The research we present in this article provides evidence that valuations are a key
reason for this mean reversion: underperforming managers tend to hold cheaper assets, with cheaper factor loadings, setting them up for good subsequent performance, whereas recently winning managers tend to hold more - expensive assets.
Not exact matches
Because of a rougher - looking schedule than in years (I
mean, who really knows until halfway through the season — it was a big surprise to most that the AFCW wasn't tougher in 2017
for instance, or that the NYG would suck so epically), and no Shazier, and general
reversion to the
mean, and no particular
reason to think Ben will be available
for every game... I'll say 10 -5-1 with losses @ Tampa, @ Cin, Carolina, @ Denver, LAC.
Most of the explanations we have discussed
for the rise in the CAPE ratio are inherently temporary and are subject to the risk of
mean reversion The CAPE naysayers tend to focus on the
reasons why a high CAPE ratio can support a high return and tend to ignore the
reasons this may not be the case.
Valuation - based tactical asset allocation has proven very hard to execute over time,
for a simple
reason: Asset - class valuations do not exhibit much
mean reversion.
«
For those
reasons, we see a
mean reversion play out over the coming months as players look to cash in and late - coming bulls are flushed, with support in the $ 400s, at which point a pump and dump cycle may start once again,» he said.