«stratospheric water vapor probably increased between 1980 and 2000, which would have enhanced the decadal
rate of surface warming during the 1990s by about 30 % as compared to estimates neglecting this change.
Meehl and Teng recently showed that when this is done, thereby turning a model projection into a hindcast, the models reproduced the observed trends — accelerated warming in the 1970s and reduced
rate of surface warming during the last 15 years — quite well.
Not exact matches
The deceleration in rising temperatures
during this 15 - year period is sometimes referred to as a «pause» or «hiatus» in global
warming, and has raised questions about why the
rate of surface warming on Earth has been markedly slower than in previous decades.
The results, presented here at the AAAS annual meeting on 14 February, showed that when the sea
surface warmed off the coast
of Peru in 1997 - 98,
during El Niño, there was a marked increase in
rates of cholera infection in Lima and nearby cities.
* However, the same panel then concluded that «the
warming trend in global - mean
surface temperature observations
during the past 20 years is undoubtedly real and is substantially greater than the average
rate of warming during the twentieth century.
During a period in which
surface warming is stifled by internal variability the
rate of energy accumulation would be influenced only by the forcing — there would be no difference between a high - sensitivity model and a zero - feedback model (assuming zero - dimensional models; the reality, with regionally varying temperatures and feedbacks, would be more complex).
For example, atmospheric carbon dioxide grew by approximately 30 %
during the transition from the most recent cold glacial period, about 20,000 years ago, to the current
warm interglacial period; the corresponding
rate of decrease in
surface ocean pH, driven by geological processes, was approximately 50 times slower than the current
rate driven largely by fossil fuel burning.
In the opinion
of the panel, the
warming trend in global - mean
surface temperature observations
during the past 20 years is undoubtedly real and is substantially greater than the average
rate of warming during the twentieth century.
The
warming of surface temperature that has taken place
during the past 20 years is undoubtedly real, and it is at a
rate substantially larger than the average
warming during the twentieth century.
For example, the
rate of warming of surface air temperature observed
during the past 20 years is much greater than that observed
during the previous 20 - year interval, 1960 — 79, and is not necessarily indicative
of the
rate of temperature change that will be observed
during the future interval 2000 — 2019.
Australia's Bureau
of Meteorology says the
rate of warming in global
surface temperature
during the past century has not been uniform, with some decades
warming more rapidly than others.
The most widely used metric
of global
warming — global
surface temperatures — indicates that the
rate of global
warming has slowed drastically and that the duration
of the hiatus in global
warming is unusual
during a period when global
surface temperatures are allegedly being
warmed from the hypothetical impacts
of manmade greenhouse gases.
During the talk, I showed the following graph
of the Earth's total heat content, demonstrating that even over the last decade when
surface temperature
warming has slowed somewhat, the planet continues to build up heat at a
rate of 4 Hiroshima bomb detonations worth
of heat every second.
Additionally, the direction
of heat flow is always only from hot (the ground), to cold (upper atmosphere), Everyone should look at the lapse
rate over Antarctica —
during the winter (night), the atmosphere is ALWAYS
warmer than the
surface.