Sentences with phrase «range under climate change»

Not exact matches

One positive finding of the ecological niche modelling study is that while the ranges of many species are expected to contract, much of the remaining suitable habitat for many species will be located within existing protected areas, and that the recent creation of new reserves such as Itombwe and Kabobo in the Democratic Republic of Congo, have greatly increased the protection of some species under threat by future climate change.
To better plan for potential effects due to climate change, scientists using the North American Breeding Bird Survey and Audubon Christmas Bird Count employed correlative distribution modeling, to assess geographic range shifts for nearly 600 North American bird species during both the breeding and non-breeding seasons under a range of future climate change scenarios through the end of the century.
Under various climate and land - use scenarios, coniferous stands are expected to lose 71 percent to 100 percent of their current range to deciduous stands across New England by 2085, particularly in Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine, due to increased temperature and precipitation and changes in timber harvesting.
Dr Li said the latest research findings give a better understanding of changes in human - perceived equivalent temperature, and indicate global warming has stronger long - term impacts on human beings under both extreme and non-extreme weather conditions, suggesting that climate change adaptation can not just focus on heat wave events, but should be extended to the whole range of effects of temperature increases.
Greening already under way Isla Myers - Smith, a lecturer at the University of Edinburgh who did not participate in the research, said the study is a «major advance» because it is the first to link such a broad range of vegetation changes with several climate feedbacks in the Arctic.
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) includes a constellation of issues unfolding under the general umbrella of climate meetings; these issues range from low - carbon technology transfer agreements to finance to emissions reductions tClimate Change (UNFCCC) includes a constellation of issues unfolding under the general umbrella of climate meetings; these issues range from low - carbon technology transfer agreements to finance to emissions reductions tclimate meetings; these issues range from low - carbon technology transfer agreements to finance to emissions reductions targets.
We work to ensure that green infrastructure becomes the preferred mechanism by which water managers meet a range of water management goals for people and wildlife under changing climate conditions.
The smallest warming / sea level rise in TAR figure 5 will place a wide range of human and natural systems under very considerable pressure (and based on estimates of the melt - down point for greenland place us teetering on the edge of dangerous climate change).
We then apply these models to project changes in endemic species» range sizes, distribution and diversity under future climate scenarios.
Our models yield projections of future diversity under a range of climate change scenarios (Fig. 1, C through J).
While it is impossible to attribute any single storm to anthropgenic climate change, sophisticated new models can be used estimate potential losses from coastal storms under a range of climate change scenarios.
This publication has been developed under the Nairobi work programme on impacts, vulnerability and adaptation to climate change, and provides an introduction to a range of different assessment approaches and methodologies and shares best practices and lessons learned.
In the paper I examine the relative role of human - caused climate change and development for future damages under a wide range of scenarios.
29 There are already many tree planting initiatives proposed or under way that are driven by a range of concerns, from climate change and desert expansion to soil conservation and making cities more habitable.
This paper finds that under a wide range of assumptions about future growth in wealth and population, and about the effects of human - caused climate change, in every case there is far greater potential to affect future losses by focusing attention on the societal conditions that generate vulnerability to losses.
This paper examines future economic damages from tropical cyclones under a range of assumptions about societal change, climate change and the relationship of climate change to damage in 2050.
The TCPs underpin the efforts of the IEA to provide support across the full spectrum of international low - carbon energy partnerships and initiatives, ranging from high - level policy fora such as the Clean Energy Ministerial, to activities under the bodies of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.
Seven global vegetation models are used to analyze possible responses to future climate simulated by a range of general circulation models run under all four representative concentration pathway scenarios of changing concentrations of greenhouse gases.
2: Our Changing Climate, Key Messages 5 and 6).4, 10 A range of model projections for the end of this century under a higher emissions scenario (A2), averaged over the region, suggests about 5 % to 20 % (25th to 75th percentile of model projections) increases in winter precipitation.
In those regions, cereal grain yields are projected to decline under climate change scenarios, across the full range of expected warming... Thus, countries with the lowest incomes may be the hardest hit.»
A range of impacts on terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems has been suggested under climate change (see, for example, Leemans and Eickhout, 2004), some of which are summarised in Table 9.1 (for further details see Chapter 4; Nkomo et al., 2006; Warren et al., 2006).
A methanogenic community composed of both AM and HM taxa will likely respond to wider temperature ranges and possible substrate changes that occur under climate stress, and both pathways should be considered in C budget estimates.
Many species will be unable to track suitable climates under mid - and high - range rates of climate change (i.e., RCP4.5, 6.0, and 8.5) during the 21st century (medium confidence).
Here we present such an assessment and find that a reduction of more than 50 % in Atlantic overturning strength by the end of the 21 s t century is within the likely range under an unmitigated climate change scenario (RCP8.5).
All that can be told — and certainly should be told — is that climate change brings new and changed risks, that these risks can have a range of significant implications under different conditions, that there is an array of political considerations to be taken into account when judging what needs to be done, and there are a portfolio of powerful, but somewhat untested, policy measures that could be tried.
Ecological niche modelling of king penguins in the Southern Ocean, validated with population genomics and palaeodemography data, is used to reconstruct past range shifts and identify future vulnerable areas and potential refugia under climate change.
It is unknown whether the species that have been exhibiting a range - shift response (Chen et al., 2011; Parmesan, 2006; Parmesan and Yohe, 2003; Poloczanska et al., 2013; Root et al., 2003) will be able to accelerate their dispersal velocities to keep pace with the climate change expected over the next few decades under business - as - usual scenarios.
In a 17 - page communique issued after the summit at Schloss Elmau under the slogan «Think Ahead, Act Together», the G7 leaders agreed to back the recommendations of the IPCC, the United Nations» climate change panel, to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions at the upper end of a range of 40 % to 70 % by 2050, using 2010 as the baseline.
The team, led by Dr. Carter, examined where the geographic range of a Trypanosoma parasite will shift by 2050 under two possible climate scenarios: moderate climate change mitigation and business - as - usual.
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