Kate, real bear markets don't involve quick falls and recoveries, they are miserable grinding affairs.
Not exact matches
While I am certainly no Chinese
real estate expert, I
do have at least a tiny bit of insight into the
market because 1) my girlfriend was
born and raised in China, attended Peking University, and is now in America on a research fellowship, and 2) her parents own five apartments in China.
I'm
doing just about the most conservative type of
real estate investing —
boring cash flow
markets.
Third and finally, the traditional story misses the
real function of private banks, which is to solve an information problem in the purest Hayekian senses. That is, banks are or should be specialists in risk assessment and risk taking. They should know their client, understand the local
market and have their pulse on the broad economy. Arguably, if properly structured, they can and should
do this better than other entities such as governments. In other words, the proper role of banks should be underwriting — lend money, hold the debt, and
bear the risk. Which is a long - winded way of getting to the main point of this post.
It is impossible to say when the next financial crisis or
bear market will hit global
markets, but when it
does, there will probably be a lot of questions that concern the
real value of debt.
I know it's hard for most of you to believe that Gold and Silver will surpass their old January 1980 highs, but that is what a 20 + year generational
bear market will
do to a whole generation of investors who have grown up with falling
real assets (Gold, Silver and commodities) and rising paper assets (stocks and bonds).
As you can see, historical
bear markets don't usually start when
real interest rates are this low.
In fact, the
real test will come only when you see how you
do in the next
bear market.
In
real bull
markets, indexes repeatedly top their previous highs; in
bear markets, they never
do.»
We
do even better if you include a
real bear market, which we haven't even had in the last five years.