Investors may find credit spreads and the corresponding risk premiums to be an attractive means of earning positive real returns while
real yields on government bonds are being repressed by central bank policies.
Not exact matches
As noted earlier, arbitrageurs obtain a twofold gain: the margin between Brazil's nearly 12 %
yield on its long - term
government bonds and the cost of U.S. credit (1 %), plus the foreign - exchange gain resulting from the fact that the outflow from dollars into
reals has pushed up the
real's exchange rate some 30 % — from R$ 2.50 at the start of 2009 to $ 1.75 last week.
This includes negative
real interest rates, which drop the
yield on a
government bond below zero.
By taking a deeper look; we can break apart the total
yield on the US
government 30 year
bond (Chart: light blue data) into its two parts: (1) the market's estimate of the inflation rate (Chart: green data) and (2) the resulting «
real» (after inflation) rate of interest (Chart: dark blue data).
Real yields (the
yield after accounting for inflation)
on government bonds have risen recently, but are still around zero.
Mihir Worah, PIMCO's CIO of asset allocation and
real return, discusses what kind of
government bonds look most attractive and where the firm is concentrating investments
on the
yield curve in 2018.
At the same time, the prospect of continued low interest rates means less favorable
yield on government bonds and fixed income products, making higher
yielding investments backed by commercial
real estate all the more attractive.
In addition,
yields on real estate investments are substantially higher than
yields on the benchmark
government bonds.