Sentences with phrase «rainfall forecast in»

Reduced rainfall forecast in coming decades could cause the breakdown of the transport system in trees that takes water up from soil to the leaves, scientists say.

Not exact matches

O'Keefe said the flood in the village shows the limits of flash flood forecasting, which relies on Doppler radar; rainfall measurements from ground stations, like the New York State Mesonet, a network of more than 120 weather stations across the state; and reports from ground observers.

The team used real - time seasonal rainfall, temperature and El Niño forecasts, issued at the start of the year, combined with data from active surveillance studies, in a probabilistic model of dengue epidemics to produce robust dengue risk estimates for the entire year.

Comparing five state - of - the - art weather prediction models, researchers found current models can forecast both where and how much rainfall a tropical cyclone will produce up to two days in advance.

With the goal of providing basic information to help improve preparedness and mitigation efforts, new University of Iowa - led research published online in September in the Journal of Hydrology examined how accurate current forecasting systems are in predicting rainfall from North Atlantic tropical cyclones that reach land in the United States.

The researchers say their technique could be useful for improving flood forecasts and providing real - time rainfall monitoring in poorer countries where conventional meteorological equipment is rare, but mobile phones are commonplace.

Overeem's technique «has the potential to give good quantitative rainfall estimates for real - time hazards forecasting, as well as regional and global climate model analysis in regions of the world where the impact could be great,» Baeck says.

In a study set to come out in Nature tomorrow, an international group of scientists reports that they simulated atmospheric behavior using several different models and used them to forecast anthropogenically driven changes in average annual rainfall at different latitudes from 1925 to 199In a study set to come out in Nature tomorrow, an international group of scientists reports that they simulated atmospheric behavior using several different models and used them to forecast anthropogenically driven changes in average annual rainfall at different latitudes from 1925 to 199in Nature tomorrow, an international group of scientists reports that they simulated atmospheric behavior using several different models and used them to forecast anthropogenically driven changes in average annual rainfall at different latitudes from 1925 to 199in average annual rainfall at different latitudes from 1925 to 1999.

NOAA's latest forecasts warn of the potential for hurricane - force winds from the northern Delmarva Peninsula to Cape Cod, Mass., and well inland, with rainfall totals topping 12 inches in some areas.

The analysis — one of the most detailed climate change forecasts for any city to date — predicts that Los Angeles's average rainfall will probably stay roughly the same in decades ahead, despite the current drought.

My research indicates that the Siberian peat moss, Arctic tundra, and methal hydrates (frozen methane at the bottom of the ocean) all have an excellent chance of melting and releasing their stored co2.Recent methane concentration figures also hit the news last week, and methane has increased after a long time being steady.The forests of north america are drying out and are very susceptible to massive insect infestations and wildfires, and the massive die offs - 25 % of total forests, have begun.And, the most recent stories on the Amazon forecast that with the change in rainfall patterns one third of the Amazon will dry and turn to grassland, thereby creating a domino cascade effect for the rest of the Amazon.With co2 levels risng faster now that the oceans have reached carrying capacity, the oceans having become also more acidic, and the looming threat of a North Atlanic current shutdown (note the recent terrible news on salinity upwelling levels off Greenland,) and the change in cold water upwellings, leading to far less biomass for the fish to feed upon, all lead to the conclusion we may not have to worry about NASA completing its inventory of near earth objects greater than 140 meters across by 2026 (Recent Benjamin Dean astronomy lecture here in San Francisco).

Yet the report forecasts droughts and reductions in rainfall most places.

«Irene did about what was expected from the forecasts,» said atmospheric scientist Eugene McCaul, of NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Ala. «The rainfall was probably the biggest threat, partly because most ofthe East and New England have had a very wet August even before Irene's onslaught.»

Summer months in Lara Beach are hot, and rainfall is extremely rare - just the type of weather forecast you want for a break in the sun.

There is a distinction between an improved climatology (basically because of topographic details influencing rainfall) and higher skill in forecasting change, which is discussed in a previous post.

Now that global warming is underway, how do government meteorologists and hydrologists use ensemble forecasting to account for increasing potentials for high intensity rainfall in fall and winter months?

Accurate climatological forecasts are worth billions of dollars, because correctly forecasting rainfall levels predicts crop yields, which in turn influence energy prices.

Regional forecasts have predicted «normal to above normal» rainfall across the area in January to March.

21st Virtually every country in southern Africa is on alert for potentially disastrous flooding, the United Nations said, as exceptionally heavy rainfall was forecast to continue into March.

Today, the models actually are so inaccurate in forecasting regional rainfall that they help to prove the case of those not believing in AGW.

The report, titled Climate Change in Pakistan, forecast low agricultural productivity from lack of water for irrigation and erratic rainfall.

Rainfall rates derived from satellite data have a long legacy in operational weather forecasting because their information complements ground observations such as weather radar and rain gauges.

It finds that the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI)-- the basic tool for forecasting variations in global and oceanic patterns — and rainfall fluctuations recorded over the last decade are similar to those in 1914 -1924.

They struggle to capture regional detail and precipitation; none can successfully forecast the eminently predictable daily rainfall in the Amazon, for instance.

The forecast would be considered reliable if, considering all the situations in the past when a 60 % probability was forecast, on 60 % of those occasions did the rainfall actually exceed 1 cm.

The forecasts have been corroborated by the Famine Early Warning Systems Network, which in August 2015 predicted El Nino would prevail from October to December, resulting in below - average rainfall for parts of the Southern African region.

In fact, forecasts for less annual rainfall in years to come have cast uncertainty on the very future of California and its rapidly growing human populatioIn fact, forecasts for less annual rainfall in years to come have cast uncertainty on the very future of California and its rapidly growing human populatioin years to come have cast uncertainty on the very future of California and its rapidly growing human population.

Martin Parry, a climate scientist with the Met Office, said destructive changes in temperature, rainfall and agriculture were now forecast to occur several decades earlier than thought.

Even modest changes in seasonality of rainfall, temperature, and wind patterns can push transient poor and marginalized people into chronic poverty as they lack access to credit, climate forecasts, insurance, government support, and effective response options, such as diversifying their assets.

BBD If a book is written that uses models to forecast future conditions in the UK, but those same models have been demonstrated to not be able to even reasonably accurately predict future rainfall at any specific location, what good is the analysis in the book that describes different conditions based on changes in rainfall?

This study evaluates the forecast skill of the fourth version of the Canadian coupled ocean — atmosphere general circulation model (CanCM4) and its model output statistics (MOS) to forecast the seasonal rainfall in Malaysia, particularly during early (October — November — December) and late (January — February — March) winter monsoon periods.

South Australia is in for a wet weekend, including possible floods, as significant rainfall is forecast in all districts south of Port Augusta.

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) and two private weather forecasting firms all expect a bountiful rainfall in India during the June - September monsoon season in 2016.

We aren't sure which effect will be most important in the future, so tropical rainfall forecasts remain uncertain for now.»

Dr Jennifer Marohasy is an Adjunct Research Fellow at Central Queensland University with six recent peer - reviewed publications in climate science focused on the application of artificial intelligence to rainfall forecasting.

But, irrespective or the rarity / commonality of the rainfall, it was forecast by ECMWF 5 - 10 days in advance, sufficient time to warn and get people and property out of harms way.

She was involved in developing a method to bias - correct and downscale the CFSv2 model generated extended range forecast of Indian summer monsoon rainfall.

Rainfall amounts up to 45 mm with possible thunderstorms are forecasted for today and tomorrow with daytime highs reaching 13 degrees Celsius over the weekend will advance the melting of the snow pack and cause a significant increase in water levels and flows over the next few days.