Long -
range hurricane forecasts are eagerly awaited in U.S. financial and energy markets, which quiver every time a storm bears down on the U.S. oil and gas - producing region of the Gulf of Mexico.
Not exact matches
The so - called «Spaghetti model» from the European Centre for Medium -
Range Weather
Forecasts shows a northerly path moving up East Coast for
Hurricane Irma.
Instead, most modelers accommodate the inevitable uncertainties by averaging over many runs of each scenario and displaying a likely
range of outcomes, much like landfall
forecasts for
hurricanes.
Without more detailed satellite observations, extending the
range of accurate weather
forecasts — especially for such extreme events as
hurricanes — would be severely restricted.
NOAA evaluates the accuracy of its seasonal
forecasts each year, with the aim of seeing the number of storms fall in the given
ranges at least 70 percent of the time, which they do consistently, Gerry Bell, lead seasonal
hurricane forecaster with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said.
More than 13 years in the making, the center is designed to be the U.S. government's nerve center for a
range of activities, including predicting
hurricane tracks and
forecasting ocean currents.
2) As with some previous potent winter storms and
hurricanes (including Sandy), there's been a consistent focus on the computer model of the European Center for Medium -
Range Weather
Forecasts (ECMWF, for short) as the best at getting details like snowfall amounts right.
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE New York Press Office: (212) 346-5500;
[email protected] New York, April 5, 2018 — Dr. Philip Klotzbach of Colorado State University (CSU), a non-resident scholar for the Insurance Information Institute (I.I.I.), released CSU's first extended
range forecast for the 2018 Atlantic
hurricane season today...
The nine chapters deal with issues
ranging from the global atmosphere and climate to observing, mapping and
forecasting weather, as well as chapters on «Explaining the weather», majoring on moist processes and «Hazardous weather», focusing primarily on
hurricanes.
Specifically with regards to the energy and power companies, these contracts are for medium -
range (days to weeks)
forecasts of
hurricane activity and landfall impacts, and also energy demand (temperature).
My main point point though is that
hurricane track
forecasts are not characteristically perfect four days out and NOAA should be cautious in how it spins a specific
forecast at that
range.
Our business continuity efforts are intended to address a broad
range of potentially disruptive events, including anticipated events (such as
hurricanes and other
forecasted natural disasters) and unanticipated events (such as power outages, floods, telecommunication outages, and even terrorist attacks).