Sentences with phrase «range under climate change scenarios»

Not exact matches

To better plan for potential effects due to climate change, scientists using the North American Breeding Bird Survey and Audubon Christmas Bird Count employed correlative distribution modeling, to assess geographic range shifts for nearly 600 North American bird species during both the breeding and non-breeding seasons under a range of future climate change scenarios through the end of the century.

Under various climate and land - use scenarios, coniferous stands are expected to lose 71 percent to 100 percent of their current range to deciduous stands across New England by 2085, particularly in Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine, due to increased temperature and precipitation and changes in timber harvesting.

We then apply these models to project changes in endemic species» range sizes, distribution and diversity under future climate scenarios.

Our models yield projections of future diversity under a range of climate change scenarios (Fig. 1, C through J).

While it is impossible to attribute any single storm to anthropgenic climate change, sophisticated new models can be used estimate potential losses from coastal storms under a range of climate change scenarios.

In the paper I examine the relative role of human - caused climate change and development for future damages under a wide range of scenarios.

Seven global vegetation models are used to analyze possible responses to future climate simulated by a range of general circulation models run under all four representative concentration pathway scenarios of changing concentrations of greenhouse gases.

2: Our Changing Climate, Key Messages 5 and 6).4, 10 A range of model projections for the end of this century under a higher emissions scenario (A2), averaged over the region, suggests about 5 % to 20 % (25th to 75th percentile of model projections) increases in winter precipitation.

In those regions, cereal grain yields are projected to decline under climate change scenarios, across the full range of expected warming... Thus, countries with the lowest incomes may be the hardest hit.»

Here we present such an assessment and find that a reduction of more than 50 % in Atlantic overturning strength by the end of the 21 s t century is within the likely range under an unmitigated climate change scenario (RCP8.5).

It is unknown whether the species that have been exhibiting a range - shift response (Chen et al., 2011; Parmesan, 2006; Parmesan and Yohe, 2003; Poloczanska et al., 2013; Root et al., 2003) will be able to accelerate their dispersal velocities to keep pace with the climate change expected over the next few decades under business - as - usual scenarios.

The team, led by Dr. Carter, examined where the geographic range of a Trypanosoma parasite will shift by 2050 under two possible climate scenarios: moderate climate change mitigation and business - as - usual.