate change — and note that these can occur in the same places
as droughts.
As both evaporation rates and heavy
rainfall events increase in a warming world, this lends itself to bigger variations in precipitation.
Last week, a torrential rainstorm the National Weather Service described
as a thousand - year
rainfall event created a horrific mudslide that buried California highways, trapping hundreds of cars.
However, N2O emissions from deep placement of N were obtained after other
rainfall events, all indicating that deep placement reduced N2O emissions from zero till to levels
as low
as from N fertilizer incorporated in the surface layer in conventional tillage.
Physical features of this El Nino that MIGHT be relevant to this deviation from expectation are (1) the area of strongly above - average
rainfall in the tropical Pacific Ocean does not extend
as far eastward, toward the coast of South America,
as it has in other strong El Nino
events, such
as 1997 - 98 and 1982 - 83.
One of the key effects of climate change is that extreme weather
events such
as floods, droughts, heatwaves, and
rainfall variations become more frequent and more severe.
Precipitation occurs about once every seven days in the western part of the region and once every three days in the southeastern part.77 The 10 rainiest days can contribute
as much
as 40 % of total precipitation in a given year.77 Generally, annual precipitation increased during the past century (by up to 20 % in some locations), with much of the increase driven by intensification of the heaviest
rainfalls.77, 78,79 This tendency towards more intense precipitation
events is projected to continue in the future.80
Projections suggest an increase in extreme weather
events, such
as heavy
rainfall, more intense storms and heat - waves.
This mode of intra-annual tropical atmospheric variability is strongly associated with California
rainfall events when its active phase shifts eastward,
as is currently being suggested by dynamical model forecasts.
This, coupled with an increase in average
rainfall as well
as heavy
rainfall events, has resulted in recurrent flooding and related damages to infrastructure, utility supply and the urban economy.
As temperatures rise, basic physics dictates an increase in the amount of atmospheric moisture, which is the fuel for heavy
rainfall events.
The report, which was supported by the Foreign and Commonwealth Office, stresses that extreme weather
events such
as floods or droughts are just
as significant
as rising average temperatures and
rainfall.
«The CCR - II report correctly explains that most of the reports on global warming and its impacts on sea - level rise, ice melts, glacial retreats, impact on crop production, extreme weather
events,
rainfall changes, etc. have not properly considered factors such
as physical impacts of human activities, natural variability in climate, lopsided models used in the prediction of production estimates, etc..
As in that study, they analyzed the history of
rainfall measurements in the region to work out just how unusual the incredible
rainfall totals from Harvey were — and whether the chances of an
event like that have changed over time.
During summer, most of northern Europe experienced above average precipitation,
as did the Alpine region and the north of Italy and Slovenia, with a number of heavy
rainfall events heavily influencing the average for the season and leading to wide - spread flooding
events.
Yet even
as rainfall occurs in heavier
events, the periods between these extremes are likely to become longer, warmer, and drier.
An Amplified Hadely Cell means large areas of the mid-latitudes would see subsiding air aloft, which acts
as a cap to large scale
rainfall events.
In some areas the
rainfall was enough to qualify
as a 500 - year or 1,000 - year
event, something that has only a 0.2 percent or 0.1 percent chance of happening in a given year.
If this can be achieved it should provide environmental benefits across the city and contribute to green infrastructure, particularly
as climate change impacts like urban heating and high
rainfall events increase.
NRDC connects the dots between
events fueled by climate change and health, such
as how wildfires contribute to asthma and how severe
rainfall can spread disease.
Keep in mind that
as carbon dioxide increases, temperatures also increase,
rainfall patterns change, and some kinds of extreme weather
events become more common and severe.
But,
as far
as what we can expect from the IPCC and what the consensus science is, climate change is likely to lead to increased occurrences and intensity of extreme weather
events like heavy
rainfall, droughts, warm spells, storm surges, heat waves and sea level rise.
In terms of weather
events that would be the same
as saying that while
rainfall amounts may look normal at firat glance the incidence of droughts and floods would happen more often than a normal model would imply.
Desert species that depend on
rainfall events to initiate breeding, such
as resident birds, and migratory birds whose routes cross deserts, will be severely affected (Dukes and Mooney, 1999; Hardy, 2003; Box 4.5).
As estimates of the greenhouse gas attributable change in
rainfall risk may depend on the model datasets considered, it is also useful to consider model outputs from several datasets and using various estimates of counterfactual surface conditions to establish robust attribution statements for extreme
rainfall events.