Peterson's team also monitored fetal heart
rate as an indicator for nervous system development.
In the end, the Fed should stop treating the unemployment
rate as an indicator of whether we need more stimulus.
This issue relates directly to an inherent limitation in the use of data from health service usage: The ambiguous nature of medical treatment
rates as an indicator of health.
Not exact matches
Branco constantly reviews the sales pipeline, monitors the profitability of each ongoing project, and tracks a few key performance
indicators (KPIs) such
as customer call response times and customer satisfaction
ratings.
I'm glad you brought it up, because it shows how unreliable interest
rates can be
as an
indicator of appropriate monetary policy.
First the line about «it shows how unreliable interest
rates can be
as an
indicator of appropriate monetary policy» means that low interest
rates do not necessarily mean loose policy.
Lesetja Kganyago of the South African Reserve Bank says the country's sovereign
rating and monetary
indicators such
as the rand have all benefited from the change in political leadership.
Net returns, also known
as the net internal
rate of return (IRR) and an
indicator of investors» actual profits, deduct private equity fund investors» fees and expenses from a fund's gross profits.
As I said last month, housing construction is a long leading
indicator, indeed along with interest
rates probably the most important one.
Now
as economic
indicators like low unemployment and increased consumer spending tick toward the positive, many economists are pointing to a limited
rate hike
as a way to move the economy towards normalcy after the volatility of the past decade.
BlackRock's «Yellen Index» (our gauge of 10 key labor market
indicators closely followed by the Fed) has picked up, but it's well below the level before the Fed's December
rate rise,
as the chart above shows.
It is difficult to
rate an
indicator as «reliable» when it has literally zero statistical correlation with subsequent returns.
NEW YORK (Reuters)- U.S. stocks closed higher on Monday
as investors prepared for an expected Federal Reserve
rate hike later in the week, while stocks rose around the world on continued solid global economic growth
indicators.
Moreover, about 60 % of the weight in the LEI is based on monetary
indicators such
as M2 growth and interest
rates.
Given the absence of a public trading market of our common stock, and in accordance with the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants Accounting and Valuation Guide, Valuation of Privately - Held Company Equity Securities Issued
as Compensation, our board of directors exercised reasonable judgment and considered numerous and subjective factors to determine the best estimate of fair value of our common stock, including independent third - party valuations of our common stock; the prices at which we sold shares of our convertible preferred stock to outside investors in arms - length transactions; the rights, preferences, and privileges of our convertible preferred stock relative to those of our common stock; our operating results, financial position, and capital resources; current business conditions and projections; the lack of marketability of our common stock; the hiring of key personnel and the experience of our management; the introduction of new products; our stage of development and material risks related to our business; the fact that the option grants involve illiquid securities in a private company; the likelihood of achieving a liquidity event, such
as an initial public offering or a sale of our company given the prevailing market conditions and the nature and history of our business; industry trends and competitive environment; trends in consumer spending, including consumer confidence; and overall economic
indicators, including gross domestic product, employment, inflation and interest
rates, and the general economic outlook.
On the one hand numerous
indicators point to solid economic conditions, or at least buoyant economic confidence, and lending conditions are very easy,
as are credit spreads and borrowing
rates.
The BlackRock GPS — which combines traditional economic
indicators with big data signals such
as web searches and text mining of corporate conference calls — suggests a higher growth
rate over the coming 12 months than currently reflected in consensus estimates.
As was explained in «Box C» in the February 2004 Statement, the level of loan approvals is a leading
indicator of the growth
rate of credit, though the relationship from month to month is not very precise.
These types of play make the copper / gold ratio less valuable
as an economic
indicator, especially
as the ultra-low interest
rates have provided the backdrop for potential commodity squeezes.
As the indicator in Chart 4 suggests, even as the Fed has recently raised interest rates under their control, monetary conditions remain a long way from being sufficiently «tight» to restrict financial system liquidity and putting the economic expansion at ris
As the
indicator in Chart 4 suggests, even
as the Fed has recently raised interest rates under their control, monetary conditions remain a long way from being sufficiently «tight» to restrict financial system liquidity and putting the economic expansion at ris
as the Fed has recently raised interest
rates under their control, monetary conditions remain a long way from being sufficiently «tight» to restrict financial system liquidity and putting the economic expansion at risk.
Influenced by the weakness in financial markets and
indicators such
as «financial conditions», the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee (FOMC) postponed a widely anticipated interest
rate hike in March.
Rises in other
indicator rates on loans to small businesses have, on average, tended to be larger than this
as some banks have raised some
rates independent of monetary policy moves (including by some banks to recoup the costs of the GST).
However,
as I explained in December, the key
indicator to watch was the
rate of growth of bank credit.
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weaknes
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest
rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence
as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weaknes
as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst,
as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weaknes
as measured by various sentiment
indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.
This may give rise to critical transitions in the system that will be reflected in shifts in interest
rates,
as key
indicators of supply and demand conditions in financial markets.»
Today, I hear and read about the PMI on the radio and in newspapers
as often
as I do more common economic
indicators such
as GDP and unemployment
rates.
The bad news is that it certainly could happen again, and that it probably will happen so long
as many Fed officials insist on treating the inflation
rate as an all - purpose
indicator of the stance of monetary policy.
As mentioned, most of these binary auto traders rely on technical
indicators with an average win -
rate of 60 - 75 %.
Credit -
rating agencies, for example, are looking at ESG performance
as an
indicator of risk.
The GTFM is determined mainly by confidence
indicators such
as credit spreads, the yield curve, the relative strength of the banking sector and inflation expectations, although it also takes into account the US dollar's exchange
rate and the general commodity - price trend.
Our analysis shows that wage growth,
as estimated by our composite measure of wage pressures, is beginning to accelerate; we also show that labor market
indicators most closely correlated with wage growth, such
as the quit
rate, continue to improve.
As we know, past performance is no
indicator of future success, which is why the backbone of our ETF and mutual fund
ratings is the quality of the holdings.
Indicators of upstream price pressures, such
as producer price data and business surveys, continue to suggest moderate
rates of inflation.
Consistent with this,
indicators of financial stress for the household sector, such
as loan arrears and personal bankruptcy
rates, remain at relatively low levels.
One useful
indicator is the auction clearance
rate — that is, the number of properties sold
as a proportion of properties offered (including those withdrawn prior to sale).
However, in the short term bonds are likely to benefit from lower CPI inflation
rates as my leading
indicator, the absolute change in oil prices from a year ago, is pointing to the U.S. CPI ex shelter declining to between 2 and 2.5 % in February / March.
Banks» margins on small business lending, which have narrowed since mid 1997, might narrow further in figures for the June quarter and beyond
as recent reductions in
indicator rates begin to affect the figures.
Researchers interested in exploring the relationship between macroeconomic performance and the quality of monetary institutions should consider augmenting the Fraser and Heritage data with additional institutional
indicators, such
as measures of central bank independence, the use of monetary policy rules, freedom to use competing forms of money, and exchange
rate regimes.
Another
indicator of financial conditions is the slope of the yield curve,
as measured by the spread between the yield on 10 - year bonds and the target cash
rate.
The unemployment
rate has edged lower over the past few months to 6.1 per cent in September, and other
indicators, such
as new claims for unemployment benefits, are also showing signs of stronger labour demand.
Although Greater Vancouver also earns an «A» grade on KPMG's Total Tax Index,
as local businesses enjoy relatively low statutory labour costs, the region is much less competitive when it comes to the marginal effective tax
rate on capital, an
indicator specifically designed to measure incentives for business investment.
Wein Views Byron Wein shares his thoughts in Barron's about
indicators that could disrupt the economy, including the narrow yield curve, the Fed's interest
rate moves, and an exogenous event such
as military conflict.
Using the blog also gives you access to its
rating system that you may use
as a guidance to interpret important stock market
indicators.
Rising commodity prices often act
as leading
indicators of rising property values provided the outlook is also favourable in terms of interest
rates, rainfall outlook and water availability.
The
indicator then shows the player's
rating as a clutch hitter for that particular trip to the plate.
I usually don't take stats
as a good
indicator from a player's performance, but the difference in effectiveness of Pablo's home and away can be seen by his average performance
rating.
It has in addition a top
rated car seat (the SnugRide Click Connect 35), built standard with energy absorbing foam, 5 - point harness and level
indicators as an extra measure.
According to studies across three countries, The Atlantic reports, the primary physiological
indicator that a young person will become a violent criminal
as an adult is a low resting heart
rate.
Breastfeeding did not consistently reduce changes in physiological
indicators, such
as heart
rate.
Meanwhile, there is some evidence that high
rates of child stunting (low height for age) can co-exist with relatively high values for positive
indicators of child health, such
as immunization coverage [34].