Can the science reliably predict significant changes in
rainfall patterns at regional or local levels for say the next 5 decades?
«Essentially what happened was that the cold water influx altered
the rainfall patterns at the middle of the globe,» said Rachael Rhodes, a research associate in the College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences at Oregon State University and lead author on the study, which was funded by the National Science Foundation.
Not exact matches
This advice comes
at a time when farmers across the country are complaining of huge yield losses as a result of poor
rainfall patterns this year.
Looking
at this
rainfall signal, Abrams and her colleagues were able to determine historical climate
patterns in the Indian Ocean region.
«As
rainfall patterns change with climate change, it's predicted there will be more times of drought, and more times of excessive
rainfall — really big storms,» said Terry Loecke, assistant professor of environmental studies
at the University of Kansas and lead author of the new investigation.
These communities found themselves
at the epicenter of an unusual weather
pattern that dumped record
rainfall on northwestern Pakistan and sent floodwaters surging from the north to the rest of the nation.
When he parsed the data, the
pattern was unmistakable:
At the beginning of the ninth century A.D., there was a sharp and severe drop in
rainfall.
Stirling co-author and Professor of Ecology, Alastair Jump, said: «By pinpointing specific traits in trees that determine how
at risk they are from drought, we can better understand global
patterns of tree mortality and how the world's forests are reacting to rising temperatures and reduced
rainfall.
Brawn's team looked
at the relationship between population growth rates and the length of the dry season during those 33 years, then simulated another 50 years with an average of a 10 percent change in the
rainfall pattern in Panama's dry season.
The findings from researchers
at the University of Miami (UM) Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science provide new evidence that climate change in the tropical Pacific will result in changes in
rainfall patterns in the region and amplify warming near the equator in the future.
Scientists
at the University of Sydney have analysed up to 22 years of long - term monitoring data on plants and animals in central Australia to project how changing
rainfall and wildfire
patterns, because of climate change, will influence desert wildlife.
My research indicates that the Siberian peat moss, Arctic tundra, and methal hydrates (frozen methane
at the bottom of the ocean) all have an excellent chance of melting and releasing their stored co2.Recent methane concentration figures also hit the news last week, and methane has increased after a long time being steady.The forests of north america are drying out and are very susceptible to massive insect infestations and wildfires, and the massive die offs - 25 % of total forests, have begun.And, the most recent stories on the Amazon forecast that with the change in
rainfall patterns one third of the Amazon will dry and turn to grassland, thereby creating a domino cascade effect for the rest of the Amazon.With co2 levels risng faster now that the oceans have reached carrying capacity, the oceans having become also more acidic, and the looming threat of a North Atlanic current shutdown (note the recent terrible news on salinity upwelling levels off Greenland,) and the change in cold water upwellings, leading to far less biomass for the fish to feed upon, all lead to the conclusion we may not have to worry about NASA completing its inventory of near earth objects greater than 140 meters across by 2026 (Recent Benjamin Dean astronomy lecture here in San Francisco).
Billions of the world's poorest people, however, will be
at risk of more erratic
rainfall patterns.
The new study, which looked
at 30 - year averages of
rainfall amounts, revealed that a similar
pattern has persisted for the past 10,000 years.
The
pattern of
rainfall is also distinct - some places have abundant rain
at one time of the year and almost none
at other times.
But the cause - and - effect argument that you are mounting must confront a more serious problem: according to my calculations, the seasonal
pattern of the recent change in
rainfall in south - eastern Australia is completely
at odds with CSIRO's projections.
«Researchers working
at the Australian National University Research School of Earth Sciences have discovered century - scale
patterns in Pacific
rainfall and temperature, and linked them with global climate changes in the past 2000 years.
3 A) CLIMATE VS. WEATHER Climate is the weather
pattern in one place over a long period of time Weather is the current atmospheric conditions, including temperature,
rainfall, wind, and humidity
at a given place
One of the proofs was that LA was hit with the worst drought in
at least 1,200 years in 2014, triggered by high temperatures and reduced
rainfall linked to the change of climate and weather
patterns.
Also, temperature anomalies like those in the figure
at the top do influence tropical
rainfall patterns.
Forests are the only carbon capture and storage «technology» we have in our grasp that is safe, proven, inexpensive, immediately available
at scale, and capable of providing beneficial ripple effects — from regulating
rainfall patterns to providing livelihoods to indigenous communities.»
Drought is expected to occur 20 - 40 percent more often in most of Australia over the coming decades.6, 18 If our heat - trapping emissions continue to rise
at high rates, 19 more severe droughts are projected for eastern Australia in the first half of this century.6, 17 And droughts may occur up to 40 percent more often in southeast Australia by 2070.2 Unless we act now to curb global warming emissions, most regions of the country are expected to suffer exceptionally low soil moisture
at almost double the frequency that they do now.3 Studies suggest that climate change is helping to weaken the trade winds over the Pacific Ocean, with the potential to change
rainfall patterns in the region, including Australia.20, 21,16,22
Since 1988 we have been looking
at rainfall regimes in Australia — and this seems to be the first instance of identification of a climate
pattern associated with these Pacific states.
The activists say our influence on climate is evident in «altered
rainfall patterns,» but in this they are
at odds with their fellow - activists
at the ill - fated Intergovernmental Panel, whose special report on extreme weather (2012) and whose fifth and most recent (2013) Assessment Report on the climate question find little or no evidence of a link between our industries and enterprises on the one hand and global
rainfall patterns on the other.
In addition, the
pattern of sea surface temperatures
at low latitudes is extremely important for regional climate variations (shown, for example, by the increased likelihood of heavy winter
rainfall in California when the eastern tropical Pacific warms in El Niño events).
My research looks
at how much we can expect greenhouse gases to warm the earth this century and what that means for
rainfall patterns worldwide.
It shows ENSO periodicity — and an intriguing change in tempo
at the turn of the 20th century — as well as the familiar 20 to 30 year
patterns of
rainfall.
At about this time, a major change in the
pattern of global
rainfall occurred.
It moves the jet streams, changes storm tracks, affects
rainfall patterns, and of course increases UV radiation
at ground level.
Daniel Swain, a PhD student in environmental earth system science
at Stanford University, and colleagues report in Science Advances journal that they analysed the atmospheric circulation
patterns that have been coincident with
rainfall and temperature extremes in the Golden State's history.
At 3C, I think those kinds of failures (Russia, Australia, Pakistan) will be the rule thanks to desertification of the sub-tropics and the greater variability of
rainfall patterns.
We can't measure the evaporation rate or
rainfall pattern, but we are allowed to look
at the number of tourists who stay in nearby hotels, some of whom state if they have fishermen or windsurfers staying, and so one can use these as proxies for sunlight /
rainfall patterns (CO2 partitioning into temperature dependent aquatic bodies).
Models generally aren't very good
at simulating changes in
rainfall patterns to increasing GHG and resulting global warming.
Our experiments show that the solar cycle influences tropospheric
rainfall patterns in a manner consistent with some observations, with increased solar activity favoring precipitation north of the equator (for example, the South Asian monsoon) and decreased precipitation both near the equator and
at northern mid-latitudes.
Researchers
at Vanderbilt University and Stanford University say their comprehensive map of the region's climate 21,000 years ago is helping them test and improve climate models that can predict how
rainfall patterns might change in the future.