Sentences with phrase «real climate system»

In the real climate system, the given graph was true in the relatively short period of the 1980s - 90s, the producers have failed to follow their own admonition to avoid the «common mistake when interpreting statistics — look [ing] at them from too short a distance.»

In the same way, a «greenhouse gas only» scenario can not be verified by observed data, because the real climate system has evolved under both greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing.

There are positive feedback loops in the real climate system that are not modeled in the current version of C - ROADS.

In the real climate system, of course, CO2 will not double overnight, but will increase gradually.

In the real climate system, at any particular time the actual change in climate would lag behind the corresponding equilibrium change for any given CO2 level, largely because of the thermal inertia of the oceans.

The fact that climate simulations improve in a reasonably consistent and comprehensible way suggests that scientists are making successively better approximations to the real climate system.

It suggests that the real climate system may be less stable than [the models] think,» Delworth told me.

Specifically, we wanted to know if the real climate system is more like panel - a or panel - b below.

So, while I tend to agree with the Lindzen and Choi position that the real climate system is much less sensitive than the IPCC climate models suggest, it is not clear to me that their results actually demonstrate this.

Each climate simulation is only a statement about what is possibly true in the real climate system and even though we can do no better than treating the models equally, they can not be interpreted probabilistically (Betz, 2009a; Parker, 2010).

However, these feedbacks are part of the real climate system, as recognized in the IPCC's most recent Assessment Report (the AR - 5).

If that were the case in the real climate system, then estimates of ECS from observed changes in GMST and total forcing during the historical period would underestimate true ECS, which relates to pure CO2 forcing.

«There [is] no observational evidence that climate sensitivity increases with time in the real climate system,» writes Lewis in an email to Spectrum.

While effective climate sensitivity is smaller than ECS in many GCMs, it is not known whether that is the case in the real climate system, and MEA15 has nothing to contribute on this question.

«The real climate system is changing as fast or in some components even faster than expected by [the] IPCC,» Stefan Rahmstorf, an ocean physicist at Potsdam University in Germany, said by email.

If coupled models are more like the real climate system, why don't scientists just use them all the time?

BC17 make the fundamental assumption that the relationship of future warming to certain aspects of the recent climate that holds in climate models also applies in the real climate system.

However, they will have a distorted relationship between climatological values of TOA radiative flux variables and future warming that is not indicative of any genuine relationship between them that may exist in climate models, let alone of any such relationship in the real climate system.

Another way of saying this is that the real climate system appears to be dominated by «negative feedbacks» — instead of the «positive feedbacks» which are displayed by all twenty computerized climate models utilized by the IPCC.

On a separate note, none of the AOGCMs, at this point, even if more comprehensive, accurately model the real climate system (that is well beyond their capacity).

That indicates no confidence should be put in the model as a representation of the real climate system.

I question whether using SST as a proxy for tas over the open ocean has caused any downward bias in estimation of TCR in the real climate system, or even (to any significant extent) in CMIP5 models.

Unfortunately, there is limited evidence as to whether and to what extent differential air - sea surface warming occurs in the real climate system.

And whether or not internal variability in the real climate system might be able to cause similar effects, it seems clear that no massive ocean temperature anomaly did in fact develop during the historical period.

Because of them, its results would be of little or no relevance to observational estimation of TCR and ECS even if the real climate system responded to forcings similarly to GISS - E2 - R.

The real climate system is of course dominated (driven) in the troposphere by heat transfers from the surface upwards.

Remarkably, the Marvel et al. reworked observational estimates for TCR and ECS are, taking the averages for the three studies, substantially higher than the equivalent figures for the GISS - E2 - R model itself, despite the model exhibiting faster warming than the real climate system.

Because that would be a model true to the real climate system.