This December is around 5C warmer than normal and physics tells us that 24 hour extreme
rainfall increases by 7 % per degree.
Let's say for example, that we have a scenario in SE Aust where summer and autumn
rainfall increase by +5 % and winter - spring decreases by -5 %.
Not exact matches
«Human - induced climate change likely
increased Harvey's total
rainfall around Houston
by at least 19 percent, with a best estimate of 37 percent,» Michael Wehner, a co-author on an attribution study recently published in Geophysical Research Letters, said at the American Geophysical Union conference in December.
Here's a better idea for this so - called «governor» to consider: Take a look at the research done
by your alma mater, Texas A&M, on global warming and the effect it will have on Texas (higher temps and greater stress on water through decreased
rainfall and
increased evaporation)... then stop poopooing the efforts to mitigate the effect humans are having on climate change.
Our goal is to «rehydrate the landscape»
by increasing the amount of
rainfall that is absorbed into the ground to recharge water supplies and feed headwater streams.»
Along with Niagara County, Orleans and Monroe counties are also severely affected
by the rising water levels along the shoreline, caused
by an
increased amount of
rainfall this season along with the controversial Plan 2014, an international agreement between the United States and Canada to regulate the water levels in Lake Ontario.
When researchers ran the numbers for the Corn Belt, the global models fell short of reality: They predicted both temperature and humidity to
increase slightly, and
rainfall to
increase by up to 4 % — none of which matches the observed changes.
Northern Brazil may lose 22 per cent of its annual
rainfall by 2100, while the region around Chile could get a 25 per cent
increase.
Australia also experienced record
rainfall in early 2012, and while La Niña, a natural variation, was behind much of that, researchers found that human - caused climate change
increased the chance of the above - average
rainfall by 5 to 15 percent.
The three studies, discussed in a separate news conference December 13, found that human influence probably
increased the hurricane's total
rainfall,
by anywhere from at least 15 percent to at least 19 percent.
Over the past 34 years,
rainfall in Uganda has decreased
by about 12 percent even though many of the global climate models predict an
increase in
rainfall for the area, according to an international team of researchers.
«The West and Southwest are likely to become drier, while the eastern United States is likely to experience
increased rainfall,» says the report, which was put out
by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program, coordinated
by the White House.
Parton and colleagues suggest, however, that periods of
increased rainfall were not driven
by mid-high latitude deglaciations every ~ 100,000 years, but
by periods of maximum incoming solar radiation every ~ 23,000 years.
The rise in temperature will be accompanied
by erratic
rainfall and
increasing drought, the likes of which have already been seen in the country, according to the report.
Despite
rainfall decreasing
by about 7 inches annually in the grain belt located in Western Australia since the 1970s, wheat production has
increased, and Eckard said that's because farmers have employed adaptations such as planting species with shorter growing seasons, dry sowing seeds and tilling fields less often.
Work
by researchers from Taiwan and China found that the
increase in
rainfall intensity over the past three decades has been an entire order of magnitude greater...
«If this
rainfall change was caused simply
by a warmer atmosphere holding more moisture, we would have expected an
increase in the average
rainfall when each system, organised or disorganised, occurs,» said Dr Tan
Researchers expected to find a 6 percent
increase in Hurricane Harvey
rainfall totals, but instead found that climate change
increased those totals
by at least 19 percent and as much as 38 percent.
The research has also contributed to answering the important question whether the
increase in
rainfall observed in the tropics was simply caused
by the fact of a warmer atmosphere or whether the underlying circulation in that region had changed.
On the other hand, climate change scenarios estimate that the soil loss rates may
increase by 10 - 15 %
by 2050 due to an analogous
increase of
rainfall - induced erosion in Europe.
Meanwhile, ongoing studies
by Bill McGuire of University College London and Rachel Lowe at the University of Exeter, UK, are showing that non-glaciated volcanoes could also be at greater risk of catastrophic collapse if climate change
increases rainfall.
Overall, the chances of seeing a
rainfall event as intense as Harvey have roughly tripled - somewhere between 1.5 and five times more likely - since the 1900s and the intensity of such an event has
increased between 8 percent and 19 percent, according to the new study
by researchers with World Weather Attribution, an international coalition of scientists that objectively and quantitatively assesses the possible role of climate change in individual extreme weather events.
Simulating natural and humanmade climate drivers, scientists showed that the decline in
rainfall is primarily a response to humanmade
increases in greenhouse gases as well as a thinning of the ozone caused
by humanmade aerosol emissions.
The new study finds human - induced climate change likely
increased Hurricane Harvey's unprecedented
rainfall by at least 19 percent and potentially as much as 38 percent.
It found that the likelihood of Hurricane Harvey's
rainfall was
increased by climate change, but a drought in Somalia, in 2016 and 2017, was not connected to global warming.
The team's results suggest that
by the end of the century under a business - as - usual scenario,
rainfall in Jordan will decrease
by 30 percent, temperatures will
increase by 6 degrees Celsius, and the number and duration of droughts will double.
• One is that the cold air above the Laurentide Ice Sheet created a tremendous high pressure system that shifted the polar jet stream to the south, pushing the track followed
by winter storms down into the Southwest, which had the effect of dramatically reducing the amount of
rainfall in the Northwest while
increasing it in the Southwest.
While Houston's yearly risk of experiencing a 500 - millimeter
rainfall event was around 1 in 2,000 at the end of the last century, Emanuel found the city's annual odds will
increase significantly, to one in 100
by the end of this century.
As more vegetation was removed
by the introduction of livestock, it
increased the albedo (the amount of sunlight that reflects off the earth's surface) of the land, which in turn influenced atmospheric conditions sufficiently to reduce monsoon
rainfall.
The human influence was found to have
increased the magnitude of heavy
rainfall by 30 percent.
The scientists found greenhouse gases in the atmosphere as a result of human activity have
increased the risk of extreme
rainfall in the southern part of the country
by about 25 per cent.
Climate change intersects with hurricanes
by increasing storm
rainfall, intensity, and surge.
The team found that warming had
increased the chances of such extreme
rainfall from a storm like Desmond in the region
by about 40 percent, with a full range of between 5 and 80 percent.
My research indicates that the Siberian peat moss, Arctic tundra, and methal hydrates (frozen methane at the bottom of the ocean) all have an excellent chance of melting and releasing their stored co2.Recent methane concentration figures also hit the news last week, and methane has
increased after a long time being steady.The forests of north america are drying out and are very susceptible to massive insect infestations and wildfires, and the massive die offs - 25 % of total forests, have begun.And, the most recent stories on the Amazon forecast that with the change in
rainfall patterns one third of the Amazon will dry and turn to grassland, thereby creating a domino cascade effect for the rest of the Amazon.With co2 levels risng faster now that the oceans have reached carrying capacity, the oceans having become also more acidic, and the looming threat of a North Atlanic current shutdown (note the recent terrible news on salinity upwelling levels off Greenland,) and the change in cold water upwellings, leading to far less biomass for the fish to feed upon, all lead to the conclusion we may not have to worry about NASA completing its inventory of near earth objects greater than 140 meters across
by 2026 (Recent Benjamin Dean astronomy lecture here in San Francisco).
So he started out
by replanting the land according to a system of natural succession — eventually reforesting the entire area and turning it into an incredibly biodiverse yet productive working farm which, it's claimed, has actually altered the microclimate around it in the form of
increased rainfall and lower temperatures.
The kinder, gentler model from the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research in the United Kingdom estimated a wetter, warmer future:
Rainfall may
increase 20 percent to 25 percent, mean annual temperatures could
increase 2 degrees Fahrenheit
by 2030 and 4 degrees
by 2100.
By comparing the numbers of extreme rainfall events in the two ensembles, we can work out if the risk of a wet winter has increased, decreased or been unaffected by human influence on climat
By comparing the numbers of extreme
rainfall events in the two ensembles, we can work out if the risk of a wet winter has
increased, decreased or been unaffected
by human influence on climat
by human influence on climate.
For most purposes re public policy on climate flips, it is the demonstrated instability and the role played
by freshening the North Atlantic that needs emphasis, along with the melt water from Greenland adding to the effects of
increased rainfall in the very places where downwelling seems to be most efficiently conducted, the Larador and Greenland Seas.
Global temperatures have
increased by ∼ 0.2 °C per decade over the last three decades16, possibly leading to an acceleration of the global water cycle with more intense
rainfall events17, more severe and widespread droughts18 (despite drought frequencies appearing unchanged19) and regional humidity variations20.
Researchers predict that the country could see a 400 - percent
increase in extreme
rainfall risks
by the end of the century.
In the first continent - wide study of the effects of fire on bird and mammal diversity in the African savanna environment, researchers have found that
increasing «pyrodiversity» boosts the variety of species of mammals
by around 20 percent and of birds
by 30 percent in savannas with high
rainfall.
The review
by O'Gorman et al (3) reports that a 1C
increase in global mean temperature will result in a 2 % — 7 %
increase in the precipitation rate; the lower values are results of GCM output, and the upper values are results from regressing estimated annual
rainfalls on annual mean temperatures.
Hence over the Plio - Pleistocene, East African climate is best characterised as a long - term trend towards
increasing aridity punctuated
by periods of precession - forced high
rainfall leading to the periodic appearance of deep freshwater lakes.
By comparing the numbers of extreme rainfall events in the two ensembles, «Weather@Home» will work out if the risk of a wet winter has increased, decreased or been unaffected by human influence on climat
By comparing the numbers of extreme
rainfall events in the two ensembles, «Weather@Home» will work out if the risk of a wet winter has
increased, decreased or been unaffected
by human influence on climat
by human influence on climate.
Local officials claim this is proof that the government's environmental preservation efforts have been successful, but recent research
by climate scientists suggests a more worrying explanation for rising water levels: not only is climate change thought to be responsible for
increased rainfall and snowfall in the area, it has also caused,
by some estimates, up to a fifth of the permafrost which covers 80 % of the plateau to melt.
In the long term, changes in sea level were of minor importance to
rainfall patterns in north western Sumatra With the end of the last Ice Age came rising temperatures and melting polar ice sheets, which were accompanied
by an
increase in
rainfall around Indonesia and many other regions of the world..
11/01/2018 -
Rainfall changes caused
by global warming will
increase river flood risks across the globe.
The probability of
rainfall increases slightly as the month progresses, with the likelihood of
rainfall rising from 43 % on September 1st up to 49 %
by September 30th.
The likelihood of precipitation making an appearance slightly
increases as the month develops, starting off at 78 % on July 1st and rising up to 89 %
by July 31st, making the start of the month the best time to visit if you want to keep
rainfall to a minimum.
The likelihood of
rainfall occurring at this time of year steadily
increases as the month develops, starting at 21 % on August 1st and reaching 28 %
by August 31st.