Buffett discusses the impact of interest
rates on equity valuations here:
Not exact matches
Another factor: In January, to the horror of the private
equity world, the Ohio Bureau of Workers» Compensation asked a state judge for permission to publish information
on the VC firms in which it invests — including company
valuations and
rates of return.
yields will hit the highs
on close end of the day...
equity markets setting up to be slammed tomorrow maybe but today they have run over weak shorts in the face of
rates... the federal reserve see's this and again will wonder if they are behind
on hikes, strong data, major expansion in credit, lack of wage growth rising bond yields and ballooning debt...
rates will go much higher and
equities will have revelations as to what that means for
valuations
A reminder
on interest
rate front - it's essential to recognize that if one believes depressed interest
rates «justify» extremely rich
equity valuations, what one is really saying is that depressed interest
rates «justify» dismal subsequent returns
on stocks.
These
valuations might be reasonable
on the assumption that short - term interest
rates will be kept at zero for more than 30 years, but our impression is that what's actually going
on is that investors feel they have «nowhere else to go» and — as in 2000 and 2007 — are speculating without a clear recognition of the dismal long - term returns that are now priced into
equities.
In that article, I listed nine
equity REITs for dividend investors to consider in light of the drubbing that REIT
valuations have recently taken due to fear of rising interest
rates and to capitalize
on the pass - through provision for REIT income included in the new tax legislation.
For example, the safe withdrawal
rate changes over time depending
on equity valuations and the safe withdrawal
rate can be vastly different depending
on your age and expectations about Social Security, see two case studies I did recently at ChooseFI and last week here
on our blog.
CAPM measures required
rate of return
on equity investments, and it is an important element of modern portfolio theory and discounted cash flow
valuation.
Portfolio Manager Mark DeVaul discusses the strength of the U.S. consumer and shares his thoughts
on current market
valuations, explaining why he remains optimistic about U.S.
equities in the current low interest
rate environment.
In that article, I listed nine
equity REITs (eREITs) for dividend investors to consider in light of the drubbing that eREIT
valuations have recently taken due to fear of rising interest
rates and to capitalize
on the pass - through provision for REIT income included in the new tax legislation.
It featured articles
on whether the returns
on industries as a whole mean - revert or have momentum, whether there is a
valuation effect
on industry returns, «social responsibility» in investing, and the existence of
equity discount
rate for the market as a whole.