If it turned out that
rapid climate change events are caused by comets, it would imply the climate system is far more stable than we thought, that abrupt climate change events are not part of the inherent variability of climate during glacial periods.
Comment: The observed
rapid climate change events, «RCCEs» are becoming stronger based on a significant increase in atmospheric dust in both the Antarctic and Greenland ice cores during the last glacial period, as compared to past glacial periods.
Therefore it seems self evident to me that they are unable to predict
the rapid climate change events that will happen in the future.
Most importantly they do not reproduce
the rapid climate change events that have happened in the past.
They did a planning scenario, which they released to Fortune magazine of all places — it really wanted this in front of corporate America, in which they said we are running the risk of
a rapid climate change event.
Not exact matches
Defenses against storms and floods, built on past
events, will fail unless emergency planners use forward - looking data that account for
rapid climate change
Its core is a flurry of recent research proposing that such extreme weather
events in the midlatitudes are linked through the atmosphere with the effects of
rapid climate change in the Arctic, such as dwindling sea ice.
Dr Stephen Grimes of Plymouth University, who initiated the research project, highlighted the
climate changes that must have caused this increase in sediment erosion and transport — «We have
climate model simulations of the effect of warming on rainfall during the PETM
event, and they show some
changes in the average amounts of rainfall, but the largest
change is how this rainfall is packaged up — it's concentrated in more
rapid, extreme
events — larger and bigger storms.»
The finding might help explain the huge amounts of methane that occasionally belch from the seafloor, an
event linked to
rapid climate change.
China's aging population and
rapid migration to coastal urban centers will make the country more susceptible to effects of
climate change like rising sea levels and extreme weather
events, recent research by scientists at University College London and experts from the United States, China and India has found.
The symptoms from those
events (huge and
rapid carbon emissions, a big
rapid jump in global temperatures, rising sea levels, ocean acidification, widespread oxygen - starved zones in the oceans) are all happening today with human - caused
climate change.
The discovery of other, smaller magnitude,
rapid greenhouse warming
events (called hyperthermals) in the millions of years following the PETM provides further opportunities to examine the response of organisms to global
climate change.
There has been an ongoing debate, both in and outside the scientific community, whether
rapid climate change in the Arctic might affect circulation patterns in the mid-latitudes, and thereby possibly the frequency or intensity of extreme weather
events.
In other words, a DO
event (brought on this time by anthropogenic global warming) should be seen as larger and more
rapid climate change than anthropogenic global warming.
The two kinds of
climate change are sometimes confounded by non-experts — e.g., when it is claimed that DO
events represent a much larger and more
rapid climate change than anthropogenic global warming.
The point I am trying to make is «when it is claimed that DO
events represent a much larger and more
rapid climate change than anthropogenic global warming,» perhaps DO
events do cause
rapid regional
climate change larger and more
rapid than anthropogenic global warming generally.
The end of the first half of the Holocene — between about 5 and 4 ka — was punctuated by
rapid events at various latitudes, such as an abrupt increase in NH sea ice cover (Jennings et al., 2001); a decrease in Greenland deuterium excess, reflecting a
change in the hydrological cycle (Masson - Delmotte et al., 2005b); abrupt cooling
events in European
climate (Seppa and Birks, 2001; Lauritzen, 2003); widespread North American drought for centuries (Booth et al., 2005); and
changes in South American
climate (Marchant and Hooghiemstra, 2004).
The symptoms from those
events (a big,
rapid jump in global temperatures, rising sea levels, and ocean acidification) are all happening today with human - caused
climate change.
The evidence for
rapid climate change is compelling: Sea level rise, Global temperature rise, Warming oceans, Shrinking ice sheets, Declining Arctic sea ice, Glacial retreat, Extreme
events, Ocean acidification, Decreased snow cover http://
climate.nasa.gov/evidence/ It's
changing «rapidly».
In a report released yesterday in Washington by the National Research Council, the research arm of the National Academy of Sciences, a panel of 11 scientists examined the possibility of abrupt
climate change, in which small
events can bring on
rapid and great consequences.
Past
rapid rapid climate change events are marked by mass extinctions such as the End Permian.
That is, they fear that global temperatures will exceed a tipping point that will trigger a release of stored carbon from the biosphere, an
event that would cause further
rapid climate change.
«Since such
rapid climate change would challenge even the most modern societies to successfully adapt, knowing how these massive
events start and evolve is one of the most pressing
climate questions we need to answer.»
There is an inevitable time delay between the occurrence of an
event and the complete dissection of its various causes, but a
rapid - response study by NOAA scientists has already concluded that
climate change made the Baton Rouge flood 40 percent more likely to occur in 2016 than in 1900.
Since the end 10,000 years ago of the last ice age — itself a very
rapid event — was the springboard for agriculture and civilisation, and eventually an Industrial Revolution based on fossil fuels, the story of
climate change plays a powerful role in human history.
David has been a leading voice in arguing for
rapid action on
climate change, and I think he makes a powerful case that the choice is between increasingly extreme and frequent weather
events, or returning to a safe
climate.
«The
rapid climate changes known in the scientific world as Dansgaard - Oeschger
events were limited to a period of time from 110,000 to 23,000 years before the present,» said Xu Zhang, the report's lead author.
For example, the National Academies recently published a study on the attribution of extreme
events in the context of
climate change, noting that «advances have come about for two main reasons: one, the understanding of the
climate and weather mechanisms that produce extreme
events is improving, and two,
rapid progress is being made in the methods that are used for
event attribution.
The study, published Sunday in the journal Nature
Climate Change, is the first to find correlations between
rapid Arctic warming and extreme summer weather
events, since previous research had focused on the links between Arctic warming and fall and winter weather patterns.
But the lack of statistically significant results and, more important, the absence of evidence pointing to a smoking gun — a physical mechanism in the
climate system that ties Arctic
changes to extreme
events — has left many top
climate researchers unconvinced that
rapid Arctic warming is a major player in causing extreme weather
events outside of the Arctic itself.
To asses the risk associated with a particular
event we must know first of all the probability of that
event occurring (i.e. how likely is it that the Arctic will be seasonally ice free by 2020) and calculate a measure of the harm / hazard if this
event were it to occur (i.e. a
rapid acceleration of
climate change).
Seems to me David's mistake is not noticing that the
rapid events are internal to the
climate system, not external; they may cause fast
changes in albedo for example for a while; and they are modeled, see Dr. Bitz's work on Arctic sea ice, or any model including volcanos or Atlantic deep water currents etc..
In the 1990's paleoclimatologists» discovered evidence in the Greenland ice sheet core data that the periodic 200 yr, 500 yr, 1500 yr, 8000 yr, etc.
climate changes (up to 20C drop in the Greenland ice sheet temperature) were
rapid not gradual
events.
Another hypothesis as to what could be causing periodic
rapid changes to the planet's
climate is that there are periodic solar
events which affect cloud formation.
Climate change is already causing more extreme weather
events and
rapid snow melt — two
events known to trigger flooding in the Columbia River system.
As the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere climbs to 400 parts per million and beyond, and the impacts of
climate change become more unmistakable and destructive —
rapid melting of Arctic Ocean ice, a rising incidence of extreme weather
events — the case for extracting carbon from the atmosphere becomes increasingly compelling.